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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2016Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 22.7

Home Win Probability

Alabama 95%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
30036
AlabamaAlabama
31414334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-317-324-331-334-6
AlabamaKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENKENALAKENKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALADOWNS635ydFG836ydTO718ydTO64ydFG1135ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydTD761ydTD624ydPUNT3-7ydMISS1462ydEND311ydPUNT410ydTD878ydPUNT411ydTD976ydPUNT4-7ydFG543ydFG1663ydEND869yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Alabama
StatisticKentuckyAlabama
Passing13-2225-38
Pass Yards89315
Rush Yards72173
Total Yards161488
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-179-14
Penalties2-154-20
Possession30:1329:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Stephen Johnson
13/22, 89 YDS
rushing
Jojo Kemp
10 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Garrett Johnson
4 REC, 27 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Hurts
20/33, 262 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Josh Jacobs
16 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
11 REC, 174 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Austin MacGinnis kickoff for 58 yds , Xavian Marks return for 22 yds to the Alab 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 12 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 20 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 40

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Kent 31

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jonah Williams) to the Kent 36

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.65

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam Sims

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Stanley Williams run for 10 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 8 yds to the Alab 45

3rd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 12 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Alab 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.34

Austin MacGinnis 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Joshua Jacobs run for 10 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 7 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

Joshua Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. Howard

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -1.95

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kent De'Niro Laster

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Alab 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.57

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 16 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad, broken up by Reuben Foster

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Alab 22

3rd & 10Sack-17 ydsPPA -3.46

Stephen Johnson sacked by Christian Miller and Ryan Anderson for a loss of 17 yards to the Alab 39 Stephen Johnson fumbled, forced by Ryan Anderson, recovered by Alab Ryan Anderson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 9 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 3 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Calvin Ridley run for 6 yds to the Kent 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Kent 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. Howard

4th & 10Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.74

Adam Griffith 44 yd FG GOOD

4th & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Adam Griffith kickoff for 65 yds , Jeff Badet return for 31 yds to the Kent 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 2 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 30

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson

4th & 11Punt+17 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 46 yds , Eddie Jackson returns for 17 yds to the Alab 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Alab 47

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.45

Jalen Hurts sacked by Courtney Love for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 42

4th & 9Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Stephen Johnson run for 4 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Stanley Williams for 3 yds to the Kent 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff Badet

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Eddie Jackson at the Alab 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.23

Joshua Jacobs run for 28 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Joshua Jacobs run for 8 yds to the Kent 21

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.14

Joshua Jacobs run for 12 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Kent 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Kent 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Joshua Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

3rd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Adam Griffith kickoff for 62 yds , Jeff Badet return for 23 yds to the ALABAMA 42 ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Kent 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Stanley Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Blake Bone for 5 yds to the Kent 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.50

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 12 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Tavin Richardson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the Alab 48

3rd & 5Fumble Return Touchdown-55 ydsPPA -8.83

Ronnie Harrison 55 Yd Fumble Recovery (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 25

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Stephen Johnson sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 61 yds, downed at the Alab 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. Howard

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Joshua Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Alab 25

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 6 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the Alab 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.16

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Bo Scarbrough run for 5 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.16

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 15 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Kent 20

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Kent 17

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert Foster

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Adam Griffith 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 27

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.09

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Stephen Johnson run for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Xavian Marks at the Alab 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds to the Alab 31

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Joshua Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +4.17

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 46 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trevon Diggs for 6 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 17 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 3 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 41

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan Timmons

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Kash Daniel) to the Kent 36

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 40 yds, downed at the Alab 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.49

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 23 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 1 yd to the Kent 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joshua Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Kent 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.88

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 11 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA -0.16

Bo Scarbrough run for 14 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.87

Jalen Hurts sacked by TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 19

2nd & 18Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.40

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

2nd & 18Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Adam Griffith kickoff for 62 yds , Sihiem King return for 25 yds to the Kent 28

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 4 yds to the Kent 44

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Snell Jr., Benjamin rush for 4 yards to the KENTUCKY48, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Stenberg, Logan) 10 yards to the KENTUCKY34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA -0.61

Stephen Johnson sacked by Tim Williams for a loss of 16 yards to the Kent 18 Stephen Johnson fumbled, forced by Tim Williams, recovered by Kent C.J. Conrad , return for 0 yards

3rd & 32Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 21

4th & 29Punt+15 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 15 yds to the Kent 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.71

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 43 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Kent 3

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jonah Williams) to the Kent 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Kent 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.87

Adam Griffith 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.46

Jojo Kemp run for 16 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Greg Hart for 6 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Alab 36

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Stephen Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 34

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 36

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 11 yds to the Alab 25

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 10 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Sihiem King run for no gain to the Alab 15

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 12

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff Badet

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.58

Austin MacGinnis 30 yd FG GOOD

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Austin MacGinnis kickoff for 65 yds , Xavian Marks return for 11 yds to the Alab 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Cooper Bateman pass complete to O.J. Howard for 1 yd to the Alab 12

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

B.J. Emmons run for 5 yds to the Alab 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Trevon Diggs for 8 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cooper Bateman pass complete to B.J. Emmons for 3 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Robert Foster for 17 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.43

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 24 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

B.J. Emmons run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

B.J. Emmons run for 8 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
22 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
42%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
31 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
14 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays