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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2016Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Carolina by 1.2

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 46%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 24, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
073010
KentuckyKentucky
037717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-710-717-10
KentuckySouth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENPUNT32ydTO212ydPUNT38ydPUNT627ydPUNT514ydFG1260ydPUNT618ydPUNT39ydTD1080ydPUNT38ydPUNT732ydEND648ydTD575ydPUNT410ydTO725ydPUNT626ydPUNT4-5ydFG736ydTD1165ydPUNT520ydPUNT517ydDOWNS1016ydEND69yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina and Kentucky
StatisticSouth CarolinaKentucky
Passing15-3011-19
Pass Yards177135
Rush Yards91216
Total Yards268351
Turnovers02
3rd Down3-144-13
Penalties5-454-30
Possession27:2032:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina
passing
Brandon McIlwain
15/30, 177 YDS
rushing
A.J. Turner
12 CAR, 42 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Hayden Hurst
7 REC, 84 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Stephen Johnson
11/19, 135 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Stanley Williams
15 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeff Badet
2 REC, 39 YDS
defense
Jordan Jones
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

A.J. Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 18

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Brandon McIlwain run for 4 yds to the SCaro 22

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 11 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.24

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 2 yds Kayaune Ross fumbled, forced by Jamarcus King, recovered by SCaro Marquavius Lewis

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 5 yds to the Kent 44

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

A.J. Turner run for no gain to the Kent 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 14

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Stanley Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.68

Stanley Williams run for 21 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY UK false start 5 yards to the UK35, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Stephen Johnson run for 5 yds to the Kent 40

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Kent 44

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.24

Stephen Johnson sacked by Darius English for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 42 yds, downed at the SCaro 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brandon McIlwain run for no gain to the SCaro 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Terry Googer for 10 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete, broken up by Mike Edwards

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

David Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 39

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.83

Brandon McIlwain sacked by Naquez Pringle and Alvonte Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 37

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 43 yds , Charles Walker returns for 8 yds to the Kent 28

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Stanley Williams run for 11 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.56

Stephen Johnson sacked by Dante Sawyer for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 34

3rd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 13 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.14

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 15 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 12 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 16

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 15

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Grant McKinniss punt 52 yards to the SC1, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SC roughing the kicker 5 yards to the SC48, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 49

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the SCaro 44

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 12

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.71

Austin MacGinnis 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

David Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

David Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Hayden Hurst

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete, broken up by Derrick Baity

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Brandon McIlwain run for 7 yds to the SCaro 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 8 yds to the Kent 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Rashad Fenton at the SCaro 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 9 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the SCaro 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

A.J. Turner run for 7 yds to the SCaro 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.92

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 13 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], B. McIlwain pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yards to the UK36, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SC holding (D.J. Park) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Brandon McIlwain run for 8 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.93

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 30 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

A.J. Turner run for 12 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the Kent 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

David Williams run for 8 yds to the SCaro 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon McIlwain run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

David Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

David Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 29 yds, downed at the Kent 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 19 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+14 yds

[SHOT], Stephen Johnson pass intercepted by Jamarcus King at the UK46, Jamarcus King return to the UK10 (Nick Haynes), PENALTY SC pass interference (Antoine Wilder) 14 yards to the UK46, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 18 yds to the KENTUCKY 36 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal forward pass (Ryan Timmons) to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 26

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], Jojo Kemp rush for no gain to the UK26, out-of-bounds (Chris Lammons), PENALTY UK holding (C.J. Conrad) 10 yards to the UK16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.91

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for 28 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for 11 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Stephen Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 43 Stephen Johnson fumbled, recovered by Kent Stephen Johnson

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.02

Stanley Williams run for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

A.J. Turner run for 11 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to K.C. Crosby, broken up by Jordan Jones

3rd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon McIlwain sacked by Denzil Ware for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 33

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Stanley Williams run for 11 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 38

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.40

Stephen Johnson run for 9 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff Badet, broken up by Taylor Stallworth

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.97

Stephen Johnson pass intercepted D.J. Smith return for no gain to the SCaro 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Terry Googer

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33

3rd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.83

Brandon McIlwain run for 6 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding (Marcus McWilson) to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to A.J. Turner for 1 yd to the Kent 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 3 yds to the Kent 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 12

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Stanley Williams run for 14 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.33

Stephen Johnson sacked by Darius English for a loss of 13 yards to the Kent 13

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Kayaune Ross

3rd & 23Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.03

Stephen Johnson sacked by Darius English for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 7 Stephen Johnson fumbled, recovered by Kent Stanley Williams , return for 0 yards

4th & 29Punt+5 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 41 yds , Rashad Fenton returns for 5 yds to the SCaro 12 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SCaro 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

David Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.53

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Jacob August for 29 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

David Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 7 yds to the Kent 19

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon McIlwain run for 2 yds to the Kent 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.63

Elliott Fry 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 14 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the SCaro 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.37

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the SCaro 19

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.44

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 16

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Stephen Johnson run for 7 yds to the SCaro 9

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.98

Stephen Johnson run for 8 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jamari Smith run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to A.J. Turner for 12 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Brandon McIlwain run for 2 yds to the SCaro 44

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Brandon McIlwain run for 7 yds to the Kent 49

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Hayden Hurst

4th & 1Penalty-6 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the SCaro 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 17

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.03

Stephen Johnson run for 4 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 30

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the Kent 34

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds, downed at the SCaro 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Terry Googer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 12 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Terry Googer, broken up by Derrick Baity

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.52

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 18 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Chavis Dawkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.27

Brandon McIlwain pass complete to David Williams for 12 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to K.C. Crosby

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.13

Brandon McIlwain sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 35

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards

4th & 17Sack-19 ydsPPA -0.71

Brandon McIlwain sacked by Denzil Ware for a loss of 19 yards to the SCaro 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Benjamin Snell Jr. run for no gain to the SCaro 37

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.69

Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 37

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Team run for no gain to the SCaro 37

Situational Analysis

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
59%
17 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play