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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2016Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Florida 88%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North TexasNorth Texas
00000
FloridaFlorida
51401332

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014285-012-019-025-032-0
FloridaNorth Texas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLONTFLONTFLONTFLONTFLONTFLONTFLONTNTFLONTFLONTFLONTFLONTFLONTFLOTO411ydSAF2-7ydFG967ydPUNT65ydDOWNS877ydPUNT3-1ydTD646ydPUNT514ydPUNT637ydPUNT3-4ydTD552ydTO10ydDOWNS48ydPUNT35ydPUNT528ydPUNT47ydPUNT522ydTO429ydDOWNS47ydTD874ydPUNT3-2ydTD848ydPUNT35ydPUNT512ydDOWNS711ydEND26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Texas and Florida
StatisticNorth TexasFlorida
Passing6-2216-29
Pass Yards66216
Rush Yards-13255
Total Yards53471
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-136-13
Penalties7-7011-97
Possession23:4736:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Texas
passing
Mason Fine
6/22, 66 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jeffery Wilson
10 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Thaddeous Thompson
3 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Florida
passing
Luke Del Rio
14/25, 186 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Mark Thompson
11 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josh Hammond
2 REC, 72 YDS
defense
Marcus Maye
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Mark Thompson run for 11 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to DeAndre Goolsby

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 57 yds , Anthony Wyche returns for no gain to the NoTex 7 Anthony Wyche fumbled, recovered by NoTex

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 7

2nd & 10Safety-7 ydsPPA -1.82

Mason Fine sacked by Caleb Brantley for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the Fla 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Josh Hammond

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.37

Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 13 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 14 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Jordan Scarlett run for 19 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the NoTex 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Mark Thompson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to DeAndre Goolsby

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Eddy Pineiro 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jeffrey Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jeffrey Wilson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 6 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mason Fine run for no gain to the NoTex 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Mason Fine sacked by Keivonnis Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 30

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 52 yds, downed at the Fla 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 21

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for 9 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +2.80

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Josh Hammond for 53 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the NoTex 8

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 9

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Luke Del Rio pass complete to C.J. Worton for 4 yds C.J. Worton fumbled, recovered by Fla Jordan Scarlett

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -4.09

Mark Thompson run for no gain to the NoTex 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Willy Ivery run for 1 yd to the NoTex 6

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.08

Mason Fine run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 4

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Eric Keena punt for 43 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Cronkrite run for 9 yds to the NoTex 37

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Cronkrite run for 10 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 15 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.03

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the NoTex 11 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 21

1st & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 15 yds to the NoTex 6

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-12 Yards) to the NoTex 13

1st & 22Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NoTex 18

1st & 17Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.94

Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 19 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Jeffrey Wilson run for 11 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.72

Mason Fine sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 39

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mason Fine pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jeffrey Wilson

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Fla 11

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Luke Del Rio pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 13 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (2 Yards) to the Fla 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 27 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Fla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the Fla 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to C.J. Worton

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mason Fine run for no gain to the NoTex 20

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.37

Mason Fine sacked by Jachai Polite for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 16

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Mason Fine pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Eric Keena punt for 42 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 6 yds to the Fla 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.34

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Lamical Perine for 29 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Lamical Perine run for 12 yds to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the NoTex 6

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Luke Del Rio pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 4 yds to the NoTex 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Lamical Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -0.92

Mason Fine pass intercepted Marcell Harris return for 25 yds to the NoTex 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to C.J. Worton

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Jordan Cronkrite run for 7 yds to the NoTex 9

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the NoTex 8

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 8

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Andrew Tucker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 9

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Andrew Tucker run for 4 yds to the NoTex 13

4th & 5Punt+5 yds

Eric Keena punt for 55 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 5 yds to the Fla 37

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 49

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Willy Ivery run for 6 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.77

Tyler Wilson sacked by Marcus Maye for a loss of 10 yards to the Fla 40

3rd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.53

Mason Fine sacked by Jarrad Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 47

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 36 yds, downed at the Fla 11

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Lamical Perine run for 13 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 19

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Brandon Powell for no gain to the Fla 19

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 4 yds to the Fla 23

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Fla 18

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Luke Del Rio pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

4th & 16Punt+9 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 59 yds , Anthony Wyche returns for 9 yds to the NoTex 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Willy Ivery run for no gain to the NoTex 32

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.52

Mason Fine sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 35 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by NoTex

2nd & 19Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Willy Ivery run for 4 yds to the Fla 46

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Willy Ivery run for no gain to the Fla 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Tyler Wilson

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Eric Keena punt for 40 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 4 yds to the Fla 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Fla 14

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.69

Jordan Scarlett run for 22 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -1.44

Luke Del Rio pass intercepted Nate Brooks return for 12 yds to the Fla 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mason Fine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the Fla 28

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the Fla 26

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.06

Mason Fine pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 3 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the Fla 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Luke Del Rio pass complete to Freddie Swain for 10 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Del Rio, Luke pass incomplete to Powell, Brandon, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS personal foul 15 yards to the NORTHTEXAS44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -3.35

Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the Fla 42 FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Fla 43

1st & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Austin Appleby run for 5 yds to the Fla 48

2nd & 18Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.52

Mark Thompson run for 36 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Mark Thompson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 15

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 20

2nd & 14Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.21

Mark Thompson run for 20 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Mason Fine pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Mason Fine pass incomplete to O'Keeron Rutherford

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 16

4th & 12Punt+7 yds

Eric Keena punt for 39 yds , Brandon Powell returns for 7 yds to the NoTex 48

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Mark Thompson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Mark Thompson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 39

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Austin Appleby pass complete to Brandon Powell for 11 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.35

Austin Appleby pass complete to Josh Hammond for 19 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mark Thompson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 12

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Mark Thompson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 11

3rd & 7Penalty+6 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Holding (6 Yards) to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the NoTex 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Eddy Pineiro KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Mason Fine pass complete to Willy Ivery for 8 yds to the NoTex 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 24

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Lamical Perine run for 7 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Austin Appleby pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Austin Appleby pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+18 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 51 yds , O'Keeron Rutherford returns for 18 yds to the NoTex 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mason Fine pass complete to Willy Ivery for 4 yds to the NoTex 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mason Fine pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the NoTex 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Willy Ivery run for no gain to the NoTex 46

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Mason Fine pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the NoTex 42

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40

Situational Analysis

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
15%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
30 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
20%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play