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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2016Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 17.3

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 90%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
00303
ArkansasArkansas
14217042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-028-035-342-3
ArkansasTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKTSARKTSARKTSARKTSTSARKTSARKTSARKTSTSARKTSARKTSARKTSTD1082ydPUNT518ydTD587ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydPUNT635ydTD32ydPUNT3-4ydTD750ydPUNT34ydTO410ydPUNT3-5ydTD893ydEND11ydFG1653ydTD1582ydPUNT618ydPUNT526ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT34ydUncategorized424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Arkansas
StatisticTexas StateArkansas
Passing11-2616-22
Pass Yards83241
Rush Yards22226
Total Yards105467
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-144-9
Penalties5-457-40
Possession20:3134:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Tyler Jones
11/26, 83 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Stedman Mayberry
10 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Elijah King
1 REC, 24 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
Austin Allen
16/21, 241 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Rawleigh Williams III
19 CAR, 121 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Keon Hatcher
3 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Brooks Ellis
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.39

Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 14 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Brandon McDowell) to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd to the Ark 48

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Austin Allen run for 8 yds to the TexSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Kody Walker run for 4 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 12 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Rawleigh Williams III run for 11 yds to the TexSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Rawleigh Williams III run for 14 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rawleigh Williams III run for no gain to the TexSt 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 8

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Rawleigh Williams III run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Jones pass complete to Eric Luna for 9 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 6 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 2 yds to the TexSt 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ark 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 1 yd to the Ark 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Austin Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 9 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kody Walker run for 3 yds to the Ark 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+73 ydsPPA +5.54

Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 73 yds to the TexSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kody Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 4 yds to the TexSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the TexSt 40

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyler Jones sacked by Deatrich Wise Jr. and Austin Capps for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 31

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Drew Morgan at the Ark 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Ark 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan, broken up by Ishmael Davis

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Keon Hatcher, broken up by Gavin Graham

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Toby Baker punt for 50 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 1 yd to the TexSt 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Eric Luna, broken up by Jeremiah Ledbetter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 9 yds to the TexSt 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jericho Worrell run for no gain to the TexSt 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Drew Morgan at the Ark 18

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.34

Rawleigh Williams III run for 18 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Ark 39

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.72

Rawleigh Williams III run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Austin Allen rush for 5 yards to the TXST45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY AR holding (Frank Ragnow) 10 yards to the AR40, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kody Walker run for 2 yds to the Ark 42

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Austin Allen pass complete to Kody Walker for 11 yds to the TexSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan, broken up by Jordan Eastling

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jericho Worrell run for 2 yds to the TexSt 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Jericho Worrell

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown-25 ydsPPA -6.84

Tyler Jones pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Pulley return for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler Jones sacked by Jeremiah Ledbetter for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSt 5

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Jones run for no gain to the TexSt 5

3rd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Stedman Mayberry run for 6 yds to the TexSt 11

4th & 14Punt+1 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds , Drew Morgan returns for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Austin Allen pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 12 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.88

Dominique Reed run for 15 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Devwah Whaley run for 6 yds to the TexSt 15

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 15

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the TexSt 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Thurman Morbley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 41 yds , Drew Morgan returns for no gain to the Ark 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Rawleigh Williams III run for 8 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Rawleigh Williams III run for 8 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Dominique Reed

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.74

Austin Allen sacked by Nikolas Daniels for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 42 Austin Allen fumbled, recovered by TexSt Nikolas Daniels , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Gabe Schrade, broken up by Brooks Ellis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremiah Ledbetter

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ark 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ark 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kody Walker run for no gain to the Ark 7

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 15 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.35

Kody Walker run for 12 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Quinn Tiggs) to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 5 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.27

Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 32 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rawleigh Williams III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 9

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Austin Allen run for 8 yds to the TexSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the TexSt 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Eric Luna, broken up by Jared Collins

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 8 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 4 yds to the TexSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Elijah King, broken up by Ryan Pulley

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.28

Tyler Jones pass complete to Elijah King for 24 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 2 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, OF (McTelvin Agim) to the Ark 26

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Eric Luna

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the Ark 24

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.97

Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the Ark 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Tyler Watts

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.49

Tyler Jones sacked by JaMichael Winston and Jeremiah Ledbetter for a loss of 10 yards to the Ark 27

4th & 17Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Ark 22

4th & 12Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.59

James Sherman 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the Ark 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 5 yds to the Ark 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Austin Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 10 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rawleigh Williams III run for no gain to the Ark 35

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Rawleigh Williams III run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 4 yds to the TexSt 44

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Rawleigh Williams III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the TexSt 35

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Allen run for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.24

Kody Walker run for 1 yd to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Dominique Reed

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (Colton Jackson) to the TexSt 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.54

Austin Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 19 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Rawleigh Williams III run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 10 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the TexSt 43

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 48

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ark 3

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the Ark 12

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.10

Devwah Whaley run for 8 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the Ark 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Damon Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Ark 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Damon Mitchell run for no gain to the Ark 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Johnson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 25

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.24

Tyler Jones sacked by Bijhon Jackson and Brandon Lewis for a loss of 11 yards to the TexSt 14

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 52 yds, downed at the Ark 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ty Storey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Ark 38

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 38

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Johnson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jericho Worrell run for no gain to the TexSt 14

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Eddie Printz run for 13 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jericho Worrell run for no gain to the TexSt 27

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, OF (T.J. Smith) to the TexSt 32

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Eddie Printz run for 6 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
11%
19 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
50%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play