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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia by 0.3

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 49%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
GeorgiaGeorgia
7791033
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
01014024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-1417-1424-2124-2324-2624-33
North CarolinaGeorgia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEONCGEOPUNT516ydPUNT314ydTD1079ydPUNT619ydPUNT59ydTD552ydTO663ydPUNT34ydTD556ydPUNT423ydPUNT39ydFG1152ydEND1-1ydTD00ydMISS1251ydTD575ydTD1175ydSAF2-12ydPUNT38ydPUNT612ydFG971ydPUNT30ydTD155ydDOWNS1249ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia and North Carolina
StatisticGeorgiaNorth Carolina
Passing13-2024-40
Pass Yards185156
Rush Yards289159
Total Yards474315
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-145-13
Penalties9-7013-101
Possession38:0721:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia
passing
Jacob Eason
8/12, 131 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nick Chubb
32 CAR, 222 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Isaiah McKenzie
6 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
defense
North Carolina
passing
Mitch Trubisky
24/40, 156 YDS
rushing
T.J. Logan
6 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryan Switzer
7 REC, 52 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 31

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Nick Chubb run for 13 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Greyson Lambert sacked by Malik Carney for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 42

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 48

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.43

Greyson Lambert sacked by Des Lawrence for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 41

4th & 13Punt+7 yds

Marshall Long punt for 43 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 7 yds to the NCaro 23

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the NCaro 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Austin Proehl for 2 yds to the NCaro 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 4 yds to the NCaro 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 25

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.77

Nick Chubb run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 21

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.01

Greyson Lambert pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 25 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Greyson Lambert pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 6 yds to the NCaro 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.89

Nick Chubb run for 22 yds to the NCaro 22 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (11 yards) (Andre Smith) to the NCaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the NCaro 7

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brendan Douglas run for 5 yds to the NCaro 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds for a TD, (William Ham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 1 yd to the NCaro 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Khris Francis for 1 yd to the NCaro 25

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Roquan Smith) to the NCaro 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.81

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Carl Tucker for 10 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Davin Bellamy) to the NCaro 45

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.37

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the NCaro 47

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Ryan Switzer) to the NCaro 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 43 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for no gain to the Geo 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 21

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Geo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Greyson Lambert sacked by Malik Carney and Nazair Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 24

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Isaac Nauta

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Greyson Lambert pass incomplete, broken up by Nazair Jones

4th & 12Punt+13 yds

Marshall Long punt for 41 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 13 yds to the NCaro 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Bug Howard

2nd & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.57

T.J. Logan run for 35 yds to the Geo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.64

T.J. Logan run for 16 yds to the Geo 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

T.J. Logan run for no gain to the Geo 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mitch Trubisky run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.69

Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Nick Chubb run for 10 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jacob Eason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Nick Chubb run for 14 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Brendan Douglas run for 14 yds to the NCaro 12 Brendan Douglas fumbled, forced by M.J. Stewart, recovered by NCaro

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Austin Proehl

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

T.J. Logan run for 5 yds to the NCaro 17

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Mitch Trubisky sacked by David Marshall for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 16

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 13 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.22

Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the NCaro 19

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.70

Brian Herrien run for 19 yds for a TD, (William Ham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.72

Elijah Hood run for 32 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Elijah Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 49

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Elijah Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 49

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Bug Howard

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 44

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 22

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 25

4th & 1Punt+32 yds

Marshall Long punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the UNC 28 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Malkom Parrish) to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for no gain to the NCaro 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to T.J. Logan for 3 yds to the NCaro 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.68

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Carl Tucker for 12 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Elijah Hood for 2 yds to the Geo 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.16

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Elijah Hood for 18 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Austin Proehl for 17 yds to the Geo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete, broken up by Chuks Amaechi

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Bug Howard, broken up by Malkom Parrish

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Nick Weiler 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+95 yds

Rodrigo Blankenship kickoff for 60 yds , T.J. Logan return for 95 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah McKenzie run for 4 yds to the Geo 33

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Greg Pyke) to the Geo 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Greyson Lambert pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 8 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyler Catalina) to the Geo 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.66

Greyson Lambert pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 14 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Geo 45

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Nick Chubb run for 19 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the NCaro 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Greyson Lambert pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Greyson Lambert pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 1 yd to the NCaro 24

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+42 yds

William Ham 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Mitch Trubisky run for 7 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Elijah Hood run for 19 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.78

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 23 yds to the Geo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

T.J. Logan run for 21 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Jacob Eason pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 7 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jacob Eason pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Stanley, Jayson, PENALTY UNC pass interference (Rene, Patrice) 15 yards to the UNC46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Riley Ridley

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the NCaro 43

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Eason, Jacob pass incomplete, PENALTY UNC pass interference (Rene, Patrice) 15 yards to the UNC28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacob Eason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 5 yds to the NCaro 23

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the NCaro 20

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.28

Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 17 yds for a TD, (William Ham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Trubisky, Mitch pass complete to Proehl, Austin for 13 yards to the UNC25, PENALTY UNC ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UNC7, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Penalty-3 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the NCaro 4

2nd & 18Safety-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Terry Godwin run for 6 yds to the Geo 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 49

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Marshall Long punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

T.J. Logan run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.38

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 4 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Jon Heck) to the NCaro 36

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Elijah Hood run for 10 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.82

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Elijah Hood for no gain to the NCaro 46

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 41

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 43 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 1 yd to the Geo 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 19

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Stanley, Jayson, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Pyke, Greg) 10 yards to the GEORGIA18, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Jacob Eason pass complete to Brendan Douglas for 7 yds to the Geo 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 8 yds to the Geo 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.04

Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 51 yds to the NCaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Chubb, Nick rush for 3 yards to the UNC13, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal formation 5 yards to the UNC21, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.38

Jacob Eason sacked by Mikey Bart for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 28

2nd & 22Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Brian Herrien run for 16 yds to the NCaro 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry Godwin

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.65

William Ham 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Elijah Hood run for no gain to the NCaro 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Bug Howard for 9 yds to the NCaro 17

3rd & 1Penalty-9 yds

Trubisky, Mitch pass complete to Switzer, Ryan for 13 yards to the UNC30, PENALTY UNC pass interference 9 yards to the UNC8, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Mack Hollins

4th & 10Punt-3 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 44 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 45

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Nick Chubb run for 55 yds for a TD, (William Ham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 6 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Austin Proehl

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Bug Howard for 6 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 9 yds to the NCaro 43

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Elijah Hood for 2 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 11 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Trubisky, Mitch pass complete to Switzer, Ryan for 8 yards to the GEORGIA36, PENALTY UNC holding 10 yards to the UNC46, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 10 yds to the Geo 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Elijah Hood for 10 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Bug Howard

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to T.J. Logan for no gain to the Geo 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Trubisky, Mitch pass incomplete to Howard, Bug, PENALTY GEORGIA offside 5 yards to the GEORGIA29, NO PLAY.

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.57

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 28

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 26

3rd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.16

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 23

Situational Analysis

Georgia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
63%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
52%
21 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays