Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 4, 2016Week 1
USCUSC
6
-Final
52
AlabamaAlabama

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 10.2

Home Win Probability

Alabama 78%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 4, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
30306
AlabamaAlabama
017211452

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-37-317-331-338-345-652-6
AlabamaUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCUSCALAALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCALAUSCFG646ydPUNT47ydDOWNS1044ydPUNT37ydTO30ydTO1-3ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT828ydPUNT30ydTD336ydPUNT34ydFG764ydTD22ydPUNT416ydEND32ydTD375ydTO4-20ydTD413ydPUNT32ydTO30ydPUNT31ydTD385ydFG856ydTD965ydPUNT32ydTD467ydPUNT732ydPUNT68ydEND418yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Alabama
StatisticUSCAlabama
Passing18-3712-18
Pass Yards130223
Rush Yards64242
Total Yards194465
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-186-15
Penalties6-464-29
Possession29:1730:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Max Browne
14/29, 101 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ronald Jones II
7 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Darreus Rogers
2 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Hurts
6/11, 118 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Damien Harris
9 CAR, 138 YDS
receiving
ArDarius Stewart
4 REC, 113 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Max Browne pass complete to Justin Davis for 6 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.84

Max Browne pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 36 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the Alab 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.43

Max Browne pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Max Browne pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 6 yds to the Alab 29

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.55

Matt Boermeester 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.49

ArDarius Stewart run for 17 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 42

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.89

Blake Barnett sacked by Michael Hutchings for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 31

4th & 20Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Adoree' Jackson at the USC 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the USC 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Max Browne pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 4 yds to the USC 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.30

Max Browne pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 7 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Darreus Rogers) to the USC 28

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Max Browne pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 9 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Justin Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 33

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.09

Max Browne run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Browne, Max pass incomplete to Smith-Schuster, JuJu, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Fitzpatrick, Minkah) 15 yards to the ALABAMA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Aca'Cedric Ware run for no gain to the Alab 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Max Browne pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Browne pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 3 yds to the Alab 32

4th & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Max Browne sacked by Ryan Anderson for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Blake Barnett pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 1 yd to the Alab 38

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the Alab 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Blake Barnett pass complete to O.J. Howard for 2 yds to the Alab 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 3

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Max Browne pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the USC 3

4th & 9Penalty-1 yds

USC Penalty, Delay of Game (Chris Tilbey) to the USC 2

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 52 yds , Calvin Ridley returns for no gain to the USC 49 Calvin Ridley fumbled, recovered by Alab Calvin Ridley , return for 5 yds to the USC 49

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -3.24

Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 48 Jalen Hurts fumbled, recovered by USC Cameron Smith

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Max Browne sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 49

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Max Browne pass incomplete to Ronald Jones II

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 41 yds, downed at the Alab 10

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 9

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Alab 11

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Alab 11

4th & 9Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Adoree' Jackson at the USC 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the USC 45

2nd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.13

Max Browne sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 35

3rd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 34

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter

4th & 6Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Adoree' Jackson at the USC 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Max Browne pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Max Browne pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Max Browne pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

4th & 10Punt+21 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALABAMA 49 USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ajene Harris) to the USC 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

B.J. Emmons run for no gain to the USC 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 39

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +5.33

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 39 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Browne pass complete to Ronald Jones II for 2 yds to the USC 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 2 yds to the USC 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Max Browne pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Calvin Ridley at the Alab 25

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Damien Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 7Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.00

Damien Harris run for 46 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Damien Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 2 yds to the USC 14

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the USC 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.69

Adam Griffith 29 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Adam Griffith kickoff for 64 yds , Adoree' Jackson return for 19 yds to the USC 20. USC Penalty, Personal Foul (Jabari Ruffin) to the USC 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 12

2nd & 8Interception Return Touchdown-18 ydsPPA -6.98

Marlon Humphrey 18 Yd Interception Return (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Max Browne pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 16 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Max Browne pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Max Browne pass incomplete to Deontay Burnett

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Max Browne pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Calvin Ridley at the Alab 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the Alab 16

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.15

Damien Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 15

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Alab 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 29

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.84

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 71 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Zach Banner) to the USC 28

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Max Browne pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 2 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Max Browne pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Browne pass incomplete to Taylor McNamara

4th & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-15 ydsPPA +0.28

Chris Tilbey run for a loss of 15 yards to the USC 13 Chris Tilbey fumbled, recovered by USC Chris Tilbey

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the USC 12

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the USC 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the USC 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cam Robinson) to the USC 7

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 4 yds to the USC 24

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 21

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Sam Darnold run for 1 yd to the USC 22

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Calvin Ridley at the Alab 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Lester Cotton) to the Alab 33

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Joshua Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Iman Marshall return for no gain to the USC 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Sam Darnold run for 1 yd to the USC 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

4th & 9Punt+41 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 41 yds , Calvin Ridley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 15

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.07

B.J. Emmons run for 4 yds to the Alab 21 B.J. Emmons fumbled, forced by Ajene Harris, recovered by Alab B.J. Emmons

2nd & 4Rush+73 ydsPPA +4.32

Damien Harris run for 73 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.43

Ronald Jones II run for 46 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Max Browne pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 9 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 25

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 6 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 6 yds to the Alab 13

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Ware, Aca'Cedric rush for no gain to the ALABAMA13, PENALTY USC holding (Smith-Schuster, JuJu) 10 yards to the ALABAMA23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Max Browne pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Max Browne pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

4th & 14Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.91

Matt Boermeester 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Blake Barnett sacked by Rasheem Green for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 34

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Bo Scarbrough run for 9 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.49

Blake Barnett pass complete to O.J. Howard for 40 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Blake Barnett run for 2 yds to the USC 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the USC 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Barnett run for no gain to the USC 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Justin Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Max Browne pass complete to Tyler Petite for 5 yds to the USC 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Browne pass complete to Justin Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Blake Barnett pass complete to Cam Sims for 12 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Joshua Jacobs run for 8 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Blake Barnett pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 45 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 8 yds to the USC 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 5 yds to the USC 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 11 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+4 yds

Darnold, Sam pass incomplete to Whitney, Isaac, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Averett, Anthony) 4 yards to the ALABAMA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the Alab 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Jalen Greene

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Ronald Jones II

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

B.J. Emmons run for 6 yds to the Alab 14

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

B.J. Emmons run for 3 yds to the Alab 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.39

B.J. Emmons run for 2 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

B.J. Emmons run for 1 yd to the Alab 20

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.48

Cooper Bateman sacked by Porter Gustin for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 11

3rd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Brandon Greene for 5 yds to the Alab 16

4th & 13Punt+15 yds

JK Scott punt for 52 yds , Deontay Burnett returns for 15 yds to the USC 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dominic Davis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Sam Darnold pass complete to Dominic Davis for 6 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Dominic Davis run for 2 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Sam Darnold run for 7 yds to the Alab 35

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
8%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
11%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play