Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 5, 2016Week 10
Notre DameNotre Dame
27
-Final
28
NavyNavy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Navy 64%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 5, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
1077327
NavyNavy
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1014-1014-1721-1721-2428-2428-27
NavyNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNAVNDNAVNDNAVTD1083ydTD973ydFG1148ydDOWNS834ydPUNT36ydTD880ydTD1475ydEND21ydTD775ydTD1075ydTD1675ydFG1068ydEND1457yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Navy
StatisticNotre DameNavy
Passing19-275-8
Pass Yards22348
Rush Yards147320
Total Yards370368
Turnovers00
3rd Down9-138-13
Penalties7-471-5
Possession26:0733:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
DeShone Kizer
19/27, 223 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Josh Adams
12 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Torii Hunter Jr.
8 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Will Worth
5/8, 48 YDS
rushing
Will Worth
28 CAR, 175 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jamir Tillman
4 REC, 41 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Josh Adams run for 13 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.25

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 9 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dexter Williams run for 6 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Dexter Williams

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders

4th & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.70

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 23 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 21

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 26

1st & 20Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.34

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 26 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.01

Toneo Gulley run for 6 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Toneo Gulley run for 11 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the NDame 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the NDame 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Toneo Gulley run for 5 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.53

Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, personal foul (Drue Tranquill) to the NDame 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Darryl Bonner run for 16 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 4 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 38

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.73

DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 13 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 8 yds to the Navy 35

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Navy 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

DeShone Kizer run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 6 yds to the Navy 21

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.50

Justin Yoon 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Will Worth run for 9 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Will Worth run for 6 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Will Worth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Will Worth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 48

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Will Worth pass complete to Josh Brown for 7 yds to the NDame 45

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -1.18

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the NDame 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tarean Folston run for 6 yds to the NDame 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 20

1st & 10Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.77

Will Worth run for 60 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the NDame 18

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDame 14

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris High run for 3 yds to the NDame 11

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.80

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the NDame 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tre Walker run for 3 yds to the NDame 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Will Worth run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 32

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Josh Adams run for 10 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Tarean Folston run for 6 yds to the Navy 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.93

Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the Navy 47

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.74

DeShone Kizer run for 18 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dexter Williams run for no gain to the Navy 29

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 6 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.27

DeShone Kizer run for 9 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the Navy 19

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tarean Folston run for no gain to the Navy 19

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.09

DeShone Kizer run for 11 yds to the Navy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Will Worth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Chris High run for 1 yd to the Navy 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Worth run for 12 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Chris High run for 1 yd to the Navy 38

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 7 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.28

Chris High run for 17 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Navy Will Worth

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the NDame 37

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.65

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 37 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

DeShone Kizer run for 4 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 5 yds to the NDame 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.76

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 26 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

C.J. Sanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 10 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 1 yd to the Navy 16

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the Navy 13

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.96

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darryl Bonner run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Chris High run for 2 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Tre Walker run for 5 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Darryl Bonner run for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 30

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 9 yds to the Navy 39

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Worth run for no gain to the Navy 40 Will Worth fumbled, recovered by Navy Darryl Bonner , return for 1 yd to the Navy 40

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Navy 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 7 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Chris High run for 4 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.80

Tre Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 46

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the NDame 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.19

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 10 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Tre Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 32

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the NDame 28

3rd & 7Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Will Worth run for 27 yds to the NDame 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, ( Yards) to the NDame 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 12 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.99

DeShone Kizer sacked by Patrick Forrestal for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 29

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.12

Josh Adams run for 13 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.27

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 16 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.17

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 20 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 6 yds to the Navy 14

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.69

Justin Yoon 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Worth pass incomplete to Jamir Tillman, broken up by Donte Vaughn

3rd & 9Penalty+12 yds

WORTH, Will sideline pass incomplete to BONNER, Darryl (COLEMAN), PENALTY NDAME pass interference (COLEMAN) 12 yards to the NAVY38, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Darryl Bonner run for 6 yds to the Navy 46

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Tyler Carmona) to the Navy 41

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jamir Tillman run for 6 yds to the Navy 47

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.18

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Will Worth run for 6 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the NDame 44

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Dishan Romine run for 10 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the NDame 33

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the NDame 31

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the NDame 30

4th & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.09

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 15 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 18

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays