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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2016Week 4
DukeDuke
38
-Final
35
Notre DameNotre Dame

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 9.1

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 76%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 24, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
141401038
Notre DameNotre Dame
1477735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-1421-2828-2835-2835-38
Notre DameDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKTD875ydPUNT31ydTD464ydTD00ydPUNT39ydTD878ydMISS841ydDOWNS1050ydPUNT36ydPUNT37ydTO25ydTD125ydTD972ydTD670ydPUNT611ydEND18ydPUNT731ydTO343ydPUNT52ydTD683ydTO652ydPUNT631ydDOWNS1167ydTD981ydTD375ydTO3-10ydFG1044ydDOWNS518ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and Notre Dame
StatisticDukeNotre Dame
Passing24-3222-37
Pass Yards290381
Rush Yards208153
Total Yards498534
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-145-12
Penalties1-52-20
Possession30:3529:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Daniel Jones
24/32, 290 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jela Duncan
21 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Nash
6 REC, 123 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Notre Dame
passing
DeShone Kizer
22/37, 381 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
DeShone Kizer
11 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Equanimeous St. Brown
6 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Zaire run for 4 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete, broken up by Bryon Fields

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.37

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 26 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.74

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 18 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Duke 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.68

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 17 yds to the Duke 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jela Duncan run for no gain to the Duke 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 1 yd to the Duke 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming DUKE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt+12 yds

Austin Parker punt for 53 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 12 yds to the NDame 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.80

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 12 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Duke 44

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.66

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 44 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+96 yds

Justin Yoon kickoff for 61 yds , Shaun Wilson return for 96 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tarean Folston run for 5 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the NDame 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 3 yds to the NDame 41

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 22 , Ryan Smith returns for 4 yds to the Duke 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Duke 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Daniel Jones pass complete to Quay Chambers for 4 yds to the Duke 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.92

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 24 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 2 yds to the NDame 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 4 yds to the NDame 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 13 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 9 yds to the NDame 18

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Jela Duncan run for 18 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.00

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 28 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Duke 29

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+20 ydsPPA +0.73

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 20 yds Kevin Stepherson fumbled, forced by Breon Borders, recovered by NDame Kevin Stepherson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the Duke 16

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Tarean Folston run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 19

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 24

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Justin Yoon 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Daniel Jones run for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jela Duncan run for 6 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.04

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 17 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Shaun Wilson run for 8 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Joseph Ajeigbe run for 3 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Joseph Ajeigbe run for 1 yd to the NDame 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 7 yds to the NDame 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jela Duncan run for 1 yd to the NDame 25

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.35

Jela Duncan run for no gain to the NDame 25

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.26

Malik Zaire sacked by Ben Humphreys and Jordan Hayes for a loss of 12 yards to the NDame 13

2nd & 22Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 7 yds to the NDame 31

4th & 4Punt+18 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 29 , Ryan Smith returns for 18 yds to the Duke 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Duke 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the Duke 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 44 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tarean Folston run for 8 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -1.41

DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 25 DeShone Kizer fumbled, recovered by Duke Ben Humphreys

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Daniel Jones pass complete to Quay Chambers for 25 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 20 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.94

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Miles Boykin for 20 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Duke 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 4 yds to the Duke 21

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Duke 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the Duke 13

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Dexter Williams run for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jela Duncan run for 4 yds to the Duke 34

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Daniel Jones run for 9 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jela Duncan run for 1 yd to the Duke 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.98

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 12 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Jela Duncan run for 12 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Daniel Jones pass complete to Anthony Nash for 32 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown, broken up by Alonzo Saxton II

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.02

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

DeShone Kizer sacked by A.J. Wolf for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 46

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders, broken up by Breon Borders

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr., broken up by Breon Borders

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Jela Duncan run for 8 yds to the Duke 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Daniel Jones pass complete to Anthony Nash for 7 yds to the Duke 29

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Daniel Jones pass complete to Anthony Nash for 7 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 12 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the NDame 47

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Shaun Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor, broken up by Cole Luke

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 31 yds, downed at the NDame 17

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Dexter Williams run for 8 yds to the NDame 25

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.03

Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+31 ydsPPA -1.22

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 31 yds Equanimeous St. Brown fumbled, forced by Bryon Fields, recovered by Duke Breon Borders

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jela Duncan run for 4 yds to the Duke 44

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.08

Jela Duncan run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Daniel Jones pass complete to Anthony Nash for 2 yds to the NDame 48

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jela Duncan run for 2 yds to the NDame 46

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.84

Daniel Jones sacked by Nyles Morgan for a loss of 7 yards to the Duke 47

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, false start (Chris Taylor) to the Duke 42

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Josh Adams

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.26

DeShone Kizer run for 23 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.94

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 30 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Josh Adams run for 15 yds to the Duke 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the Duke 9

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Josh Adams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm, broken up by James Onwualu

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.19

Shaun Wilson run for 23 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Daniel Jones pass complete to Quay Chambers for 8 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, personal foul (Isaac Rochell) to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the NDame 32

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.38

Daniel Jones pass intercepted, touchback. Donte Vaughn return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.11

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 25 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.82

DeShone Kizer run for 7 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Josh Adams run for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 49 Josh Adams fumbled, recovered by NDame Josh Adams

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr., broken up by Breon Borders

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Nic Weishar

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 35 yds, downed at the Duke 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jela Duncan run for 5 yds to the Duke 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Daniel Jones pass complete to Quay Chambers for 9 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Anthony Nash

2nd & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.46

Jela Duncan run for 32 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jela Duncan run for no gain to the NDame 40

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Shaun Wilson run for 9 yds to the NDame 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Quay Chambers, broken up by Avery Sebastian

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Erich Schneider

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Daniel Jones pass complete to Quay Chambers for 9 yds to the NDame 19

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.69

Jela Duncan run for no gain to the NDame 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 24

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tarean Folston run for 4 yds to the NDame 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.92

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.80

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 27 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

DeShone Kizer run for 7 yds to the Duke 31

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.12

DeShone Kizer run for 17 yds to the Duke 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the Duke 12

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 7 yds to the Duke 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Daniel Jones pass complete to Anthony Nash for 64 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Dexter Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 12

2nd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.18

DeShone Kizer sacked by Marquies Price for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 5

3rd & 20Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.39

DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Dylan Singleton return for no gain to the NDame 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jela Duncan run for 7 yds to the NDame 38

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jela Duncan run for 1 yd to the NDame 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Daniel Jones pass complete to Erich Schneider for 7 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Daniel Jones pass complete to Anthony Nash for 11 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jela Duncan run for 3 yds to the NDame 16

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Jela Duncan run for 10 yds to the NDame 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the NDame 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jela Duncan run for 1 yd to the NDame 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Daniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NDame 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.21

AJ Reed 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 7 yds to the NDame 44

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 46

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
33 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
64%
11 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
3 plays

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
34 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
73%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play