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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2016Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 0.2

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 51%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
01521036
Notre DameNotre Dame
7071428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-87-157-227-2914-3621-3628-36
Notre DameMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDMSNDMSNDMSMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSNDMSPUNT631ydPUNT1237ydTD1091ydTO853ydPUNT3-2ydTO36ydTD138ydTO119ydPUNT35ydPUNT520ydTD1192ydEND325ydPUNT30ydPUNT615ydTD1075ydTO20ydTD339ydPUNT34ydTD278ydTD465ydPUNT619ydTD980ydPUNT610ydTD869ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydEND759yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Notre Dame
StatisticMichigan StateNotre Dame
Passing19-2620-37
Pass Yards241344
Rush Yards26057
Total Yards501401
Turnovers13
3rd Down9-184-11
Penalties3-454-51
Possession37:5722:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Tyler O'Connor
19/26, 241 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Gerald Holmes
13 CAR, 100 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Donnie Corley
4 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Notre Dame
passing
DeShone Kizer
20/37, 344 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Adams
12 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Torii Hunter Jr.
5 REC, 95 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.02

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 19 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 35 yds, downed at the MchSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 3 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to LJ Scott for 3 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler O'Connor run for 3 yds to the MchSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Prescott Line for 3 yds to the MchSt 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Tyler O'Connor run for 2 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 9 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the NDame 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler O'Connor run for 3 yds to the NDame 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 30 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 9

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 6

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 11

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Holmes for 9 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.71

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 48 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.78

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 30

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Sanders, C.J., PENALTY MICHIGANST personal foul 15 yards to the MICHIGANST15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Tarean Folston run for 9 yds to the MchSt 6

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.48

Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the MchSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.57

Tarean Folston run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 4 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 14

1st & 14Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.78

DeShone Kizer 14 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.82

LJ Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 16 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Damion Terry run for 2 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.50

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 33 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 1 yd to the NDame 22

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-30 ydsPPA -3.43

Tyler O'Connor pass intercepted Devin Studstill return for 30 yds to the NDame 33

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.59

DeShone Kizer sacked by Andrew Dowell for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 27

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 30

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the NDame 31

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the MchSt 17

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 16

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler O'Connor run for 2 yds to the MchSt 18

4th & 4Punt-2 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 42 yds , Miles Boykin returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 38 Miles Boykin fumbled, recovered by MchSt

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Donnie Corley 38 Yd pass from Tyler O'Connor (Matt Macksood Pass to Josiah Price for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 19 yds C.J. Sanders fumbled, recovered by MchSt

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler O'Connor run for 5 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 38 yds, downed at the NDame 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the NDame 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 10 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the NDame 13

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 16

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the NDame 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 71 yds, downed at the MchSt 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 12

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the MchSt 15

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.06

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 23 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 11 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyler O'Connor run for 6 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.70

LJ Scott run for 13 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the NDame 31

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

R.J. Shelton run for 4 yds to the NDame 27

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.79

Tyler O'Connor run for 6 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 11 yds to the NDame 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

R.J. Shelton 10 Yd pass from Tyler O'Connor (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 2 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.47

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 23 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for no gain to the MchSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 40 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 3 yds to the NDame 28 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the NDame 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.05

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 12 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 38

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 37 yds, fair catch by R.J. Shelton at the MchSt 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

LJ Scott run for 11 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 44

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 7 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

O'Connor, Tyler pass incomplete to Shelton, R.J., PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference 15 yards to the NOTREDAME28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the NDame 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Gerald Holmes run for no gain to the NDame 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 14 yds to the NDame 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Gerald Holmes 3 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 25

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.22

DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Jon Reschke return for no gain to the NDame 39

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the NDame 32

2nd & 3Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.28

LJ Scott run for 23 yds to the NDame 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

LJ Scott 9 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 25

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 25

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 5 yds to the NDame 30

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 48 yds, fair catch by R.J. Shelton at the MchSt 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

R.J. Shelton run for 5 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +6.18

Gerald Holmes 73 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.65

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 47 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the MchSt 15

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.07

Equanimeous St. Brown 15 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Justin Yoon Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 5 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Tyler O'Connor run for 6 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

LJ Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 38

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler O'Connor run for 6 yds to the MchSt 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.77

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chase Claypool for 33 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.12

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 34 yds to the MchSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 8 yds to the MchSt 5

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the MchSt 4

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.37

Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

DeShone Kizer 3 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

R.J. Shelton run for 7 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the MchSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Prescott Line for 3 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler O'Connor run for 4 yds to the MchSt 40

3rd & 3Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.30

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 9 yards to the MchSt 31

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 31

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.21

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 19 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Durham Smythe

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.91

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 12 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the MchSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Durham Smythe 12 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Justin Yoon Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Damion Terry run for no gain to the MchSt 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

4th & 5Punt+6 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 42 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 6 yds to the NDame 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 8 yds to the NDame 37

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.10

DeShone Kizer sacked by Raequan Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 32

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 54 yds, fair catch by R.J. Shelton at the MchSt 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 16

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.88

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 28 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the NDame 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.17

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 23 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 27

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
32 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
10 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
33%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play