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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 6.6

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 70%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BYUBYU
0372131
Michigan StateMichigan State
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-37-107-177-2414-31
Michigan StateBYU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUDOWNS949ydTD1572ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-12ydDOWNS1353ydPUNT527ydPUNT423ydPUNT39ydFG1131ydPUNT412ydTD1373ydPUNT3-5ydTD1370ydTO621ydTD332ydTD1075ydTD882ydDOWNS47ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing BYU and Michigan State
StatisticBYUMichigan State
Passing18-2913-21
Pass Yards138121
Rush Yards26085
Total Yards398206
Turnovers01
3rd Down10-166-14
Penalties3-244-39
Possession34:3425:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

BYU
passing
Taysom Hill
18/27, 138 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jamaal Williams
30 CAR, 163 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jonah Trinnaman
6 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Damion Terry
6/10, 63 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gerald Holmes
15 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josiah Price
2 REC, 29 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 5 yds to the BYU 28

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Jamaal Williams run for 9 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 36

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to KURTZ, Nick, QB hurry by Frey, Chris, PENALTY MSU pass interference 15 yards to the MSU49, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Taysom Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 4 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jamaal Williams

4th & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.16

Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 4 yds to the MchSt 28 BYU Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 7 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 8 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the MchSt 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.85

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 18 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 9 yds to the BYU 28

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 5 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the BYU 20

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds to the BYU 14

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.10

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the BYU 8

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jamaal Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Colby Pearson run for 3 yds to the BYU 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jonny Linehan punt for 45 yds, downed at the MchSt 26

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the MchSt 17 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MchSt Tyler O'Connor

2nd & 19Penalty-9 yds

Scott, LJ rush for 8 yards to the MSU25 (TALIAULI, Merrill), PENALTY MSU holding 9 yards to the MSU8, NO PLAY.

2nd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete MICHIGAN ST Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

3rd & 28Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Tyler O'Connor run for 6 yds to the MchSt 14

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 42 yds, downed at the BYU 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Taysom Hill pass complete to Hunter Marshall for 6 yds to the MchSt 48

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 44

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the MchSt 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.64

Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 20 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Taysom Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 10 yds to the MchSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Tanner Balderree

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the MchSt 4

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the MchSt 3

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.18

Algernon Brown run for no gain to the MchSt 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 6

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.79

Gerald Holmes run for 16 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the MchSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 29

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 22 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 44

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

HILL, Taysom rush for no gain to the MSU44 (Dowell, Andrew;Panasuik, Mike), PENALTY BYU illegal shift 5 yards to the MSU49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds to the MchSt 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell Juergens

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jonny Linehan punt for 37 yds, downed at the MchSt 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 10

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 14

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 14

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Garrett Juergens at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 7 yds to the MchSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Taysom Hill run for 1 yd to the MchSt 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 40

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.81

Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 6 yds to the MchSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.90

Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 4 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Team pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Taysom Hill run for 11 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Team pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -1.06

Rhett Almond 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 12 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

R.J. Shelton run for 2 yds to the MchSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the MchSt 41

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Sae Tautu for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Garrett Juergens at the BYU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Taysom Hill pass complete to Algernon Brown for 5 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the BYU 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.81

Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Taysom Hill run for 6 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 6 yds to the MchSt 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Taysom Hill run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the MchSt 28

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to HIFO, Aleva, PENALTY MSU holding 10 yards to the MSU18, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Taysom Hill run for 12 yds to the MchSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the MchSt 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Taysom Hill run for no gain to the MchSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 4 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Madre London run for 4 yds to the MchSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Travis Tuiloma and Sae Tautu for a loss of 9 yards to the MchSt 30

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Garrett Juergens at the BYU 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 33

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.39

Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Algernon Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 6 yds to the BYU 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.82

Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 5 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Squally Canada run for 14 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Squally Canada run for 9 yds to the MchSt 25

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the MchSt 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Taysom Hill pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 4 yds to the MchSt 14

4th & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Taysom Hill pass complete to Quin Ficklin for 2 yds to the MchSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Taysom Hill run for 12 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 27

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Damion Terry run for 1 yd to the MchSt 28

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the MchSt 30

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Damion Terry pass complete to Jamal Lyles for 11 yds to the MchSt 41

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.93

Damion Terry run for 1 yd to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Damion Terry pass complete to Josiah Price for 11 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-40 ydsPPA -3.39

Damion Terry pass intercepted Michael Davis return for 40 yds to the MchSt 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.74

Squally Canada run for 21 yds to the MchSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Damion Terry pass complete to Gerald Holmes for no gain to the MchSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Damion Terry pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 7 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Damion Terry run for 13 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.54

Damion Terry pass complete to Felton Davis III for 28 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Damion Terry pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Damion Terry run for 5 yds to the BYU 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Damion Terry pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 6 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Terry, Damion pass incomplete to Corley, Donnie, PENALTY BYU pass interference 14 yards to the BYU2, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Damion Terry run for 1 yd to the BYU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gerald Holmes run for no gain to the BYU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Damion Terry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the BYU 19

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the BYU 27

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Taysom Hill run for 2 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jamaal Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 36

3rd & 3Rush+62 ydsPPA +5.02

Jamaal Williams run for 62 yds to the MchSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Damion Terry sacked by Austin Heder and Sae Tautu for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 15

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Gerald Holmes

4th & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Damion Terry run for 9 yds to the MchSt 24

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 26

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 28

Situational Analysis

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
31 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
15 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play