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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2016Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 70%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 12, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArmyArmy
06006
Notre DameNotre Dame
21176044

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-021-628-631-638-644-6
Notre DameArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDARMNDARMNDARMNDARMNDARMNDARMARMNDARMNDARMNDTD00ydPUNT3-1ydTD571ydPUNT3-9ydTD844ydTD963ydTD971ydPUNT32ydFG949ydDOWNS622ydTD748ydEND215ydMISS959ydTO1676ydPUNT35ydTD537ydTO1367ydEND1469yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Notre Dame
StatisticArmyNotre Dame
Passing2-818-29
Pass Yards13215
Rush Yards229261
Total Yards242476
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-1110-13
Penalties7-687-35
Possession25:3834:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Malik McGue
2/3, 13 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Darnell Woolfolk
11 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
Christian Poe
1 REC, 9 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
DeShone Kizer
17/28, 209 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tarean Folston
13 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kevin Stepherson
5 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+92 yds

Nick Schrage kickoff for 57 yds , C.J. Sanders return for 92 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Cole Macek run for 2 yds to the Army 24

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Campbell run for 2 yds to the Army 26

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.37

Kell Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 21 Kell Walker fumbled, recovered by Army Kell Walker

4th & 11Punt-6 yds

Jermaine Adams punt for 44 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 29

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Josh Adams run for 14 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 38

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

KIZER deep pass incomplete to SANDERS, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Gibson, Gibby) 15 yards to the ARMY47, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 5 yds to the Army 39

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 37 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Army 21

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chris Carter run for 5 yds to the Army 26

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Cole Macek run for 2 yds to the Army 28

3rd & 8Penalty-14 yds

Carter, Chris post pass complete to Campbell,Tyler for 44 yards to the ND28, out-of-bounds (LUKE), PENALTY ARMY illegal block (Walker, Kell) 14 yards to the ARMY14, NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Cole Macek run for 3 yds to the Army 17

4th & 19Punt+22 yds

Jermaine Adams punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 44 , Chris Finke returns for 22 yds to the Army 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 5 yds to the Army 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 18 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

DeShone Kizer run for 9 yds to the Army 5

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.47

Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the Army 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete, broken up by TEAM

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

KIZER rush right for 3 yards to the ARMY0, clock 03:54, PENALTY ND illegal formation 5 yards to the ARMY8, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Penalty+6 yds

KIZER deep out pass incomplete to ST. BROWN, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Riley, Elijah) 6 yards to the ARMY2, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Adams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Asberry run for 3 yds to the Army 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Chris Carter run for 6 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chris Carter run for 6 yds to the NDame 42

2nd & 4Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.47

Jordan Asberry run for 37 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Carter run for 2 yds to the NDame 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris Carter run for no gain to the NDame 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Carter run for 1 yd to the NDame 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Kell Walker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Josh Adams run for 10 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.53

DeShone Kizer run for 27 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Army 25

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 30

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the Army 30

3rd & 14Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.69

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 25 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Army 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Chris Carter pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+32 yds

Jermaine Adams punt for 47 yds, downed at the NOTREDAME 26 ARMY Penalty, kick catching interference (Richard Hanson) to the NDame 41

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.65

DeShone Kizer run for 23 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chase Claypool for 9 yds to the Army 27

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.37

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Holmes for 7 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the Army 12

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the Army 7

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

KIZER screen pass complete to STEPHERSON for 2 yards to the ARMY5 (Timpf, Jeremy), PENALTY ND illegal formation 5 yards to the ARMY12, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 2 yds to the Army 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.49

Justin Yoon 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chris Carter pass incomplete to John Trainor

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.98

Jordan Asberry run for 14 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris Carter run for 4 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 48

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.06

TEAM run for no gain to the Army 48 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Army Chris Carter

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Chris Carter run for no gain to the Army 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Tarean Folston for 8 yds to the Army 40

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.19

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 7 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 7 yds to the Army 26

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders, broken up by Max Regan

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.00

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 31 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.59

Darnell Woolfolk run for 12 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Darnell Woolfolk run for 9 yds to the Army 34

2nd & 1Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.11

Darnell Woolfolk run for 40 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the NDame 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chris Carter pass incomplete to Tyler Campbell

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Chris Carter run for 13 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cole Macek run for 3 yds to the NDame 9

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 11

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.20

Chris Carter sacked by Greer Martini for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 16

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Blake Wilson 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.42

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 8 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Josh Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 27

3rd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.61

DeShone Kizer run for 15 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Josh Adams run for 12 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Corey Holmes, broken up by Jaylon McClinton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.87

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Nic Weishar for 18 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the Army 25

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Tarean Folston run for 9 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tarean Folston run for no gain to the Army 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 7 yds to the Army 9

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Army 7

4th & 1Penalty+3 yds

ARMY Penalty, offside defense (Andrew King) to the Army 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA -5.31

DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Xavier Moss return for 14 yds to the Army 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Chris Carter pass incomplete to Edgar Poe, broken up by Donte Vaughn

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Carter pass incomplete to Edgar Poe, broken up by Cole Luke

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jermaine Adams punt for 18 yds, downed at the Army 37

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Tarean Folston run for 10 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Tarean Folston run for 10 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tarean Folston run for 8 yds to the Army 9

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.44

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Finke for 5 yds to the Army 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tarean Folston run for 4 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik McGue pass complete to John Trainor for 4 yds to the Army 35

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.33

Malik McGue run for 3 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Campbell run for 2 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Malik McGue pass complete to Christian Poe for 9 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cole Macek run for 4 yds to the NDame 43

2nd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.22

Malik McGue run for 32 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

John Trainor run for 5 yds to the NDame 6

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik McGue run for no gain to the NDame 7 Malik McGue fumbled, recovered by Army Jordan Asberry

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Malik McGue sacked by James Onwualu for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 13

4th & 12Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -3.15

Malik McGue pass intercepted Julian Love return for 2 yds to the NDame 3

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.26

TEAM run for no gain to the NDame 1 TEAM fumbled,

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Malik Zaire run for 4 yds to the NDame 5

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Malik Zaire run for 12 yds to the NDame 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Tarean Folston run for 9 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Zaire run for 2 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Malik Zaire pass complete to Miles Boykin for 6 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Tarean Folston run for 7 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Malik Zaire run for 8 yds to the NDame 49

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.06

Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Tarean Folston run for 7 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Malik Zaire run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 45

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tarean Folston run for no gain to the Army 45

3rd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Tarean Folston run for 16 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Malik Zaire run for 11 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 23

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 28

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
17 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
30 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play