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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2016Week 10
Air ForceAir Force
31
-Final
12
ArmyArmy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Army 52%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 5, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
01014731
ArmyArmy
066012

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-36-1012-1712-2412-31
ArmyAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFPUNT732ydMISS1557ydPUNT613ydTO12ydTO30ydFG1077ydPUNT39ydTD355ydTD665ydEND26ydTD770ydTD1076ydTD675ydPUNT34ydPUNT519ydPUNT35ydTD655ydTO865ydPUNT618ydDOWNS718ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Army
StatisticAir ForceArmy
Passing6-95-16
Pass Yards19584
Rush Yards249144
Total Yards444228
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-124-12
Penalties9-995-35
Possession31:1328:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Arion Worthman
6/9, 195 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jacobi Owens
12 CAR, 106 YDS
receiving
Jalen Robinette
3 REC, 104 YDS
defense
Army
passing
Ahmad Bradshaw
5/15, 84 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Andy Davidson
10 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Edgar Poe
3 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.60

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jeff Ejekam for 33 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.36

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.82

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 34

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.07

Ahmad Bradshaw sacked by Jacob Onyechi for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 42

4th & 21Punt0 yds

J.D. Mote punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 15

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jacobi Owens run for 11 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Arion Worthman run for 15 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler Williams run for 5 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jeremy Timpf) to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the Army 34

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Ryan Reffitt) to the Army 39

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Ronald Cleveland run for 9 yds to the Army 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

D.J. Johnson run for no gain to the Army 30

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the Army 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the Army 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Arion Worthman pass complete to Shayne Davern for 12 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the Army 12

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 15

3rd & 12Penalty-15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Army 30

3rd & 27Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the Army 29

4th & 26Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Luke Strebel 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 31

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyler Campbell run for 7 yds to the Army 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar Poe

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar Poe, broken up by Jesse Washington

4th & 8Punt0 yds

J.D. Mote punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 15

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.38

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 17 D.J. Johnson fumbled, forced by Andrew King, recovered by Army Alex Aukerman

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kell Walker pass incomplete to Tyler Campbell, broken up by Jesse Washington

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the AFA 12

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 17

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.68

Ahmad Bradshaw pass intercepted, touchback. Weston Steelhammer return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.41

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 45 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Army 45

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the Army 40

3rd & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.09

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 25 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette, broken up by Xavier Moss

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 20

2nd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, UR (Elijah Riley) to the Army 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Williams run for 3 yds to the Army 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Timothy McVey

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the Army 3 AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.08

Luke Strebel 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 10

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 13

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 17

4th & 1Punt0 yds

J.D. Mote punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.64

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 34 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the Army 17

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Shayne Davern run for 17 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 12 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Asberry run for 2 yds to the Army 49

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 6Penalty+14 yds

Bradshaw, Ahmad pass incomplete to Poe, Edgar, PENALTY AF pass interference (WASHINGTON, Jes) 14 yards to the AF35, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Andy Davidson run for no gain to the AFA 35

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the AFA 32

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.97

Kell Walker run for 32 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 47

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.10

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jacobi Owens for 46 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Army 42

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.09

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.17

Andy Davidson run for 16 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the AFA 29

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordan Asberry run for no gain to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Haji Dunn Jr.) to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette, broken up by Elijah Riley

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+59 ydsPPA +3.19

Jacobi Owens run for 59 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the Army 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 18

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Tyler Campbell, broken up by Jesse Washington

4th & 6Punt0 yds

J.D. Mote punt for 47 yds, downed at the AFA 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Arion Worthman run for 8 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the Army 46

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the Army 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Asberry run for 1 yd to the Army 25

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kell Walker run for no gain to the Army 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

J.D. Mote punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.63

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 33 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the Army 17

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds to the Army 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the Army 4

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.22

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jeff Ejekam for 5 yds to the Army 30

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Haji Dunn Jr.) to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Bradshaw, Ahmad pass incomplete to Poe, Edgar (STEELHAMMER, We), PENALTY AF roughing passer 15 yards to the AF38, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.97

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 23 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the AFA 9

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar Poe, broken up by Jesse Washington

4th & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.67

Ahmad Bradshaw pass intercepted, touchback. Roland Ladipo return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the AFA 35

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 56 yds, downed at the Army 6

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 1

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar Poe, broken up by Roland Ladipo

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.04

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 20 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive offside (Santo Coppola) to the Army 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.37

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 24

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.25

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar Poe

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 26

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 27

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays