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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Florida 53%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Jan 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
710141041
FloridaFlorida
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-147-177-247-317-387-41
FloridaMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICTO1255ydTD973ydTD875ydPUNT48ydPUNT622ydTD880ydTO648ydFG1277ydEND650ydTD1269ydPUNT30ydTD558ydPUNT32ydTD1284ydDOWNS522ydFG934ydPUNT34ydEND849yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Florida
StatisticMichiganFlorida
Passing20-3110-25
Pass Yards278155
Rush Yards225118
Total Yards503273
Turnovers02
3rd Down9-127-13
Penalties4-307-66
Possession38:3821:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Jake Rudock
20/31, 278 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
De'Veon Smith
25 CAR, 109 YDS
receiving
Jehu Chesson
5 REC, 118 YDS, 1 TD
Florida
passing
Treon Harris
8/21, 146 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Treon Harris
11 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Antonio Callaway
5 REC, 75 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Fla 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Treon Harris run for 9 yds to the Fla 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 30

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Treon Harris pass incomplete to DeAndre Goolsby

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 34

3rd & 11Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.18

Treon Harris run for 17 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Treon Harris pass incomplete to Ahmad Fulwood

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.19

Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 26 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Treon Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Treon Harris pass incomplete to Demarcus Robinson

4th & 7Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -3.10

Johnny Townsend pass intercepted Channing Stribling return for 1 yd to the Mich 27

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 11 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 7 yds to the Fla 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.19

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.75

De'Veon Smith run for 24 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.77

Drake Johnson run for 12 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Fla 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Drake Johnson 4 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 27

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Fla 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Treon Harris pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 15 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 48

1st & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.18

Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 27 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Treon Harris pass complete to Chris Thompson for 20 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Treon Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Treon Harris 2 Yd pass from Antonio Callaway (Neil MacInnes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.46

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 6 yds to the Mich 45 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mich 35

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Rudock pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Treon Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 10 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Treon Harris pass incomplete to DeAndre Goolsby

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Treon Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 5 yds to the Fla 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Smith, De'Veon rush for loss of 5 yards to the MICHIGAN15, PENALTY FLORIDA face mask 15 yards to the MICHIGAN35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sione Houma run for no gain to the Mich 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.65

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 24 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jake Rudock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.42

Jehu Chesson 31 Yd pass from Jake Rudock (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 17 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.82

Treon Harris run for 20 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Mich 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Treon Harris pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kelvin Taylor run for 7 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.44

Treon Harris pass intercepted, touchback. Jarrod Wilson return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Joe Kerridge

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 12 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Drake Johnson run for 17 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Fla 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.71

Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for 24 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Sione Houma run for 8 yds to the Fla 13

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.25

Sione Houma run for 4 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Rudock pass complete to Drake Johnson for 2 yds to the Fla 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Drake Johnson run for 4 yds to the Fla 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Kenny Allen 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jordan Cronkrite run for 8 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Treon Harris run for 3 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -1.90

Treon Harris sacked by Royce Jenkins-Stone for a loss of 15 yards to the Fla 18 FLORIDA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Fla 18

2nd & 25Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordan Cronkrite run for 7 yds to the Fla 25

3rd & 18Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.10

Kelvin Taylor run for 21 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.42

Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for 26 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 11 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Fla 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.30

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 12 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.17

De'Veon Smith run for 10 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the Fla 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Fla 10

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Fla 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.72

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 7 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Mich Jake Rudock

2nd & 7Penalty+4 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Fla 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Grant Perry 3 Yd pass from Jake Rudock (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.84

Treon Harris sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 9

2nd & 19Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.06

Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 7

3rd & 21Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.05

Kelvin Taylor run for 11 yds to the Fla 18

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.48

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 45 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Fla 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Fla 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Sione Houma 2 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the Fla 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Treon Harris pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Treon Harris pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis

4th & 8Punt+11 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 61 yds , Amara Darboh returns for 11 yds to the Mich 35 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Mich 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 19

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Jake Rudock run for 9 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Sione Houma

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Quincy Wilson) to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Rudock run for 4 yds to the Mich 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.57

Jake Rudock pass complete to Khalid Hill for 24 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Sione Houma run for 2 yds to the Fla 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Maurice Ways

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Drake Johnson run for 12 yds to the Fla 13 Drake Johnson fumbled, forced by Marcus Maye, recovered by Mich

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Fla 10

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jake Rudock run for 2 yds to the Fla 8

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Drake Johnson 8 Yd pass from Jake Rudock (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.78

Treon Harris run for 22 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Treon Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Treon Harris pass incomplete to Antonio Callaway

4th & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.04

Taven Bryan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Fla 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Jake Rudock pass complete to Ian Bunting for 17 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Maurice Ways

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Jake Rudock run for 14 yds to the Fla 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sione Houma run for 5 yds to the Fla 6

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Sione Houma run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Drake Harris

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.84

Kenny Allen 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Josh Grady pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 7 yds to the Fla 24

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Josh Grady run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Josh Grady pass incomplete to Demarcus Robinson

4th & 6Punt+47 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 57 yds, downed at the FLORIDA 22 FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Block (Demarcus Robinson) to the Mich 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Drake Johnson run for 9 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Sione Houma run for 5 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for no gain to the Mich 46

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Sione Houma run for 7 yds to the Fla 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for 11 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.49

Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for 14 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 19

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
34 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
65%
17 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
42%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays