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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Alabama 64%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Jan 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
00000
AlabamaAlabama
01021738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-031-038-0
AlabamaMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAALAMSALAMSMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAPUNT320ydPUNT519ydPUNT414ydPUNT51ydPUNT620ydPUNT1455ydPUNT733ydTD680ydPUNT3-2ydFG743ydTO863ydEND14ydTD975ydTO35ydPUNT715ydTD3-12ydPUNT31ydTD150ydDOWNS1047ydPUNT39ydPUNT39ydTD369ydDOWNS751ydTO519ydTO524ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Alabama
StatisticMichigan StateAlabama
Passing19-3925-31
Pass Yards210286
Rush Yards29154
Total Yards239440
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-164-12
Penalties6-336-69
Possession27:0432:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Connor Cook
19/39, 210 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Damion Terry
1 CAR, 14 YDS
receiving
Josiah Price
4 REC, 39 YDS
Alabama
passing
Jake Coker
25/30, 286 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Derrick Henry
20 CAR, 75 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
8 REC, 138 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Cook, Connor pass incomplete to Burbridge, Aaron, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Humphrey, Marlon) 14 yards to the MICHIGANST39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 45

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Cook run for no gain to the MchSt 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 7 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley, broken up by Lawrence Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

ArDarius Stewart run for 7 yds to the Alab 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 56 yds, downed at the MchSt 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.48

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 14 yds to the MchSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 3 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

LJ Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 19

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 50 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 7 yds to the Alab 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 43

2nd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.80

Jake Coker sacked by Arjen Colquhoun for a loss of 13 yards to the Alab 30 Jake Coker fumbled, forced by Arjen Colquhoun, recovered by Alab

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Kenyan Drake

4th & 22Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 38 yds, downed at the MchSt 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Madre London run for no gain to the MchSt 32

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Madre London run for 2 yds to the MchSt 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.69

Connor Cook pass complete to Felton Davis III for 28 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Aaron Burbridge run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 41

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.54

Connor Cook sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 48

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 44 yds, downed at the Alab 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 7 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 12 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 9 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the MchSt 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the MchSt 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.08

Jake Coker run for 2 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley, broken up by Jermaine Edmondson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kenyan Drake run for 1 yd to the MchSt 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 1 yd to the MchSt 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Delton Williams run for 5 yds to the MchSt 25

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Cook, Connor pass incomplete to Shelton, R.J., PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Fitzpatrick, Minkah) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Delton Williams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.22

Connor Cook pass complete to Paul Lang for 17 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cook, Connor pass incomplete to Williams, Delton, PENALTY MICHIGANST illegal shift 5 yards to the ALABAMA47, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Josiah Price

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 15 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 4 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.59

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 11 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.99

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 50 yds to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

Henry, Derrick rush for no gain to the MICHIGANST1, PENALTY MICHIGANST substitution infraction 0 yards to the MICHIGANST1, NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Derrick Henry 1 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Connor Cook sacked by Ryan Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 33

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 45 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 5 yds to the Alab 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 14 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Derrick Henry) to the Alab 36

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cam Robinson) to the Alab 35

2nd & 16Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.05

Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 41 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Richard Mullaney

3rd & 11Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.94

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 30

4th & 16Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +1.79

Adam Griffith 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 12 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Cook pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 3 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 12 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Josiah Price

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.15

Connor Cook sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the MchSt 44

3rd & 18Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +4.09

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 26 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 18 yds to the Alab 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-21 ydsPPA -4.47

Connor Cook pass intercepted Cyrus Jones return for 21 yds to the Alab 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 26 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 5 yds to the MchSt 45

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Coker, Jake pass incomplete to Stewart, ArDarius, PENALTY MICHIGANST personal foul (Knox, Damon) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the MchSt 24

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kenyan Drake run for 1 yd to the MchSt 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 4 yds to the MchSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Jake Coker run for 3 yds to the MchSt 16 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Malik McDowell) to the MchSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the MchSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Calvin Ridley 6 Yd pass from Jake Coker (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Madre London run for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Connor Cook run for 3 yds to the MchSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 1 yd to the MchSt 30

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 45 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 2 yds to the Alab 27 Cyrus Jones fumbled, recovered by Alab

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Derrick Henry run for 14 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 41

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Jake Coker sacked by Demetrius Cooper for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.99

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 12 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Henry, Derrick rush for 13 yards to the MICHIGANST36, PENALTY ALABAMA illegal block (Jackson, Dominick) 15 yards to the ALABAMA36, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Coker pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Coker pass complete to Derrick Henry for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 30

3rd & 31Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.10

Derrick Henry run for 11 yds to the Alab 41

4th & 20Punt+9 yds

JK Scott punt for 53 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 9 yds to the MchSt 15

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Donavon Clark) to the MchSt 10

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 13

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr., broken up by Minkah Fitzpatrick

3rd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.10

Connor Cook sacked by Tim Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 3 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Connor Cook) to the MchSt 3

4th & 22Punt Return Touchdown+57 ydsPPA -6.60

Cyrus Jones 57 Yd Punt Return (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 1 yd to the MchSt 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge, broken up by Shaun Dion Hamilton

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge, broken up by Reuben Foster

4th & 9Punt+18 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 45 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Calvin Ridley 50 Yd pass from Jake Coker (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 7 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Aaron Burbridge run for 11 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr., broken up by Marlon Humphrey

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.99

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 18 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Josiah Price

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 5 yds to the Alab 29

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the Alab 28

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.78

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr., broken up by Reggie Ragland

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the Alab 34

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jake Coker run for 4 yds to the Alab 38

4th & 1Punt+5 yds

JK Scott punt for 53 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 5 yds to the MchSt 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Cook run for 2 yds to the MchSt 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Josiah Price

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Connor Cook pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 7 yds to the MchSt 23

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 31

1st & 10Rush+58 ydsPPA +3.09

Kenyan Drake run for 58 yds to the MchSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kenyan Drake run for no gain to the MchSt 11

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Derrick Henry 11 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Damion Terry run for 14 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.56

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 4 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Ryan Anderson) to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Connor Cook pass complete to Madre London for 10 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Madre London run for 8 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Madre London run for no gain to the Alab 24

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aaron Burbridge run for no gain to the Alab 24

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.31

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Trevon Pendleton, broken up by Bradley Sylve

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Bo Scarbrough run for 9 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Bo Scarbrough run for 9 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cooper Bateman pass incomplete to Cam Sims

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

JK Scott punt for 38 yds , R.J. Shelton returns for 2 yds to the MchSt 20 R.J. Shelton fumbled, recovered by MchSt

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Delton Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 3 yds Aaron Burbridge fumbled, forced by Maurice Smith, recovered by MchSt

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Connor Cook pass incomplete to DeAnthony Arnett

4th & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.89

Connor Cook pass complete to DeAnthony Arnett for 21 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.63

Connor Cook pass intercepted Dillon Lee return for no gain to the Alab 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 30

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
23%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play