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← Back to GamesDec 29, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Air Force 54%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 29, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
142117355
Air ForceAir Force
7148736

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-714-1421-2821-4221-4529-5236-55
Air ForceCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFCALAFCALAFCALAFCALAFCALAFCALAFCALAFCALCALAFCALAFCALAFCALAFCALAFTD1168ydTD765ydPUNT31ydTO944ydPUNT35ydTD247ydTD559ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-2ydTD781ydTO1-3ydTD124ydTD1064ydTD378ydPUNT30ydEND2-10ydTD976ydTO960ydFG1068ydTD369ydTD361ydTO643ydPUNT36ydTD752ydFG1453ydEND416yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and Air Force
StatisticCaliforniaAir Force
Passing25-377-15
Pass Yards467149
Rush Yards119285
Total Yards586434
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-125-10
Penalties5-294-47
Possession28:5331:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Jared Goff
25/37, 467 YDS, 6 TD
rushing
Tre Watson
13 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Bryce Treggs
4 REC, 143 YDS, 1 TD
Air Force
passing
Karson Roberts
7/14, 149 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacobi Owens
19 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Robinette
5 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Garrett Brown run for 3 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Timothy McVey run for no gain to the AFA 42

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds to the AFA 46

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.67

Karson Roberts run for 14 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.74

Garrett Brown run for 23 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the Cal 9

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Williams run for 3 yds to the Cal 6

3rd & 3Penalty+3 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Stefan McClure) to the Cal 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the Cal 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jacobi Owens 1 Yd Run (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 4 yds to the Cal 39

2nd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.61

Tre Watson run for 32 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Personal Foul (Weston Steelhammer) to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius Powe

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 9 yds to the AFA 5

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the AFA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Vic Enwere 1 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Karson Roberts pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Strebel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trevor Davis at the Cal 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.81

Jared Goff pass complete to Chad Hansen for 25 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tre Watson run for no gain to the AFA 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius Powe

3rd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.45

Jared Goff pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 29 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Khalfani Muhammad run for 7 yds to the AFA 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce Treggs

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jared Goff run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 5

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-17 ydsPPA -3.95

TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the AFA 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AFA D.J. Dunn Jr.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 23

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Garrett Brown run for 4 yds to the AFA 27

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Karson Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 27

4th & 5Punt+18 yds

Luke Strebel punt for 38 yds , Maurice Harris returns for 18 yds to the AFA 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 17 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Bryce Treggs 30 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Matt Anderson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.41

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 23 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the Cal 28

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Timothy McVey run for 12 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Tyler Williams 16 Yd Run (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Maurice Harris

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius Powe

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Khalfani Muhammad

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cole Leininger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Garrett Brown at the AFA 42

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the AFA 32

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the AFA 33

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Karson Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 40

4th & 12Punt+7 yds

Luke Strebel punt for 38 yds , Trevor Davis returns for 7 yds to the Cal 47 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Cal 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny Lawler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 11 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 1 yd to the Cal 31

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Tre Watson run for 18 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.69

Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 40 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Darius Powe 5 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Matt Anderson Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Karson Roberts run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 24 Karson Roberts fumbled, recovered by Cal Kyle Kragen

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Kenny Lawler 24 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Matt Anderson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Karson Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Karson Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jalen Robinette pass incomplete to Timothy McVey

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Garrett Brown run for 13 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Karson Roberts run for 6 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.09

Timothy McVey run for 19 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the Cal 12 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the Cal 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the Cal 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Karson Roberts 1 Yd Run (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Jared Goff pass complete to Tre Watson for 9 yds to the Cal 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +2.55

Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 55 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Kenny Lawler 14 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Matt Anderson Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Garrett Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 30

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Garrett Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 27

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds to the AFA 31

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Luke Strebel punt for 34 yds , Trevor Davis returns for 11 yds to the Cal 46

2nd & 6Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.84

Jared Goff sacked by Ryan Watson for a loss of 14 yards to the Cal 36

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jared Goff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.86

Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 14 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 33

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.55

Jared Goff pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 11 yds to the Cal 44

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Cal 46

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 15 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 8 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Roughing Passer (12 Yards) to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Darius Powe 12 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Matt Anderson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Karson Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 48

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.27

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Jacobi Owens run for 9 yds to the Cal 40

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.41

Bryan Driskell run for 23 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the Cal 6

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.51

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds Jacobi Owens fumbled, recovered by Cal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny Lawler

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Cal 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.19

Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 44 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Trevor Davis

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Khalfani Muhammad run for 6 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Khalfani Muhammad run for 11 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Khalfani Muhammad run for 1 yd to the AFA 18

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the AFA 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chad Hansen

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.84

Matt Anderson 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Bryan Driskell run for 8 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Timothy McVey 57 Yd pass from Karson Roberts (Jacobi Owens Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.24

Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 41 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Tre Watson run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 25

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.50

Kenny Lawler 25 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Matt Anderson Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 20

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.70

Jacobi Owens run for 14 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 14 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 15 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the Cal 35

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.55

Karson Roberts pass intercepted Luke Rubenzer return for no gain to the Cal 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Cal 17

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Cal 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jared Goff pass incomplete to Khalfani Muhammad

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cole Leininger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Garrett Brown at the AFA 48

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.17

Karson Roberts run for 21 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the Cal 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.45

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 13 yds to the Cal 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Karson Roberts pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the Cal 15

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.13

Jalen Robinette 15 Yd pass from Karson Roberts (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Khalfani Muhammad run for 6 yds to the Cal 40

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Khalfani Muhammad run for 12 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jared Goff pass complete to Chad Hansen for 5 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Khalfani Muhammad run for 4 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tre Watson run for no gain to the AFA 37

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Kenny Lawler) to the AFA 42

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.08

Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 15 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Rigsbee) to the AFA 37

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 18Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.68

Trevor Davis run for 16 yds to the AFA 19

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the AFA 16

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the AFA 16

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the AFA 13

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.60

Matt Anderson 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Garrett Griffin

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jacobi Owens run for 8 yds to the AFA 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 12 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Karson Roberts sacked by Kyle Kragen for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 48

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
64%
11 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
40%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play