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← Back to GamesDec 25, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 30%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 25, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
14771442
CincinnatiCincinnati
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-210-280-357-42
CincinnatiSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSCINSDSCINSDSCINSDSCINSDSCINSDSCINSDSCINSDSCINSDSCINSDSCINCINSDSTD00ydPUNT34ydTD985ydTO418ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT723ydPUNT1349ydPUNT58ydPUNT618ydTO434ydTD456ydPUNT836ydEND1-1ydPUNT422ydPUNT31ydDOWNS610ydTD867ydPUNT417ydTD1185ydTD6-6ydTD1273ydEND633yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Cincinnati
StatisticSan Diego StateCincinnati
Passing9-1219-31
Pass Yards129202
Rush Yards20777
Total Yards336279
Turnovers03
3rd Down9-156-14
Penalties4-3110-110
Possession35:3424:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Christian Chapman
8/11, 113 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Donnel Pumphrey
25 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dakota Gordon
4 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
Cincinnati
passing
Hayden Moore
19/30, 202 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Hosey Williams
9 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Max Morrison
7 REC, 84 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Andrew Gantz kickoff for 65 yds , Rashaad Penny return for 100 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hayden Moore pass complete to Alex Chisum for 4 yds to the Cincy 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Chris Moore

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 61 yds , Mikah Holder returns for 6 yds to the SDSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Christian Chapman pass complete to Dakota Gordon for 9 yds to the SDSt 24

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the Cincy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 21

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Chase Price run for 7 yds to the Cincy 14

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.71

Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 14 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Hosey Williams run for 6 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Hosey Williams run for 9 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tion Green run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -2.10

Hayden Moore pass intercepted Malik Smith return for 4 yds to the SDSt 34

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 31

2nd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Christian Chapman pass complete to Dakota Gordon for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 29

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 31

4th & 13Punt-5 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 47 yds , Shaq Washington returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Max Morrison

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tion Green for 7 yds to the Cincy 24

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Cincy 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for 9 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Max Morrison pass incomplete to Mekale McKay

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hayden Moore pass complete to Shaq Washington for 5 yds to the Cincy 45

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 40

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 47 yds, downed at the SDSt 13

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-6 Yards) to the SDSt 7

1st & 16Penalty+15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the SDSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SDSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SDSt 30

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.94

Dakota Gordon run for 2 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Chase Price run for 8 yds to the SDSt 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah Holder

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Chase Price run for 9 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the Cincy 47

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Cincy 45

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian Chapman run for 3 yds to the Cincy 42

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.01

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Jemond Hazely

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mekale McKay for 6 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hosey Williams run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Hosey Williams run for 2 yds to the Cincy 29

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.48

Hayden Moore sacked by Calvin Munson and Kyle Kelley for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SDSt 34

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Chase Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Christian Chapman pass complete to Chase Price for 7 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SDSt 44

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.59

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 41

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Christian Chapman run for 7 yds to the SDSt 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tion Green run for 4 yds to the Cincy 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for 7 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for 23 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA -3.39

Hayden Moore pass intercepted Damontae Kazee return for 10 yds to the SDSt 44

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.71

Donnel Pumphrey run for 33 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the Cincy 18

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Cincy 16

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.83

Donnel Pumphrey pass complete to Dakota Gordon for 16 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.16

Hayden Moore pass complete to Alex Chisum for 19 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for 6 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.85

Hayden Moore sacked by Kyle Kelley for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.48

Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for 31 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Max Morrison

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.98

Hayden Moore sacked by Kyle Kelley for a loss of 12 yards to the SDSt 38

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Tshumbi Johnson

4th & 22Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 43

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 40 yds, downed at the SDSt 3

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 2

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Hosey Williams run for 14 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Hayden Moore pass complete to DJ Dowdy for 1 yd to the Cincy 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Hayden Moore pass complete to Alex Chisum for 3 yds to the Cincy 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 54 yds, downed at the SDSt 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 11

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 11

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.13

Christian Chapman sacked by Mark Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 9

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hosey Williams run for 5 yds to the SDSt 38

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Tion Green run for 7 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tion Green run for 5 yds to the SDSt 26

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tion Green run for no gain to the SDSt 26

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tion Green run for 2 yds to the SDSt 24

4th & 3Rush-9 ydsPPA -3.20

Andrew Gantz run for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Chase Price run for 9 yds to the SDSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Christian Chapman run for 5 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the Cincy 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.89

Christian Chapman pass complete to Jemond Hazely for 16 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 19 yds to the Cincy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dakota Gordon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Hayden Moore pass complete to Alex Chisum for 12 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 38

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Alex Chisum

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 43 yds, downed at the SDSt 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 14

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Price run for 6 yds to the SDSt 20

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 15

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Christian Chapman pass complete to Chase Price for 15 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Chase Price run for 9 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Price run for 6 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cortez Broughton) to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 44

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Christian Chapman run for 7 yds to the Cincy 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.50

Christian Chapman pass complete to Dakota Gordon for 35 yds to the Cincy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mekale McKay for 7 yds to the SDSt 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for 9 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 1 yd to the SDSt 32

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 47

2nd & 24Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.98

Hayden Moore sacked by Kyle Kelley for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 46

3rd & 31Interception Return Touchdown-43 ydsPPA -6.77

Hayden Moore pass intercepted for a TD Alex Barrett return for 43 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tion Green run for 2 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tion Green run for 1 yd to the Cincy 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 yds

Hayden Moore pass complete to Chris Moore for 47 yds to the CINCINNATI 23 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tion Green run for 1 yd to the SDSt 37

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Tion Green run for 7 yds to the SDSt 30

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Mike Boone run for 10 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the SDSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Hayden Moore pass complete to Shaq Washington for 6 yds to the SDSt 12

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Mike Boone run for 7 yds to the SDSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the SDSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the SDSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dakota Gordon run for 4 yds to the SDSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.17

Rashaad Penny run for 11 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 40

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 42

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
40%
25 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play