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← Back to GamesDec 20, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 3.3

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 60%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 20, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San José StateSan José State
01031427
Georgia StateGeorgia State
070916

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-107-1316-1316-27
Georgia StateSan José State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSGSSJSGSSJSGSGSSJSGSSJSGSSJSGSSJSGSSJSGSSJSGSSJSGSSJSGSSJSPUNT413ydPUNT39ydPUNT816ydPUNT618ydFG1475ydTD39ydTD587ydPUNT826ydPUNT3-2ydTO4-10ydPUNT512ydPUNT68ydPUNT511ydTO3-1ydPUNT32ydFG833ydPUNT3-9ydSAF4-3ydTD436ydTD366ydDOWNS49ydTD1149ydTO559ydEND212yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San José State and Georgia State
StatisticSan José StateGeorgia State
Passing10-1914-29
Pass Yards89208
Rush Yards19723
Total Yards286231
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-151-10
Penalties5-486-73
Possession38:1921:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San José State
passing
Kenny Potter
10/19, 89 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Ervin
30 CAR, 132 YDS
receiving
Justin Holmes
3 REC, 48 YDS
Georgia State
passing
Nick Arbuckle
14/29, 208 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Glenn Smith
6 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Ari Werts
3 REC, 63 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyler Ervin run for 10 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tyler Ervin

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds , Donovan Harden returns for 1 yd to the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Nick Arbuckle run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 37 yds, downed at the SJSt 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.11

Kenny Potter run for 6 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the SJSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Kenny Potter pass complete to Thomas Tucker for 9 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 12 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Thomas Tucker run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.25

Hansell Wilson run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 49 Hansell Wilson fumbled, recovered by SJSt Josh Oliver

3rd & 24Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 48

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Bill Teknipp

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Glenn Smith run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 6 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert Davis

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the SJSt 25

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kenny Potter run for no gain to the SJSt 25

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Potter, Kenny pass sacked for loss of 5 yards to the SJSU20 (McGee, Alonzo), PENALTY GEORGIAST unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the SJSU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SJSU.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 5 yds to the SJSt 46

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.05

Kenny Potter run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyler Ervin run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Josh Oliver run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Tyler Ervin run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Kenny Potter pass complete to Thomas Tucker for 13 yds to the GeoSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Hansell Wilson

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kenny Potter run for no gain to the GeoSt 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.15

Austin Lopez 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Glenn Smith run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kyler Neal run for no gain to the GeoSt 34 Kyler Neal fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Kyler Neal

4th & 1Punt+85 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 51 yds , Tyler Ervin returns for 85 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.27

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Ari Werts for 20 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.29

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Ari Werts for 29 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Glenn Smith run for no gain to the SJSt 38

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.88

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 38 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 12

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the SJSt 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.06

Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 19 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kenny Potter pass complete to Thomas Tucker for 5 yds to the SJSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.10

Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Ervin, Tyler rush for 4 yards to the GEORGIAST40, PENALTY SJSU illegal formation 5 yards to the GEORGIAST49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.49

Kenny Potter sacked by Mackendy Cheridor for a loss of 11 yards to the SJSt 40

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 45 yds , Donovan Harden returns for no gain to the GeoSt 40 GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the GeoSt 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Arbuckle sacked by Keenan Sykes for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 5

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+4 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 50 yds , Tyler Ervin returns for 4 yds to the SJSt 49

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Kenny Potter run for 4 yds to the GEORGIAST 47 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 43

1st & 16Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Kenny Potter run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kenny Potter pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Potter, Kenny pass complete to Crawley, Tim for 46 yards to the GEORGIAST0, PENALTY SJSU illegal cut 15 yards to the SJSU39, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA +0.12

Kenny Potter pass intercepted Bruce Dukes return for 3 yds to the GeoSt 14

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 9 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Ari Werts

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Penny Hart run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kenny Potter run for no gain to the SJSt 17

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 16

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 11 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Kenny Potter sacked by Shawayne Lawrence for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 25

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 68 yds, downed at the GeoSt 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Taz Bateman run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Taz Bateman for 9 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny Hart

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.33

Nick Arbuckle sacked by Frank Ginda and Nick Oreglia for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 14

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 9

3rd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.04

Taz Bateman run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 18

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 45 yds , Tyler Ervin returns for 9 yds to the SJSt 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 47

3rd & 3Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.17

Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 45

4th & 11Punt-3 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 50 yds , Donovan Harden returns for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 2 Donovan Harden fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Donovan Harden

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny Hart

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 4

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Ari Werts

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.92

Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 17 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 11

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Thomas Tucker run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Thomas Tucker run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Thomas Tucker run for no gain to the GeoSt 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Shane Smith

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.15

Austin Lopez 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Avery Sweeting run for no gain to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny Hart

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.50

Nick Arbuckle sacked by Maurice McKnight and Dominic Barnes for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSt 26

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 70 yds, downed at the SJSt 4

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 1

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 6

3rd & 8Penalty-2 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-2 Yards) to the SJSt 3

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Kenny Potter pass incomplete

4th & 11Safety0 ydsPPA -1.62

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, recovered by SJSt for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the SJSt 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.78

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Ari Werts for 14 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Arbuckle run for 1 yd to the SJSt 19

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.91

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 19 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Tyler Ervin run for 20 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.66

Kenny Potter run for 42 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Kyler Neal for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kyler Neal run for no gain to the GeoSt 49

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny Hart

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kenny Potter run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kenny Potter run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 19

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.98

Tyler Ervin run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Kenny Potter run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 3 Kenny Potter fumbled, recovered by SJSt Kenny Potter

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kenny Potter pass complete to Josh Oliver for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 4 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.67

Nick Arbuckle sacked by Travis Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 13

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Arbuckle, Nick pass incomplete to Harden, Donovan (TEAM), PENALTY SJSU personal foul (McKnight, Maurice) 15 yards to the GEORGIAST28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIAST, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.72

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 33 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 14 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -4.30

Nick Arbuckle pass intercepted for a 1ST down Andre Chachere return for 24 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Gabe Mobley) to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 37

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.56

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
37%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
21 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
57%
14 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play