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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2015Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 5.9

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 68%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
7147028
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
714101445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-1414-2121-2824-2831-2845-28
Western KentuckySouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKTO36ydTD528ydPUNT59ydPUNT3-6ydTD545ydDOWNS42ydPUNT1234ydPUNT34ydTD632ydTD522ydTD1975ydPUNT535ydTD797ydEND10ydPUNT32ydTD571ydDOWNS835ydTO34ydFG839ydTO647ydTD567ydPUNT3-13ydTD358ydTO422ydTD1182ydDOWNS48ydEND513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Western Kentucky
StatisticSouthern MissWestern Kentucky
Passing15-3034-52
Pass Yards181410
Rush Yards159111
Total Yards340521
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-1311-20
Penalties5-522-15
Possession24:5735:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Nick Mullens
15/30, 181 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Ito Smith
15 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Thomas
6 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
Western Kentucky
passing
Brandon Doughty
34/52, 410 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
D'Andre Ferby
21 CAR, 57 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Taywan Taylor
8 REC, 165 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to DJ Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jalen Richard run for 6 yds to the SoMis 26

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return-16 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Mullens pass intercepted Branden Leston return for 16 yds to the SoMis 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 2 yds to the SoMis 26

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.15

Anthony Wales run for 21 yds to the SoMis 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Wales run for no gain to the SoMis 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler Higbee

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Antwane Grant 5 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ito Smith run for 9 yds to the SoMis 42

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Ito Smith run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.66

Nick Mullens sacked by Omarius Bryant for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 42

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to DJ Thompson

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Ito Smith

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 45 yds, downed at the WKent 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 10

3rd & 13Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.06

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 7

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Richard run for 2 yds to the WKent 43

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Richard run for no gain to the WKent 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Nick Mullens pass complete to Michael Thomas for 13 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.60

Nick Mullens pass complete to Michael Thomas for 28 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jalen Richard 2 Yd Run (Stephen Brauchle Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 2 yds to the SoMis 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.92

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the SoMis 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Nick Mullens pass complete to Ito Smith for 14 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ito Smith run for no gain to the SoMis 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Ito Smith

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Nick Mullens pass complete to Jalen Richard for 9 yds Jalen Richard fumbled, forced by Marcus Ward, recovered by SoMis Michael Thomas for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Nick Mullens sacked by Marcus Ward for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 43

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jalen Richard run for 2 yds to the WKent 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Nick Mullens pass complete to Michael Thomas for 9 yds to the WKent 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.38

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the WKent 28

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.48

Nick Mullens sacked by Tanner Reeves and Omarius Bryant for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 37

3rd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jalen Richard run for 3 yds to the WKent 34

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 33 yds, downed at the WKent 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 5

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 5

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler Higbee

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 27 yds, downed at the WKent 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the WKent 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.58

Nick Mullens pass complete to Michael Thomas for 10 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Nick Mullens run for 17 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalen Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Mullens pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Michael Thomas 5 Yd pass from Nick Mullens (Stephen Brauchle Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.04

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 18 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 7 yds to the WKent 37 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Ray) to the WKent 27

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 7 yds to the WKent 34

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown-40 ydsPPA -7.36

Kalan Reed 40 Yd Interception Return (Stephen Brauchle Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.11

D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the SoMis 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.21

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 15 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler Higbee

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 12 yds to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds to the SoMis 14

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the SoMis 9

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.22

D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the SoMis 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 8 yds to the SoMis 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Brandon Doughty 3 Yd Run (Garrett Schwettman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Nick Mullens pass complete to Ito Smith for 9 yds to the SoMis 35

2nd & 1Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Jalen Richard run for 20 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Nick Mullens pass complete to Jalen Richard for 6 yds to the WKent 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to DJ Thompson

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Casey Martin

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 36 yds, downed at the WKent 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 6

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 7

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 13 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 9 yds to the WKent 37

2nd & 1Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +1.99

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 49 yds to the SoMis 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Picasso Nelson Jr.) to the SoMis 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Taywan Taylor 2 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to DJ Thompson

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Devin Scott

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 44 yds , Jalen Richard returns for no gain to the SoMis 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nick Mullens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 24

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nick Mullens pass complete to Ito Smith for 4 yds to the SoMis 28

3rd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.86

Nick Mullens pass complete to Casey Martin for 31 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the WKent 37

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.34

Ito Smith 37 Yd Run (Stephen Brauchle Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds to the WKent 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 11 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the WKent 38

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 9 yds to the WKent 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 2 yds to the WKent 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 3 yds to the SoMis 48

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Daythan Davis

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the WKent 47

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.78

Nick Mullens pass intercepted Tj McCollum return for no gain to the WKent 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.11

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 14 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 22 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the SoMis 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris

4th & 7Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.10

Garrett Schwettman 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Ito Smith run for 24 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Mullens run for 11 yds to the WESTERNKY 45 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SoMis 45

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Nick Mullens run for 7 yds to the WKent 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.75

Nick Mullens pass complete to Michael Thomas for 25 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Ito Smith run for 3 yds to the WKent 20

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Oliver Bates) to the WKent 30

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -3.01

Nick Mullens pass complete to Jalen Richard for a loss of 3 yards Jalen Richard fumbled, forced by Dejon Brown, recovered by WKent Wonderful Terry

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the WKent 40

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 13 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Taywan Taylor 39 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ito Smith run for no gain to the SoMis 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to DJ Thompson

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (DJ Thompson) to the SoMis 17

3rd & 25Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the SoMis 19

4th & 23Punt-2 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 37 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brandon Doughty run for 1 yd to the WKent 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.02

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 54 yds to the SoMis 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

D'Andre Ferby 3 Yd Run (Garrett Schwettman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nick Mullens run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ito Smith run for 6 yds to the SoMis 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.20

Nick Mullens pass complete to DJ Thompson for 14 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.90

Nick Mullens pass intercepted Prince Charles Iworah return for no gain to the WKent 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 6 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.46

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Anthony Wales run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the SoMis 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.18

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 20 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the SoMis 23

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.98

Taywan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 26

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 24 yds to the SoMis 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

D'Andre Ferby 2 Yd Run (Garrett Schwettman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Mullens pass complete to Casey Martin for 5 yds to the SoMis 35

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Nick Mullens sacked by Dejon Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 31

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Nick Mullens run for 7 yds to the SoMis 38

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Casey Martin

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 40

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.56

D'Andre Ferby run for 14 yds to the SoMis 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 27

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the SoMis 25

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the SoMis 25

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
32%
25 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
26%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
18 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays