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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2015Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 19

Home Win Probability

Florida State 92%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 12, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
070714
Florida StateFlorida State
70171034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-717-724-727-1434-14
Florida StateSouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFPUNT32ydPUNT41ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydPUNT510ydTD274ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydTO37ydPUNT3-12ydTD745ydPUNT520ydPUNT39ydPUNT41ydPUNT741ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydEND1-2ydTD439ydPUNT513ydFG967ydPUNT638ydTD990ydTD275ydFG1343ydPUNT33ydTD1188ydEND723yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Florida State
StatisticSouth FloridaFlorida State
Passing12-2414-26
Pass Yards125163
Rush Yards149278
Total Yards274441
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-133-13
Penalties2-217-50
Possession26:3733:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Quinton Flowers
12/24, 125 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marlon Mack
18 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
D'Ernest Johnson
5 REC, 89 YDS, 2 TD
Florida State
passing
Everett Golson
14/26, 163 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dalvin Cook
30 CAR, 266 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Travis Rudolph
6 REC, 55 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for no gain to the SFla 29

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Quinton Flowers sacked by Giorgio Newberry for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 27

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 42 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 6 yds to the FlaSt 37

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Everett Golson run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 43 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 33

1st & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 35

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Everett Golson run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 36

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Everett Golson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 21

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Quinton Flowers run for 7 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 2 yds to the SFla 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 30

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 40 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 4 yds to the FlaSt 34 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Everett Golson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 44 yds , Tajee Fullwood returns for no gain to the SFla 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Darius Tice run for 8 yds to the SFla 34

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Quinton Flowers run for 4 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the SFla 40

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.85

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 36

4th & 12Punt+18 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 56 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 18 yds to the FlaSt 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Everett Golson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.74

Dalvin Cook run for 74 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Quinton Flowers run for no gain to the SFla 24

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 55 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 20 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Everett Golson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Everett Golson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 18

4th & 2Punt+46 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 39 yds , Tajee Fullwood returns for 46 yds to the FlaSt 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 6

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 4

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.36

Quinton Flowers pass intercepted, touchback. Marquez White return for no gain

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mario Pender run for no gain to the FlaSt 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Everett Golson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.19

Everett Golson sacked by Mike Love for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaSt 8

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the FlaSt 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 9 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.18

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 24 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

D'Ernest Johnson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

D'Ernest Johnson run for no gain to the FlaSt 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 1 yd for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Everett Golson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 6 yds to the FlaSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Everett Golson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 21

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 42

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Dalvin Cook run for 13 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 47

2nd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.15

Everett Golson sacked by Daniel Awoleke for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 43

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Everett Golson pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SFla 25

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.35

Marlon Mack run for 13 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 37

2nd & 11Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.03

Quinton Flowers run for 23 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 37

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Quinton Flowers sacked by Jacob Pugh for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 7

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 7

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Everett Golson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 11

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the SFla 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the SFla 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 15 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for no gain to the SFla 24

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Dalvin Cook run for 24 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quinton Flowers run for 5 yds to the SFla 30

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Marlon Mack run for 11 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 44

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 42

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.73

Quinton Flowers sacked by Derwin James for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 38

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 48 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 6 yds to the FlaSt 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Everett Golson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.11

Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 15 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Everett Golson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.51

Dalvin Cook run for 50 yds to the SFla 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Mario Pender run for 1 yd to the SFla 11

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.36

Everett Golson sacked by James Hamilton for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 20

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Mario Pender run for 7 yds to the SFla 13

4th & 11Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.24

Roberto Aguayo 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the SFla 30

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Marlon Mack run for 14 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Darius Tice run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darius Tice for 3 yds to the FlaSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 10

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 5

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Dalvin Cook run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 18

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 16 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Mario Pender run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Everett Golson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty+16 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (16 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Everett Golson pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for 15 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mario Pender run for no gain to the SFla 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 12 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 23 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.19

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 71 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the SFla 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Everett Golson pass complete to Ja'Vonn Harrison for 11 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.21

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the SFla 34 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SFla 44

1st & 17Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.58

Mario Pender run for 21 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the SFla 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Everett Golson pass complete to Ja'Vonn Harrison for 9 yds to the SFla 14

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.10

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the SFla 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SFla 21

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the SFla 21

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Everett Golson pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the SFla 21

4th & 20Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +1.39

Roberto Aguayo 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 56 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 5 yds to the FlaSt 12

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 17

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 10 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 28 Dalvin Cook fumbled, recovered by FlaSt

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.80

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 18 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Mario Pender run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 4 yds to the SFla 46

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Everett Golson run for 3 yds to the SFla 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the SFla 37

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.34

Dalvin Cook run for 37 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 6 yds to the SFla 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 6 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 5 yds to the SFla 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the SFla 45

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.34

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 3 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
13%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
28 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
53%
15 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays