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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2015Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 13.2

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 84%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
07131434
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-137-207-277-34
Georgia SouthernGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSTO1256ydPUNT4-4ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydPUNT521ydPUNT616ydTD485ydTD863ydPUNT3-3ydMISS1042ydPUNT34ydTO951ydEND1-1ydPUNT617ydTD581ydPUNT47ydTD585ydDOWNS528ydTD956ydPUNT3-10ydTD887ydTO317ydPUNT837ydPUNT30ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Georgia Southern
StatisticGeorgia StateGeorgia Southern
Passing20-326-19
Pass Yards34668
Rush Yards143135
Total Yards489203
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-144-14
Penalties8-1036-38
Possession31:4928:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Nick Arbuckle
20/32, 346 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Glenn Smith
13 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Penny Hart
7 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD
Georgia Southern
passing
Kevin Ellison
4/13, 53 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Matt Breida
8 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
BJ Johnson III
4 REC, 57 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 16 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Keith Rucker for 15 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Smith, Glenn rush up middle for 1 yard to the GAST43 (I. Gallon;R. George), PENALTY GS offside 5 yards to the GAST47, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Taz Bateman run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.75

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Taz Bateman for 7 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Taz Bateman run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.83

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Kyler Neal for 7 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-34 ydsPPA -4.06

Nick Arbuckle pass intercepted Matt Dobson return for 34 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.78

Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GASOUTHERN 49 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 41

1st & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 46

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

LA Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 48

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.45

Kevin Ellison sacked by Alonzo McGee and Joseph Peterson for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 46

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Taz Bateman run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 8

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 11

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Glenn Smith

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 46 yds, downed at the GeoSo 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 8 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Taz Bateman run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 7 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden, broken up by Tay Hicklin

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Caleb Williams

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 38 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 6 yds to the GeoSo 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 26

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.21

Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson for 12 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 39

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 41 yds, downed at the GeoSt 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Nick Arbuckle run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Glenn Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Glenn Smith

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Arbuckle, Nick deep left pass incomplete to Harden, Donovan, PENALTY GS offside (I. Gallon) 5 yards to the GAST32, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Arbuckle, Nick short right pass incomplete to Harden, Donovan (J. Johnson), PENALTY GS offside (I. Gallon) 5 yards to the GAST37, 1ST DOWN GAST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 63 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Matt Breida run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

LA Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.61

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Bobby Baker) to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.36

LA Ramsby run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jerome Smith) to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

LA Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Arbuckle run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.94

Nick Arbuckle sacked by Ryan George for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSt 19

3rd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 40 yds , Derek Keaton returns for no gain to the GeoSo 38

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Matt Breida run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 41

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.84

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.42

Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 18 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 15

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.91

Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 19 Kevin Ellison fumbled, forced by Tarris Batiste, recovered by GeoSo Kevin Ellison

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 20

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Younghoe Koo 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

K. Ellison deep left pass incomplete to D. Keaton, PENALTY GAST holding (Smith, Jerome) 10 yards to the GS34, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek Keaton

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 7 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 8 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.65

Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 20 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 yds

Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 29 GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return-49 ydsPPA -3.60

Kevin Ellison pass intercepted Tarris Batiste return for 34 yds to the GeoSt 0 GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

TEAM takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 40

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 19

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.78

Glenn Smith run for 22 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.56

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 21 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 17 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 18

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

LA Ramsby run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Favian Upshaw run for no gain to the GeoSt 37

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

F. Upshaw rush scrambled for 4 yards to the GAST33 (Ringer, Kaleb), PENALTY GS holding (T. Boynton) 10 yards to the GAST47, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Derek Keaton

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.53

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 27 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Glenn Smith run for 22 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.21

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Keith Rucker for 29 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Keith Rucker for 4 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Favian Upshaw run for 21 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Myles Campbell

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 44

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to BJ Johnson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.70

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 28 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 6 yds to the GeoSo 7

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Keith Rucker

3rd & 4Penalty+3 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Jamal Johnson) to the GeoSo 4

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.54

Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Arbuckle run for no gain to the GeoSo 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kyler Neal run for no gain to the GeoSo 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kyler Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.77

Kevin Ellison sacked by Michael Shaw for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSo 37

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek Keaton

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ Johnson

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 23

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Chandon Sullivan) to the GeoSt 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 14

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Taz Bateman run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 15

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 11 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Taz Bateman run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Taz Bateman run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+45 ydsPPA +4.18

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Taz Bateman for 45 yds Taz Bateman fumbled, forced by Chris DeLaRosa, recovered by GeoSt for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Donovan Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.43

Kyler Neal run for 28 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mackendy Cheridor) to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to LA Ramsby

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.63

Kevin Ellison pass intercepted Tarris Batiste return for no gain to the GeoSt 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 16

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 19

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.66

Glenn Smith run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 36

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Taz Bateman run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Nick Arbuckle run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 27

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Ryan Longoria run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 24

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Favian Upshaw pass complete to LA Ramsby for 3 yds to the GeoSo 27

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to BJ Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 39 yds, downed at the GeoSt 34

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

TEAM takes a knee

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.23

TEAM takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
40%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
36%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays