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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2015Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 19.2

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 92%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
073717
Arkansas StateArkansas State
1413141455

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-020-027-734-741-1048-1755-17
Arkansas StateTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASTSASTSASTSTSASTSTSASTSTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSTD1275ydPUNT31ydTD470ydPUNT46ydPUNT840ydTD1180ydTD675ydTD1075ydMISS1454ydTO3-7ydTD418ydPUNT37ydFG4-4ydTD679ydTO749ydPUNT35ydPUNT510ydMISS727ydTD779ydTD471ydPUNT69ydTD576ydEND415yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Arkansas State
StatisticTexas StateArkansas State
Passing19-3212-16
Pass Yards227192
Rush Yards154343
Total Yards381535
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-158-12
Penalties6-459-67
Possession32:3427:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Tyler Jones
11/17, 129 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Siudzinski
12 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
C.J. Best
8 REC, 95 YDS
Arkansas State
passing
Fredi Knighten
12/16, 192 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Michael Gordon
20 CAR, 148 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tres Houston
3 REC, 62 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Michael Gordon run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Michael Gordon run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.36

Fredi Knighten run for 10 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Warren Wand run for no gain to the TexSt 41

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Fredi Knighten run for no gain to the TexSt 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.51

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Darion Griswold for 19 yds to the TexSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Michael Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 24

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Fredi Knighten run for no gain to the TexSt 24

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.35

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 13 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Michael Gordon run for 8 yds to the TexSt 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Michael Gordon run for 3 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Jones pass complete to Brandon Smith for 4 yds to the TexSt 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Fredi Knighten run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.86

Michael Gordon run for 29 yds to the TexSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Chris Murray for 32 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSt 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Tyler Siudzinski

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 3 yds to the TexSt 42 TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyler Jones run for 10 yds to the TexSt 46 TEXAS STATE Penalty, HL (-10 Yards) to the TexSt 36

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Johnston White run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Tres Houston for 10 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Michael Gordon run for 10 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Johnston White run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 27

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Michael Gordon run for no gain to the TexSt 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 6 yds to the TexSt 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

C.J. Best run for 9 yds to the TexSt 26

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.56

C.J. Best run for 12 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 8 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 5 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 19 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 12 yds to the ArkSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Garrey for 6 yds to the ArkSt 12

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Siudzinski run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 9

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-3 yds

PENALTY TXST offside defense 3 yards to the ASU4, PENALTY ASU offside defense 0 yards to the ASU4, NO PLAY.

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 3

2nd & 3Interception Return Touchdown-99 ydsPPA -11.79

Tyler Jones pass intercepted for a TD Money Hunter return for 99 yds for a TD, (JD Houston PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Siudzinski run for 9 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Garrey for 4 yds to the TexSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.44

Tyler Jones run for 34 yds to the ArkSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Tyler Siudzinski run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

C.J. Best run for 12 yds for a TD, (Lumi Kaba KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Gordon run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 5 yds to the ArkSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Michael Gordon run for 17 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Fredi Knighten run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Warren Wand run for 9 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Johnston White run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 42

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.61

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Michael Gordon for 12 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Michael Gordon for 18 yds to the TexSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Warren Wand run for 6 yds to the TexSt 6

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Warren Wand run for 6 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 22

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Siudzinski run for 6 yds to the TexSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Tyler Jones pass complete to Brandon Smith for 27 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 47

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 46

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.98

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 18 yds to the ArkSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

C.J. Best run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 28

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 23 yds to the ArkSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.23

Tyler Jones sacked by Austin Copeland for a loss of 11 yards to the ArkSt 16

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 21

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 21Blocked Field Goal+38 yds

Lumi Kaba 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Chris Odom

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Tyler Siudzinski run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 21

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the TexSt 22

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (Tryston Mizerak) to the TexSt 17

3rd & 18Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Jones sacked by Ja'Von Rolland-Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 18 Tyler Jones fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Austin Copeland , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Fredi Knighten run for 5 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Michael Gordon run for 10 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Michael Gordon run for 1 yd to the TexSt 2

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Fredi Knighten pass complete to JD McKissic for 7 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Siudzinski run for 4 yds to the TexSt 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Connor White pass complete to Brandon Smith for 4 yds to the TexSt 30

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyler Siudzinski run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 46 yds , JD McKissic returns for no gain to the ArkSt 25 JD McKissic fumbled, recovered by TexSt Stephan Johnson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor White pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor White run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 23

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (Adrian Bellard) to the ArkSt 28

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyler Siudzinski run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 29

4th & 14Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.49

Lumi Kaba 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Michael Gordon run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Michael Gordon run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 3Penalty-4 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.76

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Tres Houston for 36 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Tres Houston for 16 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Fredi Knighten run for 2 yds to the TexSt 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Fredi Knighten run for 7 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor White pass incomplete to Tyler Siudzinski

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Siudzinski run for no gain to the TexSt 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor White pass complete to Ryan Garrey for 8 yds to the TexSt 18

4th & 2Penalty+15 yds

Kaba, Lumi punt 28 yards to the TXST46, downed, PENALTY ASU roughing the kicker (Wand, Warren) 15 yards to the TXST33, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Connor White pass complete to Ryan Garrey for 14 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Tyler Siudzinski run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Siudzinski run for no gain to the ArkSt 41

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.88

Connor White pass intercepted Rocky Hayes return for no gain to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Fredi Knighten sacked by Dondre Elvoid for a loss of 10 yards to the ArkSt 15

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Michael Gordon run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 17

3rd & 18Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Michael Gordon run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 67 yds, downed at the TexSt 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Siudzinski run for 1 yd to the TexSt 4

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Connor White pass complete to Jafus Gaines for 12 yds to the TexSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Connor White run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 14

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor White run for 4 yds to the TexSt 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Connor White pass incomplete to Demun Mercer

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 13

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

JD McKissic run for 4 yds to the TexSt 44

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Michael Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.42

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Chris Murray for 18 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Booker Mays

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Warren Wand run for 6 yds to the TexSt 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Tyler Trosin

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+38 yds

JD Houston 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.57

Connor White run for 19 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Nick Bingham run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Connor White pass complete to C.J. Best for 17 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Nick Bingham run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor White run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.80

Connor White pass complete to Jafus Gaines for 29 yds to the ArkSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Nick Bingham run for 10 yds for a TD, (Lumi Kaba KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Michael Gordon run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 38

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Michael Gordon run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Gordon run for 5 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.99

Johnston White run for 48 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor White pass complete to Ryan Garrey for 5 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Connor White run for 3 yds to the TexSt 24

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Connor White run for 3 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Nick Bingham run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 25

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor White pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Connor White pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 51 yds, downed at the ArkSt 24

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Logan Moragne run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rocky Hayes run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Logan Moragne run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Tabary, James pass complete to Stowers, S. for 5 yards to the ASU48 (Blades, Tyler), PENALTY ASU illegal formation 5 yards to the ASU38, NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Rush+58 ydsPPA +4.91

Logan Moragne run for 58 yds to the TexSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Darion Griswold run for 4 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the TexSt 44

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Bingham run for 3 yds to the TexSt 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Connor White pass complete to C.J. Best for 9 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Connor White sacked by Johnston White for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Connor White pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
42%
31 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
13%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play