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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2015Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 9.9

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 78%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 29, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
067013
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
77101337

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-321-624-1334-1337-13
Georgia SouthernTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSPUNT39ydTD572ydPUNT3-2ydTO1144ydDOWNS1140ydTD670ydFG1159ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydTO2-6ydFG4-3ydTO746ydEND1-2ydTD1075ydTD775ydFG1148ydPUNT3-4ydFG47ydPUNT31ydTD378ydTO936ydFG988ydTO25ydEND59yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Georgia Southern
StatisticTexas StateGeorgia Southern
Passing10-273-6
Pass Yards8731
Rush Yards126503
Total Yards213534
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-147-16
Penalties2-202-30
Possession22:4737:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Tyler Jones
10/25, 87 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Robert Lowe
20 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Jafus Gaines
2 REC, 38 YDS, 1 TD
Georgia Southern
passing
Kevin Ellison
2/5, 23 YDS
rushing
Matt Breida
23 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ryan Longoria
2 REC, 21 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Robert Lowe run for 9 yds to the TexSt 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt+12 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 28 , Derek Keaton returns for 12 yds to the GeoSo 46 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSo 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Kevin Ellison run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 36

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37

4th & 1Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.63

Kevin Ellison run for 26 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Matt Breida run for 37 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Robert Lowe run for 3 yds to the TexSt 28

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Carden for 6 yds to the TexSt 28

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 51 yds, downed at the GeoSo 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.66

Matt Breida run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek Keaton

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.23

LA Ramsby run for 7 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the TexSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the TexSt 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the TexSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the TexSt 27

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -3.67

Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 30 Kevin Ellison fumbled, forced by Rusmin Nikocevic, recovered by TexSt Aaron Shaw

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Robert Lowe run for 5 yds to the TexSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Robert Lowe run for 4 yds to the TexSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.36

Tyler Jones run for 5 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Jones pass complete to Jafus Gaines for 15 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Carden for no gain to the GeoSo 41

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Robert Lowe run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 34

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.82

Robert Lowe run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Jones sacked by Jay Ellison for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyler Jones pass complete to Robert Lowe for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.88

Jack Rhoades pass incomplete to Lumi Kaba

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Favian Upshaw pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 8 yds to the GeoSo 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

LA Ramsby run for 8 yds to the TexSt 49

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

LA Ramsby run for 1 yd to the TexSt 48

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.52

Matt Breida run for 48 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Robert Lowe run for 1 yd to the TexSt 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Robert Lowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 25

3rd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.85

Robert Lowe run for 20 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Jones run for no gain to the TexSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.57

Robert Lowe run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Robert Lowe run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Jones run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Siudzinski run for no gain to the GeoSo 21

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyler Siudzinski run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.52

Lumi Kaba 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Lumi Kaba kickoff for 62 yds , Derek Keaton return for 30 yds to the GeoSo 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 33

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek Keaton

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Robert Lowe run for 1 yd to the TexSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Robert Lowe

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyler Jones run for 8 yds to the TexSt 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds, downed at the GeoSo 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 15

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA +0.01

Matt Breida run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 8 Matt Breida fumbled, recovered by TexSt Karee Berry

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Robert Lowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 9

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Robert Lowe run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.36

Lumi Kaba 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 45

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.75

Kevin Ellison run for 14 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 13 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the TexSt 22

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

K. Ellison deep middle pass incomplete to L. Ramsby, PENALTY TXST pass interference (Alexcee, Damani) 15 yards to the TXST7, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the TexSt 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

LA Ramsby run for no gain to the TexSt 4

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+42 yds

Lumi Kaba kickoff for 65 yds , Derek Keaton return for 42 yds to the GeoSo 42

3rd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.40

Kevin Ellison sacked by Aaron Shaw for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSt 12 Kevin Ellison fumbled, recovered by TexSt Trey McGowan , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Matt Breida run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the TexSt 47

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the TexSt 44

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.24

Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the TexSt 38

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.52

Wesley Fields run for 38 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Carden for 7 yds to the TexSt 32 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Darrius White) to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Robert Lowe run for 2 yds to the TexSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Carden for 8 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Jones pass complete to Brandon Smith for 16 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Robert Lowe run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 23

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.31

Tyler Jones pass complete to Jafus Gaines for 23 yds for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Lumi Kaba KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Matt Breida run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Wesley Fields run for 16 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the TexSt 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Matt Breida for 10 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

LA Ramsby run for 8 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the TexSt 16

2nd & 5Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.96

Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the TexSt 12 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Darien Foreman) to the TexSt 27

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete

4th & 17Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +1.63

Younghoe Koo 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Robert Lowe run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Robert Lowe

4th & 14Punt+60 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 50 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 60 yds to the TexSt 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the TexSt 8

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the TexSt 4

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

LA Ramsby run for no gain to the TexSt 4

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.06

Younghoe Koo 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Robert Lowe run for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Robert Lowe run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Jafus Gaines

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 52 yds, downed at the GeoSo 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 3Rush+64 ydsPPA +3.52

Wesley Fields run for 64 yds to the TexSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

LA Ramsby run for 7 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Jafus Gaines

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Jafus Gaines

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Robert Lowe run for 11 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.98

Tyler Jones run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Carden for 6 yds to the GeoSo 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Jones pass complete to Demun Mercer for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.86

Tyler Jones pass intercepted Antonio Glover return for no gain to the GeoSo 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 8

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 10

3rd & 4Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.59

Matt Breida run for 44 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the TexSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.92

Wesley Fields run for 29 yds to the TexSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the TexSt 8

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the TexSt 6

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.47

Wesley Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.81

Younghoe Koo 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Younghoe Koo kickoff for 62 yds , Jafus Gaines return for 18 yds to the TexSt 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Siudzinski run for 5 yds to the TexSt 26

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Connor White pass intercepted Caleb Williams return for 2 yds to the TexSt 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chaz Thornton run for 5 yds to the TexSt 32

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Chaz Thornton run for 2 yds to the TexSt 30

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Noah Hickey run for 2 yds to the TexSt 28

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.13

Noah Hickey run for 1 yd to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
31 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
45%
11 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play