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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2015Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 4.7

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 65%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 21, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
0147627
Arkansas StateArkansas State
13213037

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-020-027-734-1437-1437-2137-27
Arkansas StateLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOULOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASMISS951ydTD776ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT55ydTD757ydPUNT31ydTD764ydPUNT30ydPUNT34ydTD10ydTD175ydPUNT35ydPUNT612ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydTD483ydTD1075ydEND1-2ydMISS1170ydTO663ydFG1055ydTD572ydTO412ydTD759ydPUNT521ydDOWNS952ydPUNT37ydDOWNS828ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Arkansas State
StatisticLouisianaArkansas State
Passing17-449-20
Pass Yards253129
Rush Yards232306
Total Yards485435
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-175-13
Penalties3-323-20
Possession29:1130:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Jalen Nixon
17/44, 253 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jalen Nixon
19 CAR, 201 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijah McGuire
10 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Arkansas State
passing
Fredi Knighten
8/19, 105 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Warren Wand
9 CAR, 98 YDS
receiving
Chris Murray
1 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 11Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.91

Jalen Nixon run for 41 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the ArkSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen Nixon run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.29

Jalen Nixon run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Torrey Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal Robinson

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Stevie Artigue 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Dijon Paschal

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Darion Griswold for 11 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.10

Michael Gordon run for 26 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Johnston White run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Johnston White run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Fredi Knighten run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Michael Gordon run for 7 yds for a TD, (Drew White PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal Robinson, broken up by Cody Brown

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Nixon run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al Riles

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 64 yds, downed at the ArkSt 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to JD McKissic

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Fredi Knighten run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 25

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.44

Fredi Knighten sacked by Dominick Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 18

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 66 yds, downed at the LaLaf 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.32

Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al Riles

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal Robinson

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Blaise Taylor at the ArkSt 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

JD McKissic run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Warren Wand run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Michael Gordon run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Tyler Trosin

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Fredi Knighten run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Johnston White run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.82

Johnston White run for 21 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al Riles

4th & 9Punt+12 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 50 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for 12 yds to the ArkSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Warren Wand

2nd & 10Rush+52 yds

Warren Wand run for 39 yds to the ARKST 25 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Trey Granier) to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Gordon run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 11

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Gordon run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 8

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Warren Wand run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Johnston White run for no gain to the LaLaf 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Darion Griswold for 2 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Nixon run for no gain to the LaLaf 9

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gary Haynes

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al Riles

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Blaise Taylor at the ArkSt 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Fredi Knighten run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Darion Griswold

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 19

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-30 ydsPPA -7.56

Jalen Nixon pass intercepted for a TD Cody Brown return for 30 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Jalen Nixon run for 75 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Michael Gordon run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Warren Wand run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Tres Houston

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 9 yds to the LaLaf 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.50

Jalen Nixon run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al Riles, broken up by Caleb Caston

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Blaise Taylor at the ArkSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Michael Gordon run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Warren Wand

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Nixon run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 21

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 62 yds, downed at the ArkSt 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Gordon run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 22

2nd & 5Penalty+4 yds

Knighten, Fredi pass incomplete to Wand, Warren, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Posey, TJ) 4 yards to the ARKST26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKST.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Fredi Knighten run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.37

Warren Wand run for 23 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Chris Murray for 46 yds for a TD, (JD Houston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 13 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.65

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 21 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jalen Nixon run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 38

3rd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.01

Jalen Nixon run for 19 yds to the ArkSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 6 yds to the ArkSt 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 2 yds to the ArkSt 11

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Jalen Nixon run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

JD McKissic run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Fredi Knighten pass complete to JD McKissic for 2 yds to the ArkSt 32

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Michael Gordon run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Tyler Trosin for 16 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.69

Johnston White run for 20 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Fredi Knighten pass complete to JD McKissic for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 13Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.19

Tres Houston pass complete to Warren Wand for 24 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Johnston White run for no gain to the LaLaf 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Johnston White run for no gain to the LaLaf 1

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 6

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Drew White 23 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 20

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.70

Jalen Nixon run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalen Nixon run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Jalen Nixon run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.43

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 35 yds to the ArkSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.42

Jalen Nixon pass intercepted, touchback. Money Hunter return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Fredi Knighten run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Tres Houston for 12 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Michael Gordon run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 33

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.70

Fredi Knighten run for 22 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Fredi Knighten run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Fredi Knighten run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.99

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Tyler Trosin for 19 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.99

Fredi Knighten run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 25

3rd & 13Penalty0 yds

Knighten, Fredi pass complete to Griswold, Darion for 13 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE12, PENALTY ARKST illegal touching (Griswold, Darion) 0 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE25, NO PLAY.

4th & 13Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.99

JD Houston 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.04

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 42 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Nixon run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.72

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 34

3rd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.38

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 17 yds to the ArkSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 17 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Gordon run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Michael Gordon run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-16 ydsPPA -2.63

Fredi Knighten pass intercepted Savion Brown return for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 16 yds to the ArkSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al Riles

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jalen Nixon run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 40

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Nixon run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 37

4th & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.41

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 14 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 20

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.79

Elijah McGuire 20 Yd pass from Jalen Nixon (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Fredi Knighten run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Warren Wand run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Gordon run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Johnston White run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 45

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Fredi Knighten run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Nixon, Jalen pass incomplete to Scott, Devin, PENALTY ARKST pass interference (Taylor, Blaise) 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULLAFAYTTE.

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 14 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 37

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Montrel Carter run for no gain to the ArkSt 37

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Jalen Nixon run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalen Nixon run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes

4th & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -1.82

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 5 yds to the ArkSt 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Michael Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 27

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Fredi Knighten run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 33

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Elijah McGuire, broken up by Khari Lain

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier, broken up by Blaise Taylor

4th & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.85

Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 28 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al Riles

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Nixon pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Johnston White run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 47

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.87

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 42

3rd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 39

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
34 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
39%
18 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
11%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
41%
32 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play