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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2015Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 12.4

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 17%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
71471341
Georgia StateGeorgia State
14010933

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1414-2121-2824-2827-3833-41
Georgia StateLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBGSLIBGSLIBGSLIBGSGSLIBGSLIBGSLIBGSLIBGSLIBGSLIBTO445ydTD380ydTD1175ydTD675ydTD1878ydPUNT521ydTD1198ydEND2-6ydTD471ydTD1375ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydFG650ydTD475ydFG560ydFG1464ydTD878ydFG44ydTO3-16ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Georgia State
StatisticLibertyGeorgia State
Passing25-3218-29
Pass Yards239394
Rush Yards26311
Total Yards502405
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-174-9
Penalties4-455-46
Possession43:3316:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Josh Woodrum
25/32, 239 YDS
rushing
D.J. Abnar
10 CAR, 88 YDS
receiving
Darrin Peterson
9 REC, 89 YDS
Georgia State
passing
Nick Arbuckle
18/29, 394 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kyler Neal
7 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Donovan Harden
5 REC, 179 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+55 yds

Wil Lutz kickoff for 65 yds , D.J. Abnar return for 55 yds to the GeoSt 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Josh Woodrum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

D.J. Abnar run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 18 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -4.32

Stephon Masha run for 19 yds Stephon Masha fumbled, forced by Tarris Batiste, recovered by GeoSt Kaleb Ringer

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny Hart

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.99

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 76 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Darrin Peterson run for 14 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

D.J. Abnar run for 3 yds to the Liber 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Damian King for 5 yds to the Liber 47

3rd & 2Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.61

Josh Woodrum run for 36 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Desmond Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 18

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Desmond Rice

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.38

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for 12 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Desmond Rice run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Josh Woodrum run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Desmond Rice run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Desmond Rice run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.37

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 61 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Wil Lutz kickoff for 64 yds , D.J. Abnar return for 21 yds to the Liber 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 4 yds to the Liber 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Dante Shells for 7 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Dante Shells

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.46

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Damian King for 16 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for 8 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Thomas Kennedy run for no gain to the GeoSt 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Josh Woodrum run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WOODRUM, J. pass incomplete to PETERSON, D., PENALTY LIBERTY holding (HOLDER, L.) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

D.J. Abnar run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

ABNAR, D.J. rush for 17 yards to the GSU30 (Baker, Bobby), PENALTY LIBERTY holding 5 yards to the LIBERTY48, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Josh Woodrum pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 9 yds to the GeoSt 43

3rd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.04

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for 20 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

D.J. Abnar run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 11 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

D.J. Abnar run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

D.J. Abnar run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 4

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Josh Woodrum pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 2 yds to the GeoSt 2

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Todd Macon run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Todd Macon run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Robert Davis for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Arbuckle, Nick pass incomplete to Davis, Robert (JACKSON, Ca.), PENALTY LIBERTY roughing passer (DESSOURCES, E.) 15 yards to the GSU46, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny Hart

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 52 yds, downed at the Liber 2

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WOODRUM, J. pass incomplete to SHELLS, D., PENALTY GSU pass interference (Sullivan, C.) 15 yards to the LIBERTY17, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Damian King run for 3 yds to the Liber 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for 6 yds to the Liber 26

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.76

Desmond Rice run for 3 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 8 yds to the Liber 37

2nd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.60

Desmond Rice run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Desmond Rice run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.41

Josh Woodrum pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 24 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Josh Woodrum run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Desmond Rice run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 3

3rd & 0Penalty+1 yds

WOODRUM, J. pass incomplete to PETERSON, D. (Sullivan, C.), PENALTY GSU pass interference (Sullivan, C.) 1 yards to the GSU2, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Desmond Rice run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Desmond Rice run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK)

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.24

Nick Arbuckle sacked by Chima Uzowihe for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSt 14

2nd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Kyler Neal run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 19

0th & 21End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 16Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

John Lunsford kickoff for 65 yds , Marquan Greene return for 29 yds to the GeoSt 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kyler Neal run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for 58 yds for a TD, (Wil Lutz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Damian King for 17 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Dante Shells for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.05

D.J. Abnar run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.93

Todd Macon run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 6 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.71

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 20 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

D.J. Abnar run for no gain to the GeoSt 22

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

D.J. Abnar run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 19

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Damian King for 11 yds to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Josh Woodrum run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 8 yds to the GeoSt 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Woodrum run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Desmond Rice run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyler Neal run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Arbuckle run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Jeremy Peters

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Wil Lutz punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Desmond Rice run for 5 yds to the Liber 41

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Desmond Rice run for 2 yds to the Liber 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Darrin Peterson LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Trey Turner punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donovan Harden at the GeoSt 18

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Arbuckle sacked by Erwin Dessources for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 15Penalty+15 yds

Arbuckle, Nick pass incomplete to Myers, Kam, PENALTY LIBERTY face mask (JAMES, A.) 15 yards to the GSU28, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.84

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Keith Rucker for 36 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arbuckle, Nick pass complete to Neal, Kyler for 16 yards to the LIBERTY20 (JALLOH, A.), PENALTY GSU ineligible downfield on pass (Evans, Taylor) 5 yards to the LIBERTY41, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Jordan Williams

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

Arbuckle, Nick pass complete to Ruiz, Joel for no gain to the LIBERTY41 (WOODRUM, J.), PENALTY GSU holding 10 yards to the GSU49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Penny Hart GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

3rd & 25Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.18

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 19 yds to the Liber 32

4th & 6Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +0.84

Wil Lutz 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Darrin Peterson

2nd & 10Rush+67 ydsPPA +4.46

D.J. Abnar run for 67 yds to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Todd Macon run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Todd Macon run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Lunsford KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.49

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 57 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the Liber 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Penny Hart for no gain to the Liber 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Donovan Harden, broken up by Alpha Jalloh

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.42

Wil Lutz 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Zac Parker for no gain to the Liber 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Thomas Kennedy

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Woodrum pass incomplete to Darrin Peterson

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

TURNER, T. punt 38 yards to the GSU37, Harden, Donovan return to the GSU41 (TEAM), PENALTY GSU roughing the kicker 15 yards to the LIBERTY40, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Desmond Rice run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Desmond Rice run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Dante Shells for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.73

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Darrin Peterson for 13 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Desmond Rice run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 17

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Desmond Rice run for no gain to the GeoSt 17

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Desmond Rice run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Desmond Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Desmond Rice run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 6

3rd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Darrin Peterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.36

John Lunsford 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

John Lunsford kickoff for 65 yds , Marquan Greene return for 22 yds to the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.90

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 22 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Arbuckle pass incomplete to Kyler Neal

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 10 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 15 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Donovan Harden for 9 yds to the Liber 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Todd Boyd for 5 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Nick Arbuckle pass complete to Kyler Neal for 9 yds to the Liber 8

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.96

Nick Arbuckle run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Desmond Rice run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Desmond Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Josh Woodrum pass complete to Desmond Rice for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39

4th & 6Field Goal Good+56 ydsPPA +1.51

John Lunsford 56 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Arbuckle run for no gain to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 10Sack-16 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Arbuckle sacked by Juwan Wells for a loss of 16 yards to the GeoSt 9

3rd & 26Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.39

Nick Arbuckle pass intercepted Chris Turner return for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 49

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 47

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
44%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play