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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2015Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 2.2

Home Win Probability

Air Force 57%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 14, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Utah StateUtah State
14014028
Air ForceAir Force
14714035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-714-1428-1428-2135-28
Air ForceUtah State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFPUNT37ydTD579ydTD675ydTD1075ydTD475ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT620ydPUNT32ydPUNT428ydPUNT628ydTD1085ydTO828ydTD375ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT528ydPUNT424ydPUNT39ydTD453ydTD1075ydTD575ydDOWNS1365ydPUNT617ydPUNT835ydDOWNS1562ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Utah State and Air Force
StatisticUtah StateAir Force
Passing25-4711-17
Pass Yards364271
Rush Yards75309
Total Yards439580
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-189-17
Penalties2-214-20
Possession22:5237:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Utah State
passing
Kent Myers
25/47, 364 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devante Mays
12 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Hunter Sharp
13 REC, 193 YDS, 3 TD
Air Force
passing
Karson Roberts
11/17, 271 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyler Williams
9 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Jalen Robinette
7 REC, 210 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 3 yds to the UthSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 5 yds to the UthSt 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Kent Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aaron Dalton punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Tyler Williams run for 13 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryan Driskell run for 3 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 1Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.57

Karson Roberts run for 27 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

D.J. Johnson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 5 yds to the UthSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 9 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.91

Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 21 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 41 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Karson Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 31

3rd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.93

Tyler Williams run for 21 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 47

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Garrett Brown run for 9 yds to the UthSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Karson Roberts run for 8 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Williams run for 14 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.43

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 20 yds to the UthSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Tyler Williams) to the UthSt 7

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyler Williams run for 4 yds to the UthSt 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Alex Norton) to the UthSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Karson Roberts run for 7 yds to the UthSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kent Myers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 5 yds to the UthSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 22 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 48 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.11

Bryan Driskell run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 24

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the AFA 30

4th & 2Punt+18 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 37 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 18 yds to the AFA 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the AFA 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.42

Kent Myers sacked by D.J. Dunn Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 45

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Aaron Dalton punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Karson Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.65

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Griffin for 10 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Garrett Brown run for 1 yd to the AFA 39

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Bryan Driskell run for 1 yd to the AFA 40

4th & 4Punt-5 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 36 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 5 yds to the UthSt 24

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Devante Mays run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 21

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Aaron Dalton punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 30 , Garrett Brown returns for 8 yds to the AFA 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Karson Roberts pass complete to Timothy McVey for 26 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the UthSt 41

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 37

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Sevrin Remmo) to the UthSt 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 33 yds, downed at the UthSt 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Devante Mays run for no gain to the UthSt 9

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the UthSt 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.66

Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 19 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 4 yds to the UthSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aaron Dalton punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Garrett Brown at the AFA 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bryan Driskell run for 3 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Garrett Brown

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.39

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 22 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.80

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.00

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 19 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

D.J. Johnson run for 9 yds to the UthSt 22

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Bryan Driskell run for 10 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Nick Vigil) to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kent Myers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Tonny Lindsey run for 10 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the UthSt 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 11 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Tonny Lindsey

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.28

Kent Myers pass intercepted, touchback. TEAM return for no gain

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the AFA 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +7.07

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 74 yds for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Devante Mays

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.37

Kent Myers sacked by D.J. Dunn Jr. and Ryan Watson for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aaron Dalton punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Karson Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.23

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 26 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Williams run for 4 yds to the UthSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Karson Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

TEAM punt for 26 yds, fair catch by TEAM at the UthSt 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.14

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 18 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Brandon Swindall, broken up by Roland Ladipo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 4 yds to the UthSt 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 2 yds to the UthSt 38

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aaron Dalton punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Karson Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 10

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Williams run for 6 yds to the AFA 16

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 19

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the UthSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 10 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 39 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Bryan Driskell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette, broken up by Jalen Davis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.71

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 31 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Jacobi Owens run for 11 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the UthSt 31

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryan Driskell run for 5 yds to the UthSt 26

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.51

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.98

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 19 yds to the UthSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the UthSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Devante Mays run for 14 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devante Mays run for 5 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Devante Mays run for 5 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 44 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Williams run for 5 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Bryan Driskell run for 5 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Tyler Williams

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Jacobi Owens run for 11 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the UthSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.75

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 19 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the UthSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyler Williams run for 7 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the UthSt 18

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Bryan Driskell run for 6 yds to the UthSt 12

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Bryan Driskell run for 2 yds to the UthSt 10

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.03

Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the UthSt 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the UthSt 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 2 yds to the UthSt 13

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Kent Myers run for 12 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tonny Lindsey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aaron Dalton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Garrett Brown at the AFA 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Tyler Williams run for 5 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Bryan Driskell

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the AFA 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 5 yds to the AFA 39

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

BROSY, Steve punt 39 yards to the USU22, PENALTY USU roughing the kicker 15 yards to the USU46, 1ST DOWN AF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the UthSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Karson Roberts run for 2 yds to the UthSt 41

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Bryan Driskell run for no gain to the UthSt 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 22 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Tonny Lindsey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Devante Mays run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.52

Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 5 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kent Myers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp

3rd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.86

Kent Myers run for 21 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Brandon Swindall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 13 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston, broken up by Roland Ladipo

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.07

Kent Myers sacked by Alex Hansen and D.J. Dunn Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.24

Kent Myers pass incomplete to Andrew Rodriguez, broken up by Weston Steelhammer

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 17

Situational Analysis

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
28 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
16 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
41%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play