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← Back to GamesOct 17, 2015Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Colorado State 46%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 17, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
6701023
Colorado StateColorado State
14714338

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-614-1328-1335-1338-1338-1638-23
Colorado StateAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSPUNT38ydPUNT31ydPUNT630ydTD545ydTD475ydTD675ydDOWNS1732ydTO1034ydTD555ydTD990ydEND1-1ydTD1075ydTO48ydTD663ydTO728ydFG1048ydFG744ydPUNT514ydTD1182ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS867ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Colorado State
StatisticAir ForceColorado State
Passing10-1623-30
Pass Yards137296
Rush Yards269160
Total Yards406456
Turnovers21
3rd Down9-1710-15
Penalties5-459-87
Possession31:3528:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Karson Roberts
9/15, 104 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Karson Roberts
24 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Garrett Brown
5 REC, 75 YDS
Colorado State
passing
Nick Stevens
23/30, 296 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jasen Oden Jr.
11 CAR, 89 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Joe Hansley
3 REC, 75 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Karson Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 26

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Karson Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 21 yds, downed at the AFA 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe Hansley, broken up by Weston Steelhammer

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AFA 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 47 yds, downed at the AFA 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the AFA 3

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Karson Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 5

3rd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.97

Jacobi Owens run for 17 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Karson Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 31

4th & 1Punt+40 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 44 yds , Joe Hansley returns for 40 yds to the COLOST 29 COLORADO ST Penalty, IB (Preston Hodges) to the AFA 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Joe Hansley run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Stevens pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Nick Stevens pass complete to Jordon Vaden for 15 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.87

Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 23 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 19

2nd & 16Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.04

Jacobi Owens run for 17 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Karson Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +5.31

Shayne Davern run for 60 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 11 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nick Stevens pass complete to Nu'uvali Fa'apito for 6 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.18

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 42 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAWKINS, Dalyn rush for 5 yards to the AF11 (LADIPO, Roland), PENALTY CS holding (BENNETT, Jake) 10 yards to the AF26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard Higgins

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 10 yds to the AFA 16

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.28

Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 16 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Karson Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 42

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.13

Karson Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 47

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Benton Washington run for 4 yds to the ColSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Benton Washington run for 3 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Karson Roberts run for no gain to the ColSt 35

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Benton Washington run for 2 yds to the ColSt 33

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.76

Karson Roberts run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Benton Washington run for 5 yds to the ColSt 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the ColSt 21

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Benton Washington run for 2 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Garrett Brown

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the ColSt 14

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Ryan Reffitt) to the ColSt 19

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Karson Roberts pass complete to Tyler Williams for 6 yds to the ColSt 13

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -3.73

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AFA Brett Dunn

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 5 yds to the ColSt 36

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.92

Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 7 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 42

2nd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.22

Nick Stevens sacked by Claude Alexander III for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 35

3rd & 19Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.93

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 24 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Nick Stevens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the AFA 41

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Nick Stevens run for 6 yds to the AFA 35

4th & 4Pass Interception Return-21 ydsPPA -2.13

Nick Stevens pass intercepted Weston Steelhammer return for 21 yds to the AFA 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.59

Tyler Williams pass complete to Shayne Davern for 33 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.01

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 24

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 12 yds to the ColSt 12

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.88

Jacobi Owens run for 12 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 6 yds to the ColSt 16

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Nu'uvali Fa'apito run for 2 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 15 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 7 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 6 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Jordon Vaden

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.63

Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 44 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 5 yds to the ColSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.16

Nick Stevens pass complete to Jordon Vaden for 23 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.12

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 19 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard Higgins

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Dalyn Dawkins run for 10 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 9 yds to the AFA 6

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Stevens run for no gain to the AFA 6

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.50

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyler Williams run for 5 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Matt Rochell) to the AFA 33

1st & 15Pass Interception Return-28 ydsPPA -0.90

Karson Roberts pass intercepted Tyree Simmons return for 13 yds to the ColSt 46 COLORADO ST Penalty, IB (Kevin Pierre-Louis) to the ColSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Brodie Hicks) to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Dalyn Dawkins run for 15 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the AFA 15

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 9 yds to the AFA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the AFA 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Benton Washington run for 3 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Karson Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Karson Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 1 yd to the AFA 45

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 1 yd to the ColSt 47 Aubrey Duty-Tyson fumbled, forced by Tyree Simmons, recovered by ColSt Deonte Clyburn

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 46

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the AFA 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.43

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 5 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 43

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.84

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 33 yds to the AFA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the AFA 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the AFA 7

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the AFA 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Wyatt Bryan 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.94

Benton Washington run for 18 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 22 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Karson Roberts run for 4 yds to the ColSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the ColSt 14

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Karson Roberts run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 24 Karson Roberts fumbled, recovered by AFA Garrett Brown

4th & 11Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.66

Luke Strebel 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Izzy Matthews run for 13 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Jasen Oden Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 37

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the ColSt 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 5 yds to the ColSt 44

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 39

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Karson Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Karson Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 23

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.27

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 7 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Karson Roberts run for 14 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Karson Roberts run for 6 yds to the ColSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt

4th & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.61

Bryan Driskell run for 4 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.08

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 38 yds to the ColSt 4 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (Nick Januska) to the ColSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Benton Washington run for 2 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MATTHEWS, Izzy rush for 6 yards to the AF38 (WATSON, Ryan), PENALTY CS holding (GOLDITCH, Zack) 10 yards to the CS46, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 49

2nd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 48

3rd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Nick Stevens run for 5 yds to the AFA 47

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 36 yds , Garrett Brown returns for 6 yds to the AFA 17

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROBERTS, Karson pass incomplete to ROBINETTE, Jale, PENALTY CS roughing passer (JACKSON, Terry) 15 yards to the AF32, 1ST DOWN AF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Karson Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Karson Roberts pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 11 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROBERTS, Karson pass incomplete to ROBINETTE, Jale, PENALTY CS pass interference (SIMMONS, Tyree) 15 yards to the CS42, 1ST DOWN AF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.65

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 20 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Karson Roberts pass complete to Benton Washington for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 24

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Karson Roberts pass complete to Benton Washington for 3 yds to the ColSt 21

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Benton Washington run for 5 yds to the ColSt 16

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.60

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 15

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
36%
14 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays