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← Back to GamesSep 13, 2015Week 2
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 8.2

Home Win Probability

Air Force 74%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 13, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San José StateSan José State
709016
Air ForceAir Force
7732037

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-714-1317-1317-1630-1637-16
Air ForceSan José State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFTD475ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydPUNT517ydTO711ydTD321ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT30ydPUNT719ydMISS1461ydTD1380ydEND10ydTD275ydPUNT37ydPUNT412ydFG1452ydFG550ydPUNT69ydTO23ydTD434ydPUNT3-1ydTD1066ydTO743ydTD487ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San José State and Air Force
StatisticSan José StateAir Force
Passing18-333-11
Pass Yards14024
Rush Yards150428
Total Yards290452
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-136-17
Penalties8-515-48
Possession23:5536:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San José State
passing
Joe Gray
11/18, 88 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Ervin
12 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Hansell Wilson
3 REC, 31 YDS
Air Force
passing
Nate Romine
3/11, 24 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Nate Romine
19 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Robinette
1 REC, 12 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Garrett Brown run for 1 yd to the AFA 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Nate Romine pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 9 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Garrett Brown run for 63 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 20

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the SJSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kenny Potter pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kenny Potter pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 73 yds, downed at the AFA 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 4

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 6

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Romine run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 3

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brett Dunn punt for 68 yds, downed at the SJSt 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Tyler Ervin run for 17 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the SJSt 37

2nd & 22Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.35

Kenny Potter sacked by Roland Ladipo for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 33

3rd & 26Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Winston for 13 yds to the SJSt 46

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Garrett Brown at the AFA 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 17

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Garrett Brown run for 5 yds to the AFA 22

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 24

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Nate Romine run for 3 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Garrett Brown

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Nate Romine run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 26

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA +0.14

Nate Romine pass intercepted Jimmy Pruitt return for 24 yds to the AFA 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the AFA 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 9 yds to the AFA 12

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 17

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.07

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 17 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Nate Romine run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt, broken up by Cleveland Wallace III

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Brett Dunn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kenny Potter run for 1 yd to the SJSt 41

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jarrod Lawson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 45

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 40

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tyler Winston, broken up by Jacob Onyechi

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Tyler Williams run for 9 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Romine pass complete to Garrett Brown for 3 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.88

Jacobi Owens run for 13 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 45

2nd & 12Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.37

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 39

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt, broken up by Maurice McKnight

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brett Dunn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Joe Gray pass complete to Justin Holmes for 13 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Tyler Ervin run for 11 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 47

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for no gain to the SJSt 47

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Hansell Wilson, broken up by David Harris

3rd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.79

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 23 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the AFA 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Joe Gray pass complete to Jarrod Lawson for 4 yds to the AFA 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 6 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the AFA 19

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Hayes Linn

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joe Gray pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Bryce Crawford 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the AFA 24

3rd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Nate Romine run for 17 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Isaiah Irving) to the AFA 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Garrett Brown

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Tony Popovich) to the SJSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Jacobi Owens run for 14 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Nate Romine run for 8 yds to the SJSt 21

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.25

Shayne Davern run for 8 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the SJSt 7

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.15

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nate Romine run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the SJSt 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the SJSt 34

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +4.83

Tyler Ervin run for 66 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nate Romine run for 1 yd to the AFA 26 Nate Romine fumbled, forced by William Ossai, recovered by AFA Nate Romine

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nate Romine run for 4 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brett Dunn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 14 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Hansell Wilson, broken up by Jesse Washington

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Hansell Wilson

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 12 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Rochell) to the AFA 22

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.66

Nate Romine run for 13 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Bryan Driskell run for 8 yds to the SJSt 48

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the SJSt 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Benton Washington run for 3 yds to the SJSt 41

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Benton Washington run for 4 yds to the SJSt 37

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Garrett Brown run for 9 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 26

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.94

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 28

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.93

Drew Oehrle 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+57 ydsPPA +3.49

Kenny Potter run for 42 yds to the AIRFORCE 33 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Brodie Hicks) to the AFA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.66

Kenny Potter sacked by Weston Steelhammer for a loss of 9 yards to the AFA 25

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tyler Ervin

4th & 17Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +1.44

Austin Lopez 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Nate Romine run for 13 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 4Penalty-13 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Tyler Williams) to the AFA 34

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Brett Dunn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Winston for 3 yds to the SJSt 27

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Kenny Potter pass intercepted Kalon Baker return for 1 yd to the SJSt 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

D.J. Johnson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

D.J. Johnson run for 11 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

D.J. Johnson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman, broken up by Connor Healy

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tim Crawley

4th & 11Punt+17 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 59 yds , Garrett Brown returns for 17 yds to the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.70

Nate Romine run for 45 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 14

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 13

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.52

Nate Romine run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 14

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the SJSt 11

3rd & 11Penalty+6 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Joe Gray) to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Joe Gray pass complete to Justin Holmes for 9 yds to the SJSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Joe Gray pass complete to Justin Holmes for 5 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 13 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 3 yds to the AFA 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.29

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 13 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.13

Joe Gray pass intercepted Weston Steelhammer return for no gain to the AFA 13

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +3.72

Jacobi Owens run for 52 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

D.J. Johnson run for no gain to the SJSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Benton Washington run for 1 yd to the SJSt 34

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.37

D.J. Johnson run for 34 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Roland Ladipo

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Kenny Potter sacked by David Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 15

3rd & 20Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.03

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 51 yds, downed at the AFA 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Bryan Driskell run for 2 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 36

3rd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brett Dunn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 32

Situational Analysis

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
20%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
29%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play