Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 7.8

Home Win Probability

Air Force 73%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morgan State
07007
Air ForceAir Force
72128763

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-028-028-735-742-756-763-7
Air ForceMorgan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSAFMSAFMSAFMSMSAFMSAFAFMSAFMSMSAFMSAFMSAFMSPUNT616ydTD666ydMISS1050ydTD1375ydPUNT3-5ydTD655ydTD34ydPUNT617ydPUNT3-7ydTD762ydMISS437ydTD875ydPUNT61ydTD556ydTD20ydTO633ydTD958ydPUNT3-4ydTD865ydPUNT36ydPUNT927ydEND516yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morgan State and Air Force
StatisticMorgan StateAir Force
Passing13-254-7
Pass Yards142119
Rush Yards53394
Total Yards195513
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-168-10
Penalties9-556-57
Possession30:0829:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morgan State
passing
Moses Skillon
13/25, 142 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Moses Skillon
18 CAR, 35 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lamont Brown III
2 REC, 38 YDS
Air Force
passing
Nate Romine
4/7, 119 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
D.J. Johnson
11 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Garrett Brown
2 REC, 58 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 20

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Orlando Johnson run for no gain to the MorgS 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Moses Skillon pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.24

Moses Skillon pass complete to Ricky Fisk for 17 yds to the MorgS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 32

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Moses Skillon run for 9 yds to the MorgS 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Moses Skillon run for 4 yds to the MorgS 45

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.47

Ricky Fisk run for a loss of 4 yards to the MorgS 41

4th & 6Punt+25 yds

Chris Moller punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Garrett Brown at the AIRFORCE 29 MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

D.J. Johnson run for 10 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MorgS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

D.J. Johnson run for 8 yds to the MorgS 38

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.03

D.J. Johnson run for 10 yds to the MorgS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the MorgS 26

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.04

Jalen Robinette 26 Yd pass from Nate Romine (Drew Oehrle Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Moses Skillon pass complete to Andrew King for 4 yds to the MorgS 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Orlando Johnson run for no gain to the MorgS 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.80

Moses Skillon pass complete to Orlando Johnson for 20 yds to the MorgS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ricky Fisk run for no gain to the MorgS 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Ricky Fisk

3rd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.65

Moses Skillon pass complete to Brian Gentry for 28 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Moses Skillon pass complete to Eme Akonawe for 3 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Orlando Johnson run for 1 yd to the AFA 24

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Moses Skillon sacked by Alex Hansen for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 25

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Chris Moller 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Benton Washington run for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Benton Washington run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Jalen Robinette) to the AFA 45

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the MorgS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Nate Romine run for 1 yd to the MorgS 45

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.45

Garrett Brown run for 10 yds to the MorgS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Benton Washington run for 20 yds to the MorgS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Garrett Brown

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Garrett Brown run for 9 yds to the MorgS 6

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Moses Skillon run for 1 yd to the MorgS 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Orlando Johnson run for 1 yd to the MorgS 27

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.35

Moses Skillon sacked by Samuel Byers for a loss of 7 yards to the MorgS 20

4th & 15Punt+8 yds

Chris Moller punt for 43 yds , Garrett Brown returns for 8 yds to the AFA 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the AFA 45

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jai Franklin) to the MorgS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jacobi Owens run for 8 yds to the MorgS 32

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.19

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the MorgS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the MorgS 22

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the MorgS 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the MorgS 13

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.60

Benton Washington run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Brian Gentry

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Lamont Brown III run for 2 yds to the MorgS 27

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Moses Skillon run for 2 yds to the MorgS 29

4th & 6Punt+75 yds

Chris Moller punt for 46 yds , Garrett Brown returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Lamont Brown III run for no gain to the MorgS 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Moses Skillon pass complete to Andrew King for 4 yds to the MorgS 17

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Moses Skillon run for 10 yds to the MorgS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Marcolm Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorgS 25

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Moses Skillon pass complete to Andrew King for 5 yds to the MorgS 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Moses Skillon pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Chris Moller punt for 36 yds, downed at the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 35

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.10

Nate Romine run for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 27 Nate Romine fumbled, recovered by AFA Jacobi Owens

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette, broken up by Tirri Jones

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ceci Moskowitz punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Andrew King at the MorgS 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Moses Skillon pass complete to Ricky Fisk for 11 yds to the MorgS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Moses Skillon pass complete to Lamont Brown III for 18 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Moses Skillon sacked by Grant Ross for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 38

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Moses Skillon pass complete to Brian Gentry for 5 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.86

Moses Skillon pass complete to Lamont Brown III for 20 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Weston Steelhammer) to the AFA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Lamont Brown III run for no gain to the AFA 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Moses Skillon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Moller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jacobi Owens run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Benton Washington run for 5 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.04

Nate Romine pass complete to Garrett Brown for 22 yds to the MorgS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Drew Oehrle 55 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.37

Garrett Brown run for 20 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.44

Nate Romine pass complete to Garrett Brown for 36 yds to the MorgS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-11 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal block (-11 Yards) to the MorgS 27

1st & 21Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.95

D.J. Johnson run for 16 yds to the MorgS 11

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the MorgS 11

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Shayne Davern run for 7 yds to the MorgS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the MorgS 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Shayne Davern run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Moses Skillon pass complete to Andrew King for 5 yds to the MorgS 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Lamont Brown III run for no gain to the MorgS 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Moses Skillon run for 6 yds to the MorgS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Moses Skillon run for no gain to the MorgS 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Andrew King, broken up by Weston Steelhammer

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (Ricky Fisk) to the MorgS 31

3rd & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.21

Moses Skillon sacked by Alex Hansen for a loss of 5 yards to the MorgS 26

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Chris Moller punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Garrett Brown at the AFA 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Benton Washington run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.57

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the MorgS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

D.J. Johnson run for 9 yds to the MorgS 35

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyler Williams run for no gain to the MorgS 35

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.43

Nate Romine pass complete to Alex Ludowig for 35 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Ricky Fisk

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-22 ydsPPA -7.22

Moses Skillon pass intercepted for a TD Roland Ladipo return for 22 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Moses Skillon run for 3 yds to the MorgS 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Ricky Fisk

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Lamont Brown III

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lochlin Deeks) to the MorgS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Ricky Fisk run for 12 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Ricky Fisk

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.53

Moses Skillon run for 2 yds to the AFA 42 Moses Skillon fumbled, forced by Grant Ross, recovered by AFA D.J. Dunn

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Scott Hester run for 4 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Bryan Driskell run for 11 yds to the MorgS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Scott Hester run for 6 yds to the MorgS 37

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Bryan Driskell run for 7 yds to the MorgS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Scott Hester run for 13 yds to the MorgS 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Devin Rushing run for 6 yds to the MorgS 11

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Scott Hester run for 5 yds to the MorgS 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Scott Hester run for 3 yds to the MorgS 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Scott Hester run for 3 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Lamont Brown III run for no gain to the MorgS 25

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Moses Skillon sacked by Steve Brosy for a loss of 8 yards to the MorgS 17

3rd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Moses Skillon run for 4 yds to the MorgS 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Chris Moller punt for 44 yds, downed at the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Aub Duty-Tyson run for 6 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Aub Duty-Tyson run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Rona Cleveland run for 5 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake LaCoste run for 3 yds to the MorgS 49

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Jake LaCoste run for 10 yds to the MorgS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake LaCoste run for 4 yds to the MorgS 35

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacob Stafford run for 4 yds to the MorgS 31

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.32

Timothy Mcvey run for 31 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Moses Skillon pass complete to Andrew King for 2 yds to the MorgS 16

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Lamont Brown III run for 1 yd to the MorgS 17

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Moses Skillon run for 3 yds to the MorgS 20

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Chris Moller punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Andrew Smith at the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Jake LaCoste run for 6 yds to the AFA 41 AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the AFA 31

1st & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.93

Aub Duty-Tyson run for 12 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Jake LaCoste run for 2 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Aub Duty-Tyson run for 2 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake LaCoste run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Jake LaCoste run for 8 yds to the MorgS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Patrick Healy run for 4 yds to the MorgS 38

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Alex Hansen) to the MorgS 43

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Patrick Healy run for 2 yds to the MorgS 41

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacob Stafford run for 3 yds to the MorgS 38

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Andrew King at the MorgS 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Lamont Brown III run for 1 yd to the MorgS 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Andrew King

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Moses Skillon run for 14 yds to the MorgS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (Ricky Fisk) to the MorgS 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Moses Skillon pass incomplete to Kirby Linscomb

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Lamont Brown III run for 6 yds to the MorgS 26

Situational Analysis

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
19 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
12 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
57%
30 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
60%
10 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th