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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2015Week 13
NavyNavy
31
-Final
52
HoustonHouston
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston by 0.3

Home Win Probability

Houston 51%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 27, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
7731431
HoustonHouston
1410141452

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-721-1424-1431-1738-2445-3152-31
HoustonNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVTD1382ydTD676ydTD1375ydPUNT36ydPUNT617ydTD682ydTD1175ydPUNT626ydFG743ydTO25ydTD646ydFG1153ydTD574ydTD782ydTD896ydTD1076ydTD1252ydEND653yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Houston
StatisticNavyHouston
Passing13-1827-36
Pass Yards312337
Rush Yards147218
Total Yards459555
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-1116-19
Penalties2-153-29
Possession26:1633:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Keenan Reynolds
13/16, 312 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Keenan Reynolds
19 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jamir Tillman
5 REC, 162 YDS, 1 TD
Houston
passing
Greg Ward Jr.
26/35, 308 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Brandon Wilson
22 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Demarcus Ayers
8 REC, 161 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.34

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 18 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 8 yds to the Houst 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.19

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Brandon Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 40

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

WARD Jr., Greg pass incomplete to ALLEN, Chance, PENALTY NAVY offside (ANTHONY, Will) 5 yards to the HOU45, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 4 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.50

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Will Anthony for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 42

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 10 yds to the Navy 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.83

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 28 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Brandon Wilson run for 3 yds to the Navy 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 12 yds to the Navy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Demarcus Ayers, broken up by Lorentez Barbour

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 5 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +3.46

Keenan Reynolds run for 52 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.05

DeBrandon Sanders run for 5 yds to the Houst 19 NAVY Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Houst 29

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Dishan Romine run for 10 yds to the Houst 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Houst 17

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Keenan Reynolds run for 13 yds to the Houst 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Chris Swain run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Javin Webb run for 7 yds to the Houst 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 4 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 6 yds to the Houst 42

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Brandon Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 39

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.54

Greg Ward Jr. run for 10 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 8 yds to the Navy 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.19

Greg Ward Jr. run for 3 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Greg Ward Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.48

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 23 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Brandon Wilson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

DeBrandon Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Shawn White for 9 yds to the Navy 39

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

DeBrandon Sanders run for no gain to the Navy 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demarcus Ayers at the Houst 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Brandon Wilson run for 8 yds to the Houst 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Demarcus Ayers run for 1 yd to the Houst 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Brandon Wilson run for 3 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Greg Ward Jr. run for 5 yds to the Houst 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Javin Webb

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Piper punt for 45 yds, fair catch by DeBrandon Sanders at the Navy 18

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 17

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.58

Dishan Romine run for 10 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Dishan Romine run for 2 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.96

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 41 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Shawn White run for 4 yds to the Houst 26

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.86

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Javin Webb run for 6 yds to the Houst 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Brandon Wilson run for 9 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Javin Webb run for 3 yds to the Houst 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.32

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 25 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Demarcus Ayers

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Brandon Wilson run for 2 yds to the Navy 30

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Greg Ward Jr. run for 7 yds to the Navy 23

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.10

Brandon Wilson run for 14 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Brandon Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 10

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brandon Wilson run for 5 yds to the Navy 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Greg Ward Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 23

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.92

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to DeBrandon Sanders for 20 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quentin Ezell run for no gain to the Navy 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Cass Jr. for no gain to the Navy 48

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jamir Tillman run for 3 yds to the Houst 49

4th & 7Punt+28 yds

Alex Barta punt for 48 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 28 yds to the Houst 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 3 yds to the Houst 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 4 yds to the Houst 36

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.39

Greg Ward Jr. run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance Allen, broken up by Brendon Clements

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Greg Ward Jr. run for 13 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 9 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 1Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA -1.73

Ty Cummings 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.24

Keenan Reynolds pass intercepted Trevon Stewart return for no gain to the Navy 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 19 yds to the Navy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 7 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.08

Brandon Wilson run for 12 yds to the Navy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 8

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon Wilson run for 4 yds to the Navy 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 4 yds for a TD NAVY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Ty Cummings KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Keenan Reynolds run for 10 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Keenan Reynolds run for 14 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Keenan Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Houst 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the Houst 39

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 40

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

REYNOLDS, Keenan deep pass incomplete to WILSON, Thomas (WILLIAMS, Khalil), QB hurry by THURMAN, Nick, PENALTY HOU holding (McDONALD, Adrian) 10 yards to the HOU26, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Chris Swain run for 7 yds to the Houst 19

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 21

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 22

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.05

Austin Grebe 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Brandon Wilson run for 6 yds to the Houst 32

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Demarcus Ayers run for 5 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Brandon Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 35

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Greg Ward Jr. run for 3 yds to the Houst 38

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +6.67

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 62 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.59

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 49 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.00

Keenan Reynolds sacked by Elandon Roberts for a loss of 12 yards to the Houst 45

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Dishan Romine

3rd & 22Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.64

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Toneo Gulley for 14 yds to the Houst 31

4th & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Thomas Wilson for 23 yds to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Houst 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Chris Swain run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.67

Brandon Wilson run for 18 yds to the Houst 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell Bonner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.32

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to John Leday for 20 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Brandon Wilson run for 2 yds to the Houst 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 42

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.92

Greg Ward Jr. run for 11 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.82

Greg Ward Jr. run for 18 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Demarcus Ayers pass complete to Linell Bonner for 29 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Navy 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.70

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 39 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Houst 35

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.98

Keenan Reynolds sacked by Elandon Roberts for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 40

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Chris Swain for 12 yds to the Houst 28

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.29

Demond Brown run for 3 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.56

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Navy Keenan Reynolds

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.47

Keenan Reynolds sacked by Elandon Roberts and Tyus Bowser for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 35

3rd & 20Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +4.04

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to DeBrandon Sanders for 31 yds to the Houst 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Brandon Wilson run for 1 yd to the Houst 49

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Javin Webb run for 3 yds to the Navy 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.53

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 19 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Wilson run for 3 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Wilson run for 1 yd to the Navy 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Javin Webb for 13 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Brandon Wilson run for 7 yds to the Navy 5

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brandon Wilson run for no gain to the Navy 5

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.71

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Javin Webb for 4 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Javin Webb run for no gain to the Navy 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Javin Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Brandon Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler Carmona

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 9 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.42

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.34

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 39 yds to the Houst 9 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
38%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
7 plays
4th
100%
2 plays