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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2015Week 11
SMUSMU
14
-Final
55
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 24.2

Home Win Probability

Navy 96%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 14, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
077014
NavyNavy
141462155

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-734-734-1448-1455-14
NavySMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVPUNT30ydTD1470ydPUNT38ydTD870ydPUNT36ydTD755ydMISS1046ydTD172ydTD1568ydEND314ydTD1470ydTD678ydPUNT35ydDOWNS44ydTD653ydTO10ydTD546ydDOWNS612ydTD1157ydTO531ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and Navy
StatisticSMUNavy
Passing9-242-9
Pass Yards12481
Rush Yards144403
Total Yards268484
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-1011-16
Penalties4-450-0
Possession24:2435:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Matt Davis
8/22, 124 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Xavier Jones
8 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Kevin Thomas
1 REC, 32 YDS, 1 TD
Navy
passing
Keenan Reynolds
2/9, 81 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Keenan Reynolds
14 CAR, 137 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Jamir Tillman
1 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Garrett Krstich pass complete to Xavier Castille for no gain to the SMU 34

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Xavier Jones run for no gain to the SMU 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton

4th & 10Punt+10 yds

Josh Williams punt for 46 yds , DeBrandon Sanders returns for 10 yds to the Navy 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the Navy 31

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Demond Brown run for 11 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Demond Brown run for 12 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dishan Romine run for 1 yd to the SMU 45

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Quentin Ezell run for 6 yds to the SMU 39

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Chris Swain run for 7 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Quentin Ezell run for 5 yds to the SMU 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the SMU 25

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Chris Swain run for 9 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the SMU 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the SMU 7

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.21

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 27

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the SMU 32

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Amos Mason

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Williams punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

DeBrandon Sanders run for 6 yds to the Navy 39

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.13

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Quentin Ezell run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.71

DeBrandon Sanders run for 7 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Keenan Reynolds run for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Jones for 4 yds to the SMU 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Matt Davis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Williams punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Demond Brown run for no gain to the Navy 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.59

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to N/A for 9 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Keenan Reynolds run for 10 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.36

Keenan Reynolds run for 7 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the SMU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Chris Swain run for 9 yds to the SMU 8

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.96

Keenan Reynolds run for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah Gaines

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Matt Davis run for 11 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Matt Davis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.03

Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Castille for 19 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Matt Davis run for 10 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

DAVIS,Matt pass incomplete to SUTTON, C., PENALTY SMU personal foul 15 yards to the NAVY36, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Jones for 15 yds Xavier Jones fumbled, forced by Lorentez Barbour, recovered by SMU Shelby Walker

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Braeden West run for 3 yds to the Navy 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah Gaines

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+33 yds

Chad Hedlund 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Will Anthony Will Anthony return for no gain to the Navy 28

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 72 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 6 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Prescott Line run for 9 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Prescott Line run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.52

Matt Davis run for 5 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Braeden West run for 22 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the Navy 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton, broken up by Quincy Adams

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Matt Davis run for 10 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt Davis run for no gain to the Navy 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Castille for 11 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matt Davis run for no gain to the Navy 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Prescott Line run for no gain to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Matt Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.76

DeBrandon Sanders run for 8 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 36

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Demond Brown run for 4 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Navy 49

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.34

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Jamir Tillman, broken up by David Johnson

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Demond Brown run for 8 yds to the SMU 39

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.98

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Keenan Reynolds run for 8 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

DeBrandon Sanders run for 6 yds to the SMU 19

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.50

Demond Brown run for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.90

Xavier Jones run for 22 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Matt Davis sacked by D.J. Palmore and Amos Mason for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 39

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 18 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the Navy 42

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Matt Davis run for 10 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Matt Davis pass complete to Kevin Thomas for 32 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Craig Scott

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Navy 26

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Navy 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 49

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.10

Matt Davis sacked by Amos Mason and Brandon Jones for a loss of 13 yards to the SMU 36

2nd & 23Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.80

Matt Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 17 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Kevin Thomas

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah Gaines

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the SMU 45

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the SMU 32

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.38

Keenan Reynolds run for 32 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -2.14

Matt Davis pass intercepted Daiquan Thomasson return for 22 yds to the SMU 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quentin Ezell run for 4 yds to the SMU 42

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

SMITH, Tago pass intercepted by RANDOLPH, S. at the SMU10, RANDOLPH, S. return to the SMU10 (LEWELLYN, Chad), PENALTY SMU roughing passer 15 yards to the SMU27, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Tago Smith run for 10 yds to the SMU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Quentin Ezell run for 7 yds to the SMU 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tago Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 8

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.53

Joshua Walker run for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Sloan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 49

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Xavier Jones run for 8 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Xavier Castille

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Braeden West run for no gain to the Navy 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Matt Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah Gaines

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Huntsman run for 5 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Shawn White run for 5 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shawn White run for 5 yds to the SMU 42

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Shawn White run for 4 yds to the SMU 38

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Shawn White run for 12 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Darryl Bonner run for 2 yds to the SMU 24

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Chris High run for 7 yds to the SMU 17

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Chris High run for 6 yds to the SMU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Shawn White run for 1 yd to the SMU 10

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tago Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 8

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.90

Tago Smith run for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Garrett Krstich run for 8 yds to the SMU 45

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Darius Durall run for 13 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Darius Durall run for 2 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Garrett Krstich run for 8 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -4.13

Garrett Krstich pass intercepted Don Pearson return for 11 yds to the Navy 21

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 19

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 18

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
4 plays