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← Back to GamesNov 8, 2015Week 10
NavyNavy
45
-Final
20
MemphisMemphis
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Memphis 69%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 8, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
710141445
MemphisMemphis
10010020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-710-1417-1720-3120-3820-45
MemphisNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVTD485ydTD1675ydFG1555ydPUNT729ydDOWNS1270ydTD771ydPUNT616ydPUNT524ydTO10ydEND30ydPUNT420ydTD1584ydTD175ydFG527ydTD575ydTO221ydPUNT31ydPUNT616ydTD962ydTO328ydTD944ydDOWNS621ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Memphis
StatisticNavyMemphis
Passing3-526-42
Pass Yards85305
Rush Yards374133
Total Yards459438
Turnovers03
3rd Down8-137-15
Penalties2-54-43
Possession36:5723:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Keenan Reynolds
3/5, 85 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chris Swain
18 CAR, 108 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
DeBrandon Sanders
1 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
Memphis
passing
Paxton Lynch
26/42, 305 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Doroland Dorceus
12 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Phil Mayhue
5 REC, 68 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 8 yds to the Memph 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.36

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 60 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 6 yds to the Navy 11

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.40

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 21 Keenan Reynolds fumbled, recovered by Navy

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

DeBrandon Sanders run for 13 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

DeBrandon Sanders run for 3 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Dishan Romine run for 7 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Quentin Ezell run for 1 yd to the Navy 45

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Keenan Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the Memph 42

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Keenan Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Memph 31

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 11 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Keenan Reynolds run for no gain to the Memph 20

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Chris Swain run for 7 yds to the Memph 13

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Dishan Romine run for 8 yds to the Memph 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Chris Swain run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Doroland Dorceus

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin Jones

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.41

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 17 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 15 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the Navy 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 6 yds to the Navy 38

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.04

Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Paxton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Navy 24

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.94

Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the Navy 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Alan Cross

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin Jones

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.37

Jake Elliott 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 5 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Demond Brown run for 12 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Quentin Ezell run for 7 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Quentin Ezell run for 3 yds to the Memph 49

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Keenan Reynolds run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 49 yds, downed at the Memph 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.65

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 33 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Roderick Proctor run for 4 yds to the Memph 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 3 yds to the Memph 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jamarius Henderson for 6 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jamarius Henderson run for 7 yds to the Navy 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Alan Cross

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 9 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Anthony Miller

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jamarius Henderson run for 2 yds to the Navy 35

3rd & 8Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.11

Paxton Lynch run for 9 yds to the Navy 26 MEMPHIS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Navy 41

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 13 yds to the Navy 28

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.13

Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 29

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

DeBrandon Sanders run for 15 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Demond Brown run for 10 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the Memph 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quentin Ezell run for 4 yds to the Memph 37

3rd & 1Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.51

Toneo Gulley run for 31 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Memph 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Chris Swain run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mose Frazier run for 5 yds to the Memph 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 19

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 10 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 4 yds to the Memph 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin Jones

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 34 yds, downed at the Navy 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.20

DeBrandon Sanders run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

DeBrandon Sanders run for 3 yds to the Memph 47

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Toneo Gulley run for 2 yds to the Memph 45

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Demond Brown run for 2 yds to the Memph 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA -0.61

Paxton Lynch pass intercepted Daniel Gonzales return for 10 yds to the Memph 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Thomas Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Calvin Cass Jr.

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA -0.10

Austin Grebe 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

DeBrandon Sanders run for 14 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Brandon Colon for 5 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 39 yds, downed at the Memph 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Doroland Dorceus run for 6 yds to the Memph 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 5 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Doroland Dorceus run for 14 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose Frazier

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds to the Memph 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Paxton Lynch run for 4 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jamarius Henderson run for 5 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jamarius Henderson run for 1 yd to the Navy 40

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.32

Paxton Lynch run for 6 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Anthony Miller run for 10 yds to the Navy 24 Anthony Miller fumbled, recovered by Memph

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 15 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamarius Henderson run for no gain to the Navy 9

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Paxton Lynch run for 8 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Anthony Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to DeBrandon Sanders for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.07

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 28 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Alan Cross

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jarvis Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 21

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose Frazier

4th & 11Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.39

Jake Elliott 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Demond Brown run for 8 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Memph 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Quentin Ezell run for 9 yds to the Memph 40

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +2.70

Chris Swain run for 40 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds to the Memph 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.07

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 17 yds Phil Mayhue fumbled, recovered by Navy

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Memph 47

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Memph 45

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Alex Barta punt for 50 yds , Anthony Miller returns for 4 yds to the Memph 4

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose Frazier

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Doroland Dorceus run for 9 yds to the Memph 13

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.33

Paxton Lynch run for 3 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Doroland Dorceus run for 4 yds to the Memph 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin Jones

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Doroland Dorceus

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the Navy 39

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Navy 43

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.21

DeBrandon Sanders run for 8 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Dishan Romine run for 13 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Toneo Gulley run for 2 yds to the Memph 34

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Quentin Ezell run for 4 yds to the Memph 30

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Demond Brown run for 7 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.34

DeBrandon Sanders run for 15 yds to the Memph 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 4 yds to the Memph 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 7 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA -1.07

Doroland Dorceus run for 17 yds to the Memph 44 Doroland Dorceus fumbled, forced by Lorentez Barbour, recovered by Navy Brendon Clements

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Memph 40

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Chris Swain run for 14 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Memph 21

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Memph 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.12

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Memph 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the Memph 10

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Memph 6

3rd & 1Penalty+3 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (3 Yards) to the Memph 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Memph 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Demond Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 8 yds to the Memph 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jamarius Henderson for 5 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.06

Paxton Lynch sacked by Will Anthony for a loss of 8 yards to the Memph 30

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Darius Lee run for 2 yds to the Memph 32

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 7 yds to the Memph 39

4th & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 7 yds to the Memph 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 47

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 48

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.87

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
58%
31 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
47%
30 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play