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← Back to GamesOct 31, 2015Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 10.7

Home Win Probability

Navy 79%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 31, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
1007017
NavyNavy
31031329

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-73-1010-1013-1013-1716-1722-1729-17
NavySouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVTD00ydFG959ydFG1568ydTD876ydMISS746ydPUNT616ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT39ydFG1242ydEND1-2ydPUNT38ydTD236ydTO465ydPUNT37ydFG1464ydMISS959ydTD1080ydTO01ydTD1042ydDOWNS47ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Navy
StatisticSouth FloridaNavy
Passing12-203-9
Pass Yards20816
Rush Yards62428
Total Yards270444
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-119-18
Penalties6-542-20
Possession20:4739:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Quinton Flowers
12/20, 208 YDS
rushing
Marlon Mack
10 CAR, 29 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rodney Adams
3 REC, 86 YDS
Navy
passing
Keenan Reynolds
3/9, 16 YDS
rushing
Chris Swain
23 CAR, 131 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jamir Tillman
3 REC, 16 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+97 yds

Austin Grebe kickoff for 62 yds , Rodney Adams return for 97 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 7 yds to the Navy 36

2nd & 3Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Chris Swain run for 22 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Demond Brown run for 7 yds to the SFla 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 17 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the SFla 13

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the SFla 9

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Demond Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 12

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.52

Austin Grebe 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 26

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

FLOWERS, Quinto pass complete to ADAMS, Rodney for 5 yards to the USF31 (MASON, Amos;GONZALES, D), PENALTY USF holding 10 yards to the USF16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (Quinton Flowers) to the SFla 11

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

3rd & 24Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 25 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.79

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Sean Price for 12 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

D'Ernest Johnson run for 8 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 3 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 1 yd to the Navy 39

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.66

Marlon Mack run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 35 Marlon Mack fumbled, recovered by SFla Marlon Mack

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.45

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Sean Price for 25 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

D'Ernest Johnson run for 6 yds to the Navy 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Darius Tice run for no gain to the Navy 4

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

D'Ernest Johnson run for 1 yd to the SFla 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Marlon Mack

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Emilio Nadelman 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Demond Brown run for 9 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.31

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Dishan Romine run for 12 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Quentin Ezell run for 16 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Demond Brown run for 3 yds to the SFla 30

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the SFla 24

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.88

Chris Swain run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

FLOWERS, Quinto rush for 4 yards to the USF32, out-of-bounds (KELLY, Mike), PENALTY USF illegal block (JOHNSON, D'Erne) 15 yards to the USF13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 23Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.93

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 43 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Marlon Mack run for 12 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Emilio Nadelman 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 5 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Navy 37

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.57

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Dishan Romine run for 2 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Jamir Tillman, broken up by Zack Bullock

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Demond Brown, broken up by Devin Abraham

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 36 yds, downed at the SFla 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 20

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 19

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 6 yds to the SFla 25

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DeBrandon Sanders at the Navy 37

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

SWAIN, Chris rush for 6 yards to the NAVY43 (SANCHEZ, Auggie;WHITEHURST, Tas), PENALTY NAVY illegal block (BINNS, E.K.) 15 yards to the NAVY22, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

DeBrandon Sanders run for 6 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 4 yds to the Navy 32

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+7 yds

Alex Barta punt for 50 yds , Tajee Fullwood returns for 7 yds to the SFla 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 6 yds to the SFla 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson, broken up by Quincy Adams

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the SFla 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 49

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Chris Swain run for 9 yds to the SFla 42

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the SFla 34

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the SFla 30

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the SFla 27

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.07

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the SFla 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the SFla 23

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Dishan Romine run for 9 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Demond Brown

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the SFla 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Calvin Cass Jr.

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.83

Austin Grebe 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

D'Ernest Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Keenan Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chris Swain run for no gain to the Navy 33

4th & 2Punt+25 yds

Alex Barta punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 36 , D'Ernest Johnson returns for 25 yds to the Navy 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.80

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 34 yds to the Navy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Navy 18

3rd & 5Rush+55 ydsPPA +4.32

Dishan Romine run for 55 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.26

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 5 yds to the SFla 22 Calvin Cass Jr. fumbled, forced by Deatrick Nichols, recovered by SFla Deatrick Nichols

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Darius Tice run for 2 yds to the SFla 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney Adams, broken up by Daiquan Thomasson

3rd & 8Penalty-4 yds

FLOWERS, Quinto pass complete to JOHNSON, D'Erne for 8 yards to the USF32 (THOMAS, Micah), PENALTY USF ineligible downfield on pass 4 yards to the USF20, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 9 yds to the SFla 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Calvin Cass Jr. at the Navy 25

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Keenan Reynolds sacked by Jamie Byrd for a loss of 8 yards to the Navy 17

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the Navy 22

3rd & 13Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.97

Dishan Romine run for 23 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Keenan Reynolds run for 9 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the SFla 38

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the SFla 33

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Keenan Reynolds run for 8 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the SFla 21

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the SFla 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the SFla 12

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Quentin Ezell run for 1 yd to the SFla 11

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris Swain run for no gain to the SFla 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.69

Austin Grebe 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quinton Flowers run for 4 yds to the SFla 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.27

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 40 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

D'Ernest Johnson run for 1 yd to the Navy 22

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

NAVY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Navy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Quinton Flowers run for no gain to the Navy 17

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the Navy 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney Adams

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Emilio Nadelman 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Dishan Romine run for 14 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Chris Swain run for 7 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Keenan Reynolds run for 15 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the SFla 41

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the SFla 36

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Keenan Reynolds run for 7 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.27

Keenan Reynolds run for 19 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the SFla 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the SFla 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tago Smith run for 3 yds to the SFla 36

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.31

Tago Smith run for 2 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the SFla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the SFla 15

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the SFla 11

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the SFla 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Keenan Reynolds run for no gain to the SFla 8

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Keenan Reynolds run for no gain to the SFla 8

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Chris Swain run for 7 yds to the SFla 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Elkanah Dillon for 4 yds to the SFla 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Elkanah Dillon) to the SFla 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson

4th & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Quinton Flowers run for 8 yds to the SFla 27

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 28

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.11

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 30

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
17 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
88%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play