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← Back to GamesOct 31, 2015Week 9
UCFUCF
7
-Final
52
CincinnatiCincinnati
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 12.4

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 83%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 31, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
00077
CincinnatiCincinnati
211414352

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-035-042-049-052-052-7
CincinnatiUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINPUNT65ydTD274ydMISS1058ydTD980ydTO416ydTD358ydPUNT69ydTO561ydPUNT37ydTD980ydPUNT415ydTD673ydDOWNS961ydEND12ydTD282ydMISS1055ydTD1180ydPUNT34ydFG972ydTD673ydDOWNS1365ydPUNT520ydEND530yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Cincinnati
StatisticUCFCincinnati
Passing12-2327-32
Pass Yards101489
Rush Yards212237
Total Yards313726
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-1311-15
Penalties6-707-62
Possession27:2132:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Justin Holman
12/23, 101 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
C.J. Jones
18 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tre'Quan Smith
5 REC, 59 YDS
Cincinnati
passing
Gunner Kiel
15/15, 319 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Chad Banschbach
18 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Johnny Holton
3 REC, 146 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Justin Holman run for 4 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

C.J. Jones run for no gain to the UCF 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 33

3rd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 30

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 44 yds , Shaq Washington returns for no gain to the Cincy 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.44

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Chris Moore for 43 yds to the CINCINNATI 31 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Chris Moore 16 Yd pass from Gunner Kiel (Andrew Gantz Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.77

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 23 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the Cincy 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.12

Justin Holman pass complete to Cal Bloom for 7 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Holman pass complete to Dontravious Wilson for 1 yd to the Cincy 41

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Dontravious Wilson run for 16 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the Cincy 24

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Patti run for no gain to the Cincy 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 7 yds to the Cincy 17

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Matthew Wright 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gunner Kiel run for no gain to the Cincy 20

2nd & 10Penalty+8 yds

KIEL, Gunner pass incomplete to MORRISON, Max (KILLINGS, D.J.), PENALTY UCF pass interference (KILLINGS, D.J.) 8 yards to the CIN28, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Max Morrison pass incomplete to Johnny Holton

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Gunner Kiel run for 9 yds to the Cincy 37

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Gunner Kiel run for no gain to the Cincy 37

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.83

Gunner Kiel run for 2 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.25

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 4 yds to the Cincy 43 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnny Holton) to the Cincy 29

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Hosey Williams run for 2 yds to the Cincy 31

2nd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Tion Green for 10 yds to the Cincy 41

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +6.43

Johnny Holton 59 Yd pass from Gunner Kiel (Andrew Gantz Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Justin Holman run for 7 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.36

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 8 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA -1.76

Justin Holman pass intercepted Linden Stephens return for 14 yds to the Cincy 42

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.84

Mike Boone run for 32 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 11 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

DJ Dowdy 15 Yd pass from Gunner Kiel (Andrew Gantz Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the UCF 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Justin Holman run for 2 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 37

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the UCF 40

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.92

Justin Holman sacked by Silverberry Mouhon and Chris Burton for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 34

4th & 12Punt+4 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 54 yds , Shaq Washington returns for 4 yds to the Cincy 38 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (Alex Thomas) to the Cincy 8

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Tion Green run for 17 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tion Green run for 9 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.28

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 20 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Hayden Moore pass incomplete for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Shaquill Griffin) to the UCF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-21 ydsPPA -4.16

Hayden Moore pass intercepted Shaquill Griffin return for 21 yds to the UCF 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 4 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Holman run for 3 yds to the UCF 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Cortez Broughton

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 6 yds to the Cincy 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Hosey Williams run for no gain to the Cincy 26

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Deyshawn Bond) to the Cincy 21

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.56

Hayden Moore run for 10 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Hosey Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 25

3rd & 16Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.54

Hayden Moore pass complete to Chris Moore for 49 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 13 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Shaq Washington 11 Yd pass from Hayden Moore (Andrew Gantz Kick)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jarred Evans) to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to SMITH, Tre'Quan, PENALTY UCF holding (HUDANICK, Tyler) 10 yards to the UCF40, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 33 yds, downed at the Cincy 27

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Mike Boone run for 15 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Hayden Moore pass complete to Johnny Holton for 9 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Max Morrison

3rd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.90

Tion Green run for 23 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Hayden Moore pass complete to Shaq Washington for 12 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, roughing passer (Luke Adams) to the UCF 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Tion Green 7 Yd Run (Andrew Gantz Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

C.J. Jones run for no gain to the UCF 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.07

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 25 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.43

C.J. Jones run for 12 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the Cincy 25

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.04

C.J. Jones run for 20 yds to the Cincy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the Cincy 2

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

C.J. Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Holman pass incomplete to C.J. Jones, broken up by Tyrell Gilbert

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Dontravious Wilson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Hosey Williams run for 2 yds to the Cincy 6

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gunner Kiel pass complete to DJ Dowdy for 4 yds to the Cincy 22

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.57

Johnny Holton 78 Yd pass from Gunner Kiel (Andrew Gantz Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

C.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.28

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 22 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

C.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

C.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Dontravious Wilson run for 8 yds to the Cincy 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 7 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the Cincy 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Matthew Wright 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Hosey Williams run for 10 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Hosey Williams run for 6 yds to the Cincy 36

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chad Banschbach run for 2 yds to the Cincy 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 6 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KIEL, Gunner pass incomplete to COLE, Nate, PENALTY UCF pass interference (KILLINGS, D.J.) 15 yards to the UCF41, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Hosey Williams run for 1 yd to the UCF 40

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Hosey Williams run for 8 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 3 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.36

Chad Banschbach run for 20 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chad Banschbach run for no gain to the UCF 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Gunner Kiel run for 2 yds to the UCF 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Shaq Washington 7 Yd pass from Gunner Kiel (Andrew Gantz Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Nick Patti

4th & 6Punt+47 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 47 yds , Max Morrison returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 2 yds to the Cincy 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.13

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 20 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tion Green run for 2 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Chad Banschbach run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.87

Gunner Kiel pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 41 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chad Banschbach run for 4 yds to the UCF 13

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Chad Banschbach run for 1 yd to the UCF 12

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chad Banschbach run for 3 yds to the UCF 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.00

Andrew Gantz 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.29

C.J. Jones run for 51 yds to the Cincy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Michael Willett run for 9 yds to the Cincy 13

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.18

Michael Willett run for 6 yds to the Cincy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the Cincy 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the Cincy 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

C.J. Jones 1 Yd Run (Donald Delahaye Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Chad Banschbach run for 3 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 6 yds to the Cincy 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Chad Banschbach run for 3 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Chad Banschbach run for 9 yds to the Cincy 42

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

BANSCHBACH, C. rush for 10 yards to the UCF48 (BURKETT, C.;SPENCER, D.), PENALTY CIN holding (NIEHAUS, David) 10 yards to the CIN32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.19

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tshumbi Johnson for 38 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Chad Banschbach run for 1 yd to the UCF 29

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Chad Banschbach run for 6 yds to the UCF 23

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Chad Banschbach run for 9 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chad Banschbach run for no gain to the UCF 14

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tion Green run for no gain to the UCF 14

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Chad Banschbach run for 5 yds to the UCF 9

4th & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -3.83

Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Michael Willett run for 8 yds to the UCF 22

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Willett run for 3 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Michael Willett run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Michael Willett run for 5 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the UCF 34

4th & 1Punt+8 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 33 , Max Morrison returns for 8 yds to the Cincy 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Luke Wright pass complete to Chad Banschbach for 16 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Luke Wright run for 4 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chad Banschbach run for 5 yds to the UCF 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Chad Banschbach run for no gain to the UCF 42

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.09

Chad Banschbach run for 5 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
36 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
0%
1 play
100%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play