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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2015Week 8
HoustonHouston
59
-Final
10
UCFUCF
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston by 10.1

Home Win Probability

UCF 22%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 24, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
71728759
UCFUCF
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-710-710-1410-3110-3810-5210-59
UCFHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUUCFHOUTD360ydPUNT37ydPUNT1029ydTD794ydPUNT711ydPUNT614ydPUNT39ydMISS416ydPUNT30ydFG1340ydTD678ydTO33ydTD567ydTO313ydEND10ydTD379ydPUNT535ydTD980ydPUNT32ydTD584ydTO25ydTD441ydPUNT30ydPUNT1048ydPUNT39ydTD859ydPUNT37ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and UCF
StatisticHoustonUCF
Passing20-2814-29
Pass Yards234183
Rush Yards36697
Total Yards600280
Turnovers04
3rd Down7-134-14
Penalties7-826-52
Possession33:4226:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Greg Ward Jr.
16/23, 210 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kenneth Farrow
13 CAR, 167 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Demarcus Ayers
5 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
UCF
passing
Justin Holman
14/27, 183 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Dontravious Wilson
19 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Tre'Quan Smith
7 REC, 89 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 7 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.79

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 44 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+85 ydsPPA -4.32

Justin Holman pass complete to Cam Stewart for 9 yds, Cam Stewart fumbled, recovered by Houst Brandon Wilson, returned for 85 yds for a TD. (Ty Cummings KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

C.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 5 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 45 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 4 yds to the Houst 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Kenneth Farrow run for 7 yds to the Houst 34

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 4 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 6 yds to the Houst 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 8 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Ryan Jackson run for 9 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ward Jr., Greg rush for 20 yards to the UCF13, PENALTY HOUSTON holding 10 yards to the UCF43, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenneth Farrow run for 3 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 17Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.63

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Luke Adams for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 44

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

4th & 21Punt+38 yds

Logan Piper punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Blake Tiralosi at the UCF 12 UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (6 Yards) to the UCF 6

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.12

Dontravious Wilson run for 23 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 17 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.25

Justin Holman pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 8 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 46

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.96

Tristan Payton 46 Yd TD pass from Justin Holman (Matthew Wright Kick)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Kenneth Farrow run for 16 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Kenneth Farrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 3 yds to the Houst 31

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Greg Ward Jr. run for 14 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Linell Bonner) to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Greg Ward Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 26

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Demarcus Ayers

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Logan Piper punt for 55 yds , Blake Tiralosi returns for no gain to the UCF 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Justin Holman run for 9 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 31

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Justin Holman run for 2 yds to the UCF 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 8Punt-9 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 52 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kenneth Farrow run for 3 yds to the Houst 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Demarcus Ayers

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Greg Ward Jr. run for 6 yds to the Houst 15 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mason Denley) declined

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Logan Piper punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Blake Tiralosi at the Houst 45

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Holman, Justin pass incomplete to Payton, Tristan, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference (Jackson III, William) 15 yards to the HOUSTON30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Cam Stewart

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the Houst 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Nick Patti

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Matthew Wright 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 2 yds to the Houst 31

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the Houst 31

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by T.J. Mutcherson for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 29

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Piper punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.67

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 6 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Justin Holman run for 6 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the Houst 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

Justin Holman pass intercepted by Lee Hightower at the HOUSTON26, Hightower return 19 yards to the HOUSTON31, PENALTY HOUSTON roughing passer off-setting, PENALTY UCF Pass Interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.28

Justin Holman run for 9 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Dontravious Wilson run for 10 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the Houst 21

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.36

Justin Holman sacked by Matthew Adams for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 27

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Justin Holman sacked by Elandon Roberts for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 31

4th & 15Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +1.78

Matthew Wright 48 yd FG GOOD

4th & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Matthew Wright kickoff for 63 yds , Brandon Wilson return for 12 yds to the Houst 14 HOUSTON Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the Houst 7

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Houst 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 7 yds to the Houst 29

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Ryan Jackson run for 20 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ryan Jackson run for no gain to the Houst 49

2nd & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.31

Greg Ward Jr. run for 20 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCF 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Ryan Jackson

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ward Jr., Greg rush for 16 yards to the UCF0, PENALTY HOUSTON holding (Freeman, Colton) 10 yards to the UCF26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.96

Kenneth Farrow 26 Yd TD Run (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Taylor Oldham

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Holman pass intercepted William Jackson III return for no gain to the Houst 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 7 yds to the Houst 40

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Greg Ward Jr. run for 7 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 13 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.72

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 37 yds to the UCF 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Greg Ward Jr. 3 Yd TD Run (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 7 yds to the UCF 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Justin Holman pass complete to Dontravious Wilson for 6 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-49 ydsPPA -2.72

Justin Holman pass intercepted Khalil Williams return for 49 yds to the UCF 16

1st & 10Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -1.43

Ty Cummings 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Kenneth Farrow run for 20 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.84

Kenneth Farrow run for 29 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Kenneth Farrow 30 Yd TD Run (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.28

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 15 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (William Jackson III) to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the Houst 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 5 yds to the Houst 32

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Dontravious Wilson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Donald Gage for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.90

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Kenneth Farrow for 28 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 6 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ryan Jackson run for 3 yds to the UCF 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Ryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Ryan Jackson run for 8 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.13

Greg Ward Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.32

Ryan Jackson 29 Yd TD Run (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 58 yds, downed at the Houst 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kenneth Farrow run for 4 yds to the Houst 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kenneth Farrow run for 5 yds to the Houst 25

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.88

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 5 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kenneth Farrow run for 3 yds to the Houst 33

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.05

Demarcus Ayers 67 Yd TD pass from Greg Ward Jr. (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Holman pass complete to Aaron Cochran for 5 yds to the UCF 20

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.46

Justin Holman pass intercepted Adrian McDonald return for no gain to the UCF 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Ryan Jackson run for 1 yd to the UCF 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 13 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Jackson run for 3 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.89

Kenneth Farrow 24 Yd Run (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 17

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 61 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 3 yds to the Houst 20 HOUSTON Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the Houst 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kaliq Kokuma run for 2 yds to the Houst 12

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Kaliq Kokuma run for 13 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kaliq Kokuma run for 8 yds to the Houst 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kaliq Kokuma run for 6 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kaliq Kokuma run for 1 yd to the Houst 40

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Donald Gage run for 4 yds to the Houst 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.28

Kyle Postma pass complete to Linell Bonner for 9 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kaliq Kokuma run for 1 yd to the UCF 46

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaliq Kokuma run for 4 yds to the UCF 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Hayden Daniels

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Piper punt for 40 yds, downed at the UCF 2

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Dontravious Wilson run for 6 yds to the UCF 8

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Holman run for no gain to the UCF 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Justin Holman pass complete to Dontravious Wilson for 3 yds to the UCF 11

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Javin Webb at the Houst 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kyle Postma pass complete to Donald Gage for 1 yd to the Houst 42

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaliq Kokuma run for 3 yds to the Houst 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Kyle Postma pass complete to Donald Gage for 8 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kaliq Kokuma run for 1 yd to the UCF 46

2nd & 9Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.11

Kyle Postma run for 38 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kyle Postma run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 10 Kyle Postma fumbled, recovered by Houst Kyle Postma Kyle Postma run for 1 yd to the UCF 10

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaliq Kokuma run for 4 yds to the UCF 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Linell Bonner 6 Yd TD pass from Kyle Postma (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Michael Willett run for 2 yds to the UCF 25

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Michael Willett run for 5 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Michael Willett run for no gain to the UCF 30

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Javin Webb at the Houst 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kyle Postma run for no gain to the Houst 21

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.37

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 18

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.09

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 16

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
14 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play