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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2015Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 10.5

Home Win Probability

South Florida 21%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 2, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
0710724
South FloridaSouth Florida
730717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-010-710-1010-1710-2417-24
South FloridaMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMPUNT721ydTD1295ydMISS845ydFG1167ydTD550ydPUNT736ydPUNT854ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT624ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydEND1-1ydPUNT38ydPUNT39ydFG720ydPUNT421ydTD1392ydPUNT534ydPUNT36ydTO35ydTD386ydDOWNS526ydPUNT411ydTD1188ydPUNT31ydTO27ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and South Florida
StatisticMemphisSouth Florida
Passing20-3317-26
Pass Yards305199
Rush Yards120178
Total Yards425377
Turnovers01
3rd Down8-182-13
Penalties7-756-40
Possession30:3229:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Paxton Lynch
20/33, 305 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jae'Lon Oglesby
2 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Phil Mayhue
4 REC, 69 YDS
South Florida
passing
Quinton Flowers
17/26, 199 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marlon Mack
20 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Sean Price
2 REC, 66 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 12 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 7 yds to the Memph 44

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Sam Craft run for 2 yds to the Memph 46

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.01

Sam Craft run for 1 yd to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Sam Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin Jones

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Sam Craft

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 49 yds, downed at the SFla 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the SFla 11

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 4 yds to the SFla 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Marlon Mack run for 13 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Darius Tice run for 2 yds to the SFla 30

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Darius Tice run for 11 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Darius Tice run for 8 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Darius Tice run for 3 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.02

Marlon Mack run for 10 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Dion Witty) to the Memph 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 28

1st & 15Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.91

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Sean Price for 26 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the Memph 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Darius Tice run for no gain to the Memph 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Darius Tice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Paxton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Memph 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 6 yds to the Memph 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Paxton Lynch run for 3 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.40

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 28 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose Frazier

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Anthony Miller run for 3 yds to the SFla 22

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Paxton Lynch run for 3 yds to the SFla 19

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Jake Elliott 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 21

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.90

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Jared Gentry) to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.05

Marlon Mack run for 29 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Quinton Flowers run for no gain to the Memph 33

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Darius Tice run for 8 yds to the Memph 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the Memph 24

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.01

D'Ernest Johnson run for 7 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 18

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Chris Barr

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 5 yds to the Memph 13

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.60

Emilio Nadelman 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Sam Craft for 13 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 38

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the SFla 38

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 18 yds to the SFla 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Sam Craft for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Marlon Mack run for 17 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Marlon Mack run for 7 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 11 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

D'Ernest Johnson run for no gain to the Memph 40

2nd & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.72

D'Ernest Johnson run for 5 yds to the Memph 35 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Marlon Pope) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Quinton Flowers run for 11 yds to the Memph 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to D'Ernest Johnson, broken up by Arthur Maulet

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 38 yds, downed at the Memph 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Anthony Miller

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.79

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 18 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.49

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 19 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Doroland Dorceus run for 6 yds to the Memph 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Paxton Lynch run for 3 yds to the Memph 47

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SFla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 47

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Sam Craft run for no gain to the Memph 47

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 5 yds to the SFla 48

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Paxton Lynch run for 3 yds to the SFla 45

4th & 7Punt+43 yds

Nick Jacobs punt for 41 yds, downed at the SFla 4 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (2 Yards) to the SFla 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Darius Tice run for no gain to the SFla 2

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Darius Tice run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 1

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Chris Barr

4th & 11Punt-6 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 50 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 0 MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Mose Frazier) to the Memph 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Jae'lon Oglesby

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 7 yds to the Memph 35

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.93

Paxton Lynch run for 9 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 8 yds to the SFla 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Jacobs punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 14

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 16

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Quinton Flowers run for 4 yds to the SFla 20

4th & 2Punt+29 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 57 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 29 yds to the SFla 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Craft run for 4 yds to the SFla 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Jacobs punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 11

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 6 yds to the SFla 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jarvis Cooper run for 2 yds to the SFla 44

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Jacobs punt for 36 yds, downed at the SFla 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the SFla 14

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Darius Tice run for 2 yds to the SFla 16

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the SFla 17

4th & 1Punt+8 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 43 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 8 yds to the Memph 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarvis Cooper run for 5 yds to the SFla 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jarvis Cooper run for 2 yds to the SFla 45

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.79

Jae'lon Oglesby run for 16 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.14

Paxton Lynch sacked by Tashon Whitehurst for a loss of 14 yards to the SFla 43

2nd & 24Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 11 yds to the SFla 32

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +1.66

Jake Elliott 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Marlon Mack run for 7 yds to the SFla 32

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 9 yds to the SFla 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Roderick Proctor at the Memph 8

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Doroland Dorceus run for 11 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the Memph 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 13 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.49

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 33 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 35

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the SFla 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.40

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 8 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Sam Craft run for 1 yd to the SFla 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Ronnie Hoggins

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 18 yds to the SFla 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the SFla 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Paxton Lynch run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for no gain to the SFla 49

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SFla 44

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney Adams

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jarvis Cooper run for 3 yds to the Memph 23

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Paxton Lynch sacked by Eric Lee and Tashon Whitehurst for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 17

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Jarvis Cooper run for 9 yds to the Memph 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the SFla 33

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney Adams

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mattias Ciabatti punt for 53 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for no gain to the Memph 14 Roderick Proctor fumbled, recovered by Memph Chauncey Lanier

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Greg McKillion

2nd & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.80

Jae'lon Oglesby run for 31 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 55 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 17 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 5 yds to the Memph 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 4 yds to the Memph 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Marlon Mack run for no gain to the Memph 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.66

Marlon Mack run for no gain to the Memph 44

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Doroland Dorceus run for 11 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the SFla 45

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sam Craft run for 5 yds to the SFla 40

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the SFla 40

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Jacobs punt for 33 yds, fair catch by D'Ernest Johnson at the SFla 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 5 yds to the SFla 17

2nd & 5Penalty-8 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dominique Threatt) to the SFla 9

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 5 yds to the SFla 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.89

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 20 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the Memph 49

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.53

Quinton Flowers run for 9 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Sean Price

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson, broken up by Reggis Ball

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darius Tice for 2 yds to the Memph 38

4th & 8Penalty+15 yds

Flowers, Quinton pass incomplete to Price, Sean (Morley, Chris), PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Morley, Chris) 15 yards to the MEMPHIS23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUFLA.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Elkanah Dillon

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Elkanah Dillon for 23 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the SFla 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.08

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for no gain to the SFla 46

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Sam Craft run for no gain to the SFla 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Jacobs punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D'Ernest Johnson at the SFla 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Elkanah Dillon for 7 yds to the SFla 15

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.51

Quinton Flowers pass intercepted Reggis Ball return for no gain to the Memph 31

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 29

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play