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← Back to GamesSep 19, 2015Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 4.9

Home Win Probability

Navy 65%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 19, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
770721
NavyNavy
72101745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-721-728-728-1435-2142-2145-21
NavyEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECDOWNS1243ydTD1068ydTD1175ydTD956ydMISS635ydTD970ydPUNT34ydTD1385ydTD875ydEND1-1ydDOWNS1349ydDOWNS1133ydPUNT917ydTO1-3ydTD417ydTD1293ydTD1175ydTO410ydFG42ydEND345yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and Navy
StatisticEast CarolinaNavy
Passing36-494-7
Pass Yards32541
Rush Yards80415
Total Yards405456
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-1313-17
Penalties6-476-55
Possession23:2236:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Blake Kemp
36/49, 325 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Hairston
10 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Zay Jones
10 REC, 130 YDS
Navy
passing
Keenan Reynolds
4/7, 41 YDS
rushing
Keenan Reynolds
24 CAR, 142 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
DeBrandon Sanders
1 REC, 23 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 4 yds to the ECaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 5 yds to the ECaro 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 1 yd to the ECaro 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Blake Kemp pass incomplete, broken up by Amos Mason

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.79

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 12 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.17

Blake Kemp pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 7 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Blake Kemp pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Blake Kemp pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.04

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Navy 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.53

Dishan Romine run for 23 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Quentin Ezell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 5 yds to the ECaro 25

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.40

Dishan Romine run for 14 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Chris Swain run for 8 yds to the ECaro 3

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.14

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chris Hairston run for 1 yd to the ECaro 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 14 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Chris Hairston run for 15 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 8 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.02

Blake Kemp pass complete to DaQuan Barnes for 9 yds to the Navy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Blake Kemp pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 7 yds to the Navy 21

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the Navy 19

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 6 yds to the Navy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris Hairston run for 1 yd to the Navy 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 10 yds to the Navy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.36

DeBrandon Sanders run for 20 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the ECaro 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Toneo Gulley run for 14 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 17

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 14

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Quentin Ezell run for 7 yds to the ECaro 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Kemp run for 2 yds to the ECaro 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.13

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 36 yds to the Navy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 7 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 21

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.41

Blake Kemp sacked by Will Anthony for a loss of 9 yards to the Navy 30

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Davis Plowman 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to DeBrandon Sanders for 23 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 44

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 9 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the ECaro 31

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Quentin Ezell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Keenan Reynolds run for 7 yds to the ECaro 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Keenan Reynolds run for 16 yds to the ECaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 7 yds to the ECaro 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon Grayson, broken up by Josiah Powell

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 15

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Keenan Reynolds run for 11 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.98

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Quentin Ezell run for 11 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Quentin Ezell run for 6 yds to the ECaro 47

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECaro 46

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.32

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Keenan Reynolds run for 18 yds to the ECaro 25 NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Jamir Tillman) to the ECaro 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the ECaro 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 6 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.39

Chris Swain run for 11 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Fred Presley) to the ECaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quentin Ezell run for 5 yds to the ECaro 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Chris Swain run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 8 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Chris Hairston run for no gain to the ECaro 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 6 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HAIRSTON, Chris rush for 5 yards to the ECU44 (GONZALES, D), PENALTY ECU illegal block (JONES, Isaiah) 10 yards to the ECU29, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.91

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Blake Kemp pass complete to DaQuan Barnes for 8 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 10 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Blake Kemp pass incomplete

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Chris Swain run for 14 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Toneo Gulley run for 10 yds to the NAVY 45 NAVY Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamir Tillman) to the Navy 45

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the ECaro 44

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the ECaro 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Quentin Ezell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 34

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the ECaro 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Dishan Romine, broken up by Joe Allely

4th & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -1.82

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Shawn White for 7 yds to the ECaro 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Anthony Scott run for 7 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 2 yds to the ECaro 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 9 yds to the ECaro 48

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.41

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for no gain to the ECaro 48

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams, broken up by Kwazel Bertrand

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 3 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 6 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon Grayson

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.95

Blake Kemp run for no gain to the Navy 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Chris Swain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 44

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (Demetri McGill) to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quentin Ezell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the ECaro 37

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Chris Swain run for 7 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the ECaro 26

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.10

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 37 Keenan Reynolds fumbled, recovered by Navy Keenan Reynolds

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Chris Swain, broken up by Montese Overton

4th & 17Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 42

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Blake Kemp sacked by Amos Mason for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 17 Blake Kemp fumbled, recovered by Navy Will Anthony , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the ECaro 14 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Domonique Lennon) to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the ECaro 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Chris Hairston run for 8 yds to the ECaro 15

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 10 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 8 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.55

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 20 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Quay Johnson, broken up by D.J. Palmore

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 5 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.93

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 19 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Blake Kemp pass incomplete, broken up by Will Anthony

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 11 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chris Hairston run for 4 yds to the Navy 8

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.86

Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Joey Gaston) to the Navy 22

2nd & 13Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.03

Keenan Reynolds run for 26 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the ECaro 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 43

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.00

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Quentin Ezell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the ECaro 21

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the ECaro 17

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.68

Keenan Reynolds run for 17 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon Grayson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 5 yds to the ECaro 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 5 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-32 ydsPPA -1.07

Blake Kemp pass intercepted Tyler Goble return for 32 yds to the ECaro 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tago Smith run for 2 yds to the ECaro 8

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tago Smith run for no gain to the ECaro 8 Tago Smith fumbled, recovered by Navy

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Shawn White run for 5 yds to the ECaro 3

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Austin Grebe 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Anthony Scott run for 13 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Devin Anderson run for 17 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Devin Anderson run for 15 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
30%
10 plays
100%
1 play
70%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
35 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
29%
14 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
11 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays