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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1
Colgate
10
-Final
48
NavyNavy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Navy 73%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colgate
300710
NavyNavy
102171048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-33-317-324-331-338-338-1045-1048-10
NavyColgate

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVCOLNAVCOLNAVCOLNAVCOLNAVCOLNAVNAVCOLNAVCOLNAVCOLNAVCOLNAVCOLNAVCOLTO38ydFG816ydFG968ydPUNT32ydTD350ydPUNT617ydTD887ydDOWNS725ydTD950ydPUNT511ydTD262ydEND50ydPUNT921ydPUNT3-2ydTO847ydTD867ydTD1375ydPUNT39ydTD732ydTD00ydPUNT34ydFG725ydEND211yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colgate and Navy
StatisticColgateNavy
Passing14-273-6
Pass Yards12767
Rush Yards198371
Total Yards325438
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-173-9
Penalties7-583-34
Possession33:3724:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colgate
passing
Jake Melville
14/26, 127 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
John Wilkins
15 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Alex Greenawalt
5 REC, 48 YDS
Navy
passing
Keenan Reynolds
3/6, 67 YDS
rushing
Chris Swain
11 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jamir Tillman
3 REC, 67 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Chris Swain run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 10

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Demond Brown run for no gain to the Navy 10

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

REYNOLDS, K pass complete to ROMINE, Dishan for 20 yards to the NAVY30 (Morgan,Chris), PENALTY NAVY HL (SWAIN, Chris) 5 yards to the NAVY5, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA +0.39

Chris Swain run for 17 yds to the Navy 23 Chris Swain fumbled, forced by Kyle Diener, recovered by Colg Keyon Washington

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jake Melville run for 7 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

John Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Navy 15

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

James Holland run for 1 yd to the Navy 14

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.57

James Holland run for 3 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Melville,Jake rush for 10 yards to the NAVY1 (THOMAS, Micah), PENALTY COLGATE HL (Dalmau,Jordi) 10 yards to the NAVY21, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.47

Jake Melville pass complete to Alex Greenawalt for 12 yds to the Navy 9

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jake Melville run for 6 yds to the Navy 3

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jake Melville run for 1 yd to the Navy 2

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

COLGATE Penalty, DL (-5 Yards) to the Navy 7

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.84

Jonah Bowman 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.55

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 18 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Chris Swain run for 8 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Dishan Romine run for 14 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Chris Swain run for 15 yds to the Colg 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 8 yds to the Colg 14 for a 1ST down COLGATE Penalty, personal foul (Cameron Buttermore) to the Colg 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Colg 4

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colg 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Chris Swain

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.60

Austin Grebe 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jake Melville run for no gain to the Colg 29

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

James Holland run for 2 yds to the Colg 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Melville pass incomplete to Connor Wingenroth, broken up by Elijah Merchant

4th & 8Punt+12 yds

Nikko Armiento punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , DeBrandon Sanders returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 48

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +6.32

Chris Swain run for 52 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jake Melville run for 7 yds to the Colg 13

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jake Melville pass incomplete to John Maddaluna

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Jake Melville pass complete to John Maddaluna for 6 yds to the Colg 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jake Melville pass complete to John Quazza for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 17

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Jake Melville pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

COLGATE Penalty, false start (Ryan Paulish) to the Colg 12

3rd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Jake Melville pass complete to Alex Greenawalt for 11 yds to the Colg 23

4th & 6Punt+64 yds

Nikko Armiento punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Calvin Cass Jr. at the NAVY 27 NAVY Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Navy 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 5 yds to the Navy 18

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.33

DeBrandon Sanders run for 46 yds to the Colg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Chris Swain run for 7 yds to the Colg 23

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.58

Chris Swain run for 18 yds to the Colg 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the Colg 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Colg 1

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

James Holland run for 3 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jake Melville pass complete to Alex Greenawalt for 6 yds to the Colg 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Jake Melville run for 7 yds to the Colg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jake Melville pass incomplete to John Wilkins, broken up by Amos Mason

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Demetrius Russell run for 5 yds to the Colg 46

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Demetrius Russell run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Demetrius Russell run for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dishan Romine run for 7 yds to the Colg 44

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Colg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.46

DeBrandon Sanders run for 17 yds to the Colg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Colg 19

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Colg 15

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Quentin Ezell run for 3 yds to the Colg 12

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Colg 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the Colg 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Shawn White run for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Demetrius Russell run for 3 yds to the Colg 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Jake Melville pass complete to James Holland for 8 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Melville pass incomplete to Alex Greenawalt

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jake Melville pass incomplete to Alex Greenawalt

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Melville pass incomplete to John Maddaluna

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Nikko Armiento punt for 47 yds , DeBrandon Sanders returns for 12 yds to the Navy 49 COLGATE Penalty, HL (-10 Yards) to the Navy 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.36

Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 44 yds to the Colg 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Quentin Ezell run for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

James Holland run for 3 yds to the Colg 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jake Melville run for 3 yds to the Colg 26

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Demetrius Russell run for 8 yds to the Colg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jake Melville pass complete to Cameron Kline for 12 yds to the Colg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Demetrius Russell run for 18 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

James Holland run for 3 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Melville pass incomplete to Cameron Kline, broken up by Will Anthony

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Jake Melville pass complete to Alex Greenawalt for 10 yds to the Colg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Demetrius Russell run for 8 yds to the Colg 46

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Jake Melville run for 1 yd to the Colg 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

John Wilkins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jake Melville pass incomplete to John Maddaluna, broken up by Sean Williams

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.64

Jake Melville run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colg 46 Jake Melville fumbled, recovered by Colg Jake Melville

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Melville pass incomplete to Cameron Kline, broken up by Daniel Gonzales

4th & 14Punt+14 yds

Nikko Armiento punt for 38 yds , DeBrandon Sanders returns for 14 yds to the Navy 30

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Keenan Reynolds sacked by Victor Steffen for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 25

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

DeBrandon Sanders run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to DeBrandon Sanders

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 72 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.16

Demetrius Russell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 33 Demetrius Russell fumbled, forced by Kevin McCoy, recovered by Navy Patrick Forrestal

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jake Melville pass complete to Alex Greenawalt for 9 yds to the Colg 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

John Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Colg 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.31

John Wilkins run for 27 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

James Holland run for 4 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jake Melville pass complete to Connor Wingenroth for 2 yds to the Navy 36

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

James Holland run for 3 yds to the Navy 33

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.44

Jake Melville run for 2 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Keenan Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Quentin Ezell run for 6 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Toneo Gulley run for 21 yds to the Colg 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shawn White run for 5 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Colg 25

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Shawn White run for 5 yds to the Colg 20 Shawn White fumbled, forced by Keyon Washington, recovered by Navy Shawn White for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Keenan Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Colg 12

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Quentin Ezell 12 Yd Run (Austin Grebe Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

John Wilkins run for 7 yds to the Colg 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

John Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Colg 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

John Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Colg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

James Holland run for 4 yds to the Colg 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Jake Melville pass complete to John Maddaluna for 8 yds to the Colg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

John Wilkins run for 7 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

John Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Navy 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

John Wilkins run for no gain to the Navy 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

John Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jake Melville pass incomplete to Connor Wingenroth

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Demetrius Russell run for 16 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Demetrius Russell run for 1 yd to the Navy 24

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.05

John Quazza 24 Yd pass from Jake Melville (Jonah Bowman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quentin Ezell run for 4 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Quentin Ezell run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tago Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Gavin Jernigan punt for 42 yds, downed at the Colg 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

John Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

John Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Colg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

John Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Colg 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Jake Melville pass complete to John Maddaluna for 14 yds to the Colg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jake Melville pass complete to John Maddaluna for 7 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Jake Melville pass incomplete to Alex Greenawalt

3rd & 3Fumble Return Touchdown-54 ydsPPA -9.43

Kevin McCoy 54 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Grebe Kick)

1st & 65Penalty+15 yds

COLGATE Penalty, roughing the kicker (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

John Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Colg 13

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Bret Mooney run for 2 yds to the Colg 15

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Bret Mooney pass incomplete to Demetrius Russell

4th & 6Punt+12 yds

Nikko Armiento punt for 43 yds , Calvin Cass Jr. returns for 12 yds to the Colg 46

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Joshua Walker run for 15 yds to the Colg 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Tago Smith run for 12 yds to the Colg 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tago Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 20

2nd & 11Rush-16 ydsPPA -3.39

Tago Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 21 NAVY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Colg 36

2nd & 27Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Shawn White run for 6 yds to the Colg 30

3rd & 21Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Tago Smith run for 9 yds to the Colg 21

4th & 12Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.49

Nick Sloan 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Bret Mooney run for 8 yds to the Colg 37

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Demetrius Russell run for 3 yds to the Colg 40 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Colgate

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
13%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
68%
25 plays
2nd
100%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play