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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 10.2

Home Win Probability

Memphis 78%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
00707
MemphisMemphis
281414763

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-035-042-049-049-756-763-7
MemphisMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMEMMSMEMMSMEMMSMEMMSMSMEMMSMEMMSMEMMSMEMMEMMSMEMMSMEMMSMEMMSMEMMSMEMTO30ydTD525ydPUNT3-2ydTD466ydTO111ydTD536ydPUNT36ydPUNT513ydTD35ydPUNT33ydTD1070ydPUNT1141ydPUNT522ydPUNT42ydTD767ydPUNT38ydEND421ydTD1280ydTD975ydTD1075ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT515ydPUNT37ydPUNT36ydTO38ydTD321ydPUNT36ydEND312yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and Memphis
StatisticMissouri StateMemphis
Passing15-2516-21
Pass Yards107202
Rush Yards18317
Total Yards125519
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-149-14
Penalties5-589-92
Possession26:1033:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Breck Ruddick
14/24, 101 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Calan Crowder
6 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
Zac Hoover
3 REC, 44 YDS
Memphis
passing
Clay Holgorsen
7/8, 80 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jarvis Cooper
18 CAR, 102 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Mose Frazier
6 REC, 89 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Calan Crowder run for 5 yds to the MoSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Calan Crowder run for 2 yds to the MoSt 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -0.53

Breck Ruddick run for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 25 Breck Ruddick fumbled, recovered by Memph Jackson Dillon

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Sam Craft run for 15 yds to the MoSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Craft run for 5 yds to the MoSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin Jones

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Malik Earl for 6 yards to the MSU31 (NELSON, D), PENALTY MSU holding (Richard Darden) 10 yards to the MSU15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Malik Earl for 5 yds to the MoSt 20

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Breck Ruddick run for 1 yd to the MoSt 21

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Breck Ruddick run for 2 yds to the MoSt 23

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 48 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 5 yds to the Memph 28 MEMPHIS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Sam Craft run for 10 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Paxton Lynch run for 4 yds to the Memph 48

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.12

Sam Craft run for 8 yds to the MoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Phil Mayhue pass complete to Mose Frazier for 44 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -0.92

Ryan Heaston run for 11 yds to the MoSt 36 Ryan Heaston fumbled, forced by Dion Witty, recovered by Memph Wynton McManis

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 7 yds to the MoSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.18

Paxton Lynch run for 20 yds to the MoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the MoSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sam Craft run for 5 yds to the MoSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Breck Ruddick pass complete to LeMarcus Stewart for 4 yds to the MoSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ryan Heaston run for 2 yds to the MoSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete to LeMarcus Stewart

4th & 4Punt+16 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 53 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 16 yds to the Memph 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 6 yds to the Memph 38

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Doroland Dorceus run for 9 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Sam Craft run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 42

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Memph 45

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Roderick Proctor

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Phoenix Johnson run for no gain to the MoSt 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Phoenix Johnson for 5 yds to the MoSt 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete to Phoenix Johnson, broken up by Arthur Maulet

4th & 5Punt+63 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 38 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 63 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Breck Ruddick run for a loss of 4 yards to the MoSt 21 Breck Ruddick fumbled, recovered by MoSt Breck Ruddick

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jason Randall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 20

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Breck Ruddick run for 8 yds to the MoSt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jarvis Cooper run for 7 yds to the Memph 37

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jarvis Cooper run for 11 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 5 yds to the MoSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.84

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 6 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.59

Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds to the MoSt 37 for a 1ST down MISSOURI ST Penalty, personal foul (James Barnes) to the MoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jarvis Cooper run for 8 yds to the MoSt 14

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.24

Jarvis Cooper run for 5 yds to the MoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony Miller run for 5 yds to the MoSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK), (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Calan Crowder run for 1 yd to the MoSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Breck Ruddick pass complete to LeMarcus Stewart for 2 yds to the MoSt 28

3rd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Breck Ruddick run for 14 yds to the MoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Breck Ruddick pass complete to LeMarcus Stewart for 17 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete to LeMarcus Stewart

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Calan Crowder for 2 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Donald Pennington) to the Memph 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ryan Heaston run for 3 yds to the Memph 21

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-22 ydsPPA -4.09

Team run for a loss of 22 yards to the Memph 43 Team fumbled,

3rd & 29Penalty+15 yds

Breck Ruddick pass intercepted by NELSON, D at the MEM0, NELSON, D return to the MEM0, PENALTY MEM roughing passer (HUNTER, Ricky) 15 yards to the MEM28, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ryan Heaston run for no gain to the Memph 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete, broken up by Dion Witty

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.15

Breck Ruddick sacked by Latarius Brady for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 34

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 28 yds, downed at the Memph 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 5 yds to the Memph 11

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Sam Craft run for 12 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Sam Craft run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 19

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Sam Craft run for 3 yds to the Memph 22

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Sam Craft run for 6 yds to the Memph 28

4th & 5Punt+16 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 50 yds , Deion Holliman returns for 16 yds to the MoSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Zac Hoover for 10 yds to the MoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete to Calan Crowder

2nd & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.88

Breck Ruddick run for a loss of 8 yards to the MoSt 40

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 27 yds, downed at the Memph 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.46

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 32 yds to the MoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Paxton Lynch run for 3 yds to the MoSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Craft run for 1 yd to the MoSt 31

3rd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Sam Craft run for 16 yds to the MoSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 12 yds to the MoSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the MoSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Breck Ruddick run for 8 yds to the MoSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Roderick Proctor at the Memph 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jarvis Cooper run for 9 yds to the Memph 24

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

COOPER, Jarvis rush for 5 yards to the MEM29 (Chris Hoffmann), PENALTY MEM holding (MONTIEL, Daniel) 10 yards to the MEM14, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Jarvis Cooper run for 10 yds to the Memph 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Jarvis Cooper run for 3 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jarvis Cooper run for 9 yds to the Memph 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 16 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jarvis Cooper run for 7 yds to the Memph 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Mose Frazier for 17 yds to the MoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds to the MoSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jarvis Cooper run for 2 yds to the MoSt 34

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jarvis Cooper run for 2 yds to the MoSt 32

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.56

Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds to the MoSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Mose Frazier for 12 yds to the MoSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jarvis Cooper run for 5 yds to the MoSt 11

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Clay Holgorsen run for 3 yds to the MoSt 8

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.92

Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds to the MoSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Zac Hoover for 28 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Malik Earl for 9 yds to the Memph 38

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Calan Crowder run for 3 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Calan Crowder run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Ryan Heaston for 5 yds to the Memph 32

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete to Ryan Heaston, PENALTY MEM targeting (HUNTER, Ricky) 15 yards to the MEM17, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Maddy Johnson run for 4 yds to the Memph 13

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete to Zac Hoover

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.27

Calan Crowder run for 9 yds to the Memph 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty+2 yds

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete to LeMrcus Stewart, PENALTY MEM roughing passer (AVERY, Genard) 2 yards to the MEM2, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Malik Earl for 2 yds for a TD, (Shelby Harris KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Greg McKillion for 17 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.69

Jamarius Henderson run for 26 yds to the MoSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamarius Henderson run for 2 yds to the MoSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 9 yds to the MoSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Greg McKillion for 5 yds to the MoSt 16

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jamarius Henderson run for 4 yds to the MoSt 12

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Jamarius Henderson run for 11 yds to the MoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jamarius Henderson run for no gain to the MoSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Jamarius Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Clay Holgorsen pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Breck Ruddick pass complete to LeMarcus Stewart for no gain to the MoSt 36

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Breck Ruddick run for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 33

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Breck Ruddick pass incomplete to LeMarcus Stewart

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 36 yds, downed at the Memph 31

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 26

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.95

Jamarius Henderson run for 13 yds to the Memph 39

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.23

Jamarius Henderson run for 5 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Jamarius Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 39

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jamarius Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 40

3rd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jamarius Henderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Deion Holliman at the MoSt 18

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Phoenix Johnson rush for 6 yards to the MSU24 (HARDEN, Lenard), PENALTY MEM offside defense (AKINS, Curtis) 5 yards to the MSU23, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 18 Team fumbled, recovered by MoSt Breck Ruddick

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Phoenix Johnson run for 1 yd to the MoSt 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Maddy Johnson for 6 yds to the MoSt 25

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jamarius Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Clay Holgorsen pass incomplete to Jackson Dillon

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Darius Lee run for 4 yds to the Memph 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Deion Holliman at the MoSt 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jason Randall run for 1 yd to the MoSt 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Breck Ruddick pass complete to Malik Earl for 6 yds to the MoSt 20

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jason Randall run for 1 yd to the MoSt 21 Jason Randall fumbled, forced by Michael Edwards, recovered by Memph B.J. Ross

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Jamarius Henderson run for 2 yds to the MoSt 19 for a 1ST down MISSOURI ST Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Dylan Cole) to the MoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jamarius Henderson run for 3 yds to the MoSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jamarius Henderson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cedric Miller run for no gain to the MoSt 9

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Cedric Miller run for no gain to the MoSt 9

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Brodie Lambert pass complete to Zac Hoover for 6 yds to the MoSt 15

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Chris Sullens punt for 36 yds, downed at the Memph 49

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tearris Wallace run for 6 yds to the MoSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tearris Wallace run for 1 yd to the MoSt 44

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Tearris Wallace run for 5 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
66%
35 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
71%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play