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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 9.3

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 77%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Towson
733720
East CarolinaEast Carolina
1407728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-714-1014-1321-1328-1328-20
East CarolinaTowson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECTOWECTOWECTOWECTOWECTOWTOWECTOWECTOWECTOWECTOWECTD974ydTD1282ydTD1575ydFG1676ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydMISS946ydPUNT35ydPUNT528ydTO729ydFG951ydTD1075ydTO420ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS532ydTD1069ydTD1175ydPUNT33ydDOWNS944ydEND426yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Towson and East Carolina
StatisticTowsonEast Carolina
Passing17-3329-37
Pass Yards237235
Rush Yards179192
Total Yards416427
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-1510-17
Penalties5-428-89
Possession33:3626:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Towson
passing
Connor Frazier
15/28, 221 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darius Victor
28 CAR, 137 YDS
receiving
Brian Dowling
4 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
East Carolina
passing
Blake Kemp
29/37, 235 YDS
rushing
Chris Hairston
18 CAR, 154 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Zay Jones
6 REC, 77 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the ECaro 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.05

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 10 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 6 yds to the ECaro 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce Williams, broken up by Jahmahl Pardner

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Blake Kemp run for 5 yds to the Tows 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 4 yds to the Tows 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Blake Kemp pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +5.02

Chris Hairston run for 45 yds for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Darius Victor run for 14 yds to the Tows 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the Tows 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Connor Frazier run for 1 yd to the Tows 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.38

Ellis Knudson pass complete to Andre Dessenberg for 11 yds to the Tows 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Darius Victor run for 8 yds to the ECaro 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Ellis Knudson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Frazier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Connor Frazier pass complete to Shane Simpson for 13 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Darius Victor run for no gain to the ECaro 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOWSON Penalty, false start (Fred Santarelli) to the ECaro 30

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.80

Connor Frazier pass complete to Brian Dowling for 30 yds for a TD, (Sam Hurwitz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the ECaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the ECaro 33

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Chris Hairston run for 8 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 11 yds to the Tows 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 2 yds to the Tows 46

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the Tows 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 8 yds to the Tows 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SCOTT, Anthony rush over left end for 12 yards to the TOWSON23 (Mynatt, Jordan), PENALTY ECU holding (JONES, Isaiah) 10 yards to the TOWSON45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the Tows 40

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Blake Kemp pass complete to Anthony Scott for 3 yds to the Tows 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 10 yds to the Tows 27

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.23

Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the Tows 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 19 yds to the Tows 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chris Hairston run for 4 yds to the Tows 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Kemp run for no gain to the Tows 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Chris Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Marquel Dickerson run for 2 yds to the Tows 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Connor Frazier pass complete to Tanner Vallely for 7 yds to the Tows 27

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Darius Victor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 26

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.38

Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the Tows 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Connor Frazier run for 6 yds to the Tows 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Brian Dowling

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.87

Connor Frazier run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Terrell Richardson) to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Connor Frazier pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 15 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Darius Victor run for 10 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Darius Victor run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 21

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Frazier run for 5 yds to the ECaro 16

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Connor Frazier pass complete to Emmanuel Holder for 9 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Victor run for 1 yd to the ECaro 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Tanner Vallely

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Jacquille Veii

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Sam Hurwitz 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.12

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 23

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 5 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 1 yd to the ECaro 29

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 71 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the Tows 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre Dessenberg

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Connor Frazier pass incomplete, broken up by Montese Overton

4th & 8Punt+44 yds

Jake Ryder punt for 30 yds, downed at the EASTCRLINA 48 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (14 Yards) to the ECaro 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 9 yds to the ECaro 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 14 yds to the Tows 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Ike Harris) to the Tows 43

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Blake Kemp pass complete to DaQuan Barnes for 7 yds to the Tows 36

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Anthony Scott run for 12 yds to the Tows 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the Tows 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 1 yd to the Tows 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Connor Torruella 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ellis Knudson pass complete to Brian Dowling for 5 yds to the Tows 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ellis Knudson pass incomplete to Tanner Vallely

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ellis Knudson pass incomplete to Connor Frazier, broken up by DaShaun Amos

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Ryder punt for 53 yds, downed at the ECaro 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 19 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Anthony Scott run for 18 yds to the EASTCRLINA 41 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (J.T. Boyd) to the ECaro 36

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 3 yds to the ECaro 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Blake Kemp pass complete to Anthony Scott for 9 yds to the ECaro 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Brian Dowling at the Tows 23

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.36

Connor Frazier run for 16 yds to the Tows 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.05

Connor Frazier sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Tows 32

2nd & 17Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.61

Connor Frazier pass complete to Christ Summers for 26 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Brian Dowling

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Connor Frazier pass complete to Brian Dowling for 9 yds to the ECaro 33

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

Frazier, Connor sideline pass complete to Summers, Christ for 4 yards to the ECU29, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TOWSON pass interference 15 yards to the ECU48, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre Dessenberg, broken up by Josh Hawkins

4th & 16Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.09

Connor Frazier pass intercepted Josh Hawkins return for no gain to the ECaro 5

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Connor Frazier pass complete to Christ Summers for 10 yds to the Tows 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Darius Victor run for 1 yd to the Tows 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.23

Connor Frazier pass complete to Tanner Vallely for 19 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Darius Victor run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 20

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Darius Victor run for 16 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down

2nd & 11Penalty+10 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Josh Hawkins) to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Darius Victor run for no gain to the ECaro 10

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

TOWSON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Jacquille Veii

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Darius Victor run for 1 yd to the ECaro 9

4th & 14Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA +0.10

Sam Hurwitz 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Chris Hairston run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 13 yds to the Tows 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 7 yds to the Tows 30

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to DaQuan Barnes

4th & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 17 yds to the Tows 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 10 yds to the Tows 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the Tows 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Chris Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Connor Frazier run for 11 yds to the Tows 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Frazier run for 1 yd to the Tows 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.83

Connor Frazier pass complete to Christ Summers for 15 yds to the Tows 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -2.05

Jacquille Veii run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tows 46 Jacquille Veii fumbled, forced by Pat Green, recovered by ECaro Fred Presley EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Demetri McGill) to the Tows 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the Tows 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 4 yds to the Tows 37

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Chris Hairston run for no gain to the Tows 37

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.34

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce Williams, broken up by Diondr Wallace

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.04

Connor Frazier pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 27 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Darius Victor run for 1 yd to the ECaro 35

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.18

Connor Frazier sacked by Johnathon White for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 41

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Frazier run for 3 yds to the ECaro 38

4th & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.93

Connor Frazier pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 7 yds to the ECaro 31

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.56

Blake Kemp sacked by Chris Tedder for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 23

2nd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 5 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 13Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.88

Chris Hairston run for 17 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Chris Hairston run for 15 yds to the Tows 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the Tows 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 7 yds to the Tows 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the Tows 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the Tows 13

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the Tows 11

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.80

Chris Hairston run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre Dessenberg

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Darius Victor run for 7 yds to the Tows 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the Tows 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Frazier pass complete to Brian Dowling for 9 yds to the Tows 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Connor Frazier pass complete to Sam Gallahan for 6 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the ECaro 45

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Darius Victor run for 12 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Connor Frazier run for 8 yds to the ECaro 25

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre Dessenberg, broken up by Corey Seargent

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.09

Darius Victor run for 24 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Connor Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hurwitz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 7 yds to the ECaro 32

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

HAIRSTON, Chris rush for 1 yard to the ECU33 (Law, Nico;Lewis, Donnell), PENALTY ECU holding (McKINNEY, Q.) 10 yards to the ECU22, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 6 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Brandon Bishop

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 44 yds , Brian Dowling returns for 12 yds to the Tows 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marquel Dickerson run for 5 yds to the Tows 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Darius Victor run for 6 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Connor Frazier pass complete to Tanner Vallely for 19 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Darius Victor run for 8 yds to the ECaro 22

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Darius Victor run for 3 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the ECaro 17

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the ECaro 15

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Marquel Dickerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 16

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.37

Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Sam Gallahan, broken up by Terrell Richardson

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TOWSON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 8Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 27

3rd & 14Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.73

Anthony Scott run for 16 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 42

Situational Analysis

Towson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
47%
34 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
62%
26 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays