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← Back to GamesNov 28, 2015Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Middle Tennessee by 4.1

Home Win Probability

UTSA 37%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 28, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
71414742
UTSAUTSA
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-210-280-350-427-42
UTSAMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTPUNT32ydPUNT1233ydTO122ydTO25ydTD864ydDOWNS1152ydTD1375ydPUNT525ydTD1278ydEND3-1ydPUNT33ydTD541ydDOWNS1157ydPUNT412ydPUNT3-1ydTO660ydTD512ydTD00ydTO528ydTD1079ydTD669ydEND1152yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and UTSA
StatisticMiddle TennesseeUTSA
Passing24-3014-23
Pass Yards257140
Rush Yards199152
Total Yards456292
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-104-12
Penalties1-55-59
Possession32:5027:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
Brent Stockstill
24/30, 257 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shane Tucker
12 CAR, 57 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Richie James
7 REC, 85 YDS
UTSA
passing
Dalton Sturm
14/23, 140 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tyrell Clay
14 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
JaBryce Taylor
4 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 6 yds to the TexSA 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.11

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dalton Sturm run for no gain to the TexSA 6

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyrell Clay run for 5 yds to the TexSA 11

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Dalton Sturm run for 7 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the TexSA 22

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kerry Thomas Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 26

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Dalton Sturm sacked by Justin Akins and Raynard Felton for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.28

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the TexSA 32 TEXASSAN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 22

2nd & 18Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.57

Tyrell Clay run for 31 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.41

Dalton Sturm sacked by Steven Rhodes for a loss of 11 yards to the TexSA 42

3rd & 21Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyrell Clay run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 39

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 19

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA -0.56

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 16 yds Richie James fumbled, forced by Duke Wheeler, recovered by TexSA Bennett Okotcha

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Steven Rhodes run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 36

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.85

Steven Rhodes run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36 Steven Rhodes fumbled, forced by Shaquille Huff, recovered by MTnSt Shaquille Huff

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Richie James run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 5 yds to the TexSA 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 4 yds to the TexSA 45

3rd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (Marcus Davenport) to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the TexSA 33

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Shane Tucker run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kerry Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexSA 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.26

Dalton Sturm pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 11 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete, broken up by Jamarcus Howard

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Aaron Grubb run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete, broken up by Darius Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Dalton Sturm pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 8 yds to the MTnSt 42

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.26

Aaron Grubb run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, offside defense (Raynard Felton) to the MTnSt 27

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Steven Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Steven Rhodes run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Aaron Grubb for 2 yds to the MTnSt 24

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.31

Dalton Sturm run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 16 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Derek Barnes for 7 yds to the MTnSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Jordan Parker run for 6 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the TexSA 40

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the TexSA 37

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.75

Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 3 yds to the TexSA 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 13 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 9 yds to the TexSA 8

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus Davenport

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Jordan Parker run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brett Winnegan for 10 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Dalton Sturm pass complete to David Morgan II for 16 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dalton Sturm run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.11

Dalton Sturm run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 9 yds to the MTnSt 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.47

Chase Pennycuff run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.61

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 37 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the TexSA 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the TexSA 21

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.17

Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the TexSA 15

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Jordan Parker run for 7 yds to the TexSA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the TexSA 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 7 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Dalton Sturm sacked by Steven Rhodes for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Tyrell Clay for 1 yd to the TexSA 18

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyrell Clay run for 6 yds to the TexSA 24

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyrell Clay run for 6 yds to the TexSA 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Aaron Grubb for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to JaBryce Taylor

4th & 7Punt+18 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 33 yds, downed at the TEXASSAN 44 TEXASSAN Penalty, kick catching interference (Darryl Godfrey) to the TexSA 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Marcos Curry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.58

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 28 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the TexSA 10

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Shane Tucker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Tyrell Clay run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Tyrell Clay run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.46

Dalton Sturm pass complete to David Morgan II for 14 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Dalton Sturm pass complete to David Morgan II for 4 yds to the MTnSt 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.14

Dalton Sturm pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 20 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyrell Clay run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 15

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.87

Tyrell Clay run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 11 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 2 yds to the MTnSt 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Demetrius Frazier, broken up by Drew Douglas

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 36 yds , Derrick Dick returns for 6 yds to the TexSA 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to JaBryce Taylor

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Sturm middle pass complete to Taylor,J for 16 yards to the MT42 (Walker,X), PENALTY UTSA ineligible downfield on pass (Pratt) 5 yards to the UTSA37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the TexSA 41 TEXASSAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to JaBryce Taylor

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Daniel Portillo punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 12 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the MTnSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.34

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 40 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.34

Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the TexSA 20 Shane Tucker fumbled, forced by Mauricio Sanchez, recovered by TexSA Jonathan Tuiolosega

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Steven Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 22

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Dalton Sturm run for 8 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Steven Rhodes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 28

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brett Winnegan run for 4 yds to the TexSA 32

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown-34 ydsPPA -7.14

Dalton Sturm pass intercepted for a TD Alex Dale return for 34 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brett Winnegan run for 5 yds to the TexSA 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Corbin White run for 7 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Corbin White run for 2 yds to the TexSA 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Corbin White for 14 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -3.95

Dalton Sturm pass intercepted Kevin Byard return for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 21

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TEXASSAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Austin Pratt) to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 2 yds to the MTnSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the MTnSt 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.20

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 20 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jordan Parker run for 7 yds to the TexSA 26

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Parker run for 7 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Parker run for 6 yds to the TexSA 13

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Kamani Thomas run for 8 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kamani Thomas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brian Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Corbin White run for 8 yds to the TexSA 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Dalton Sturm run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Dalton Sturm pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 31 yds for a TD, (Daniel Portillo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Austin Grammer run for no gain to the MTnSt 32

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.88

Kamani Thomas run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Austin Grammer run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Kamani Thomas run for 9 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Austin Grammer run for 2 yds to the TexSA 41

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kamani Thomas run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.88

Austin Grammer run for 3 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kamani Thomas run for 5 yds to the TexSA 28

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Kamani Thomas run for 11 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kamani Thomas run for 3 yds to the TexSA 14

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 16

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
48%
33 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
79%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
56%
9 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays