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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colorado State by 4

Home Win Probability

UTSA 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
9714333
UTSAUTSA
7107731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-917-1617-2317-3024-3331-33
UTSAColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTSCSUTSCSUTSCSUTSCSUTSCSUTSCSCSUTSCSUTSCSUTSCSUTSCSUTSCSTD778ydTD963ydPUNT411ydPUNT414ydSAF2-2ydPUNT3-5ydFG947ydPUNT416ydTD26ydTD1275ydPUNT518ydEND37ydTD661ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydTO667ydTD567ydTD670ydFG1584ydTD285ydPUNT36ydPUNT748ydEND1056yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and UTSA
StatisticColorado StateUTSA
Passing16-309-18
Pass Yards267153
Rush Yards171279
Total Yards438432
Turnovers01
3rd Down10-184-9
Penalties9-718-47
Possession36:1223:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Nick Stevens
15/28, 255 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jasen Oden Jr.
30 CAR, 143 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rashard Higgins
5 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
UTSA
passing
Blake Bogenschutz
9/18, 153 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarveon Williams
13 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Aron Taylor
4 REC, 69 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Aaron Grubb for 6 yds to the TexSA 28

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 25

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Bogenschutz sideline pass incomplete to Thomas Jr. (Clyburn), PENALTY CS offside defense (Kawulok) 5 yards to the UTSA30, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Jarveon Williams run for 11 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kerry Thomas Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.

3rd & 6Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.40

Blake Bogenschutz run for 42 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jalen Rhodes run for 13 yds for a TD, (Daniel Portillo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Stevens pass incomplete, broken up by Michael Egwuagu

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.71

Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 12 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSA 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nick Stevens pass incomplete, broken up by Michael Egwuagu

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.29

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 8 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nick Stevens pass incomplete, broken up by Bennett Okotcha

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 34

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.01

Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 34 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Jarveon Williams run for 17 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.25

Greg Campbell Jr. sacked by Kevin Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 39

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to David Morgan II

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 35 yds , Joe Hansley returns for no gain to the ColSt 26

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 10 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 7 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Nick Stevens pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Trent Matthews) to the ColSt 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 2

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 1

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Blake Bogenschutz run for no gain to the TexSA 1

3rd & 11Safety0 ydsPPA -1.65

Bogenschutz crossing pass complete to Thomas Jr. for 6 yards to the UTSA7 (Elliott), PENALTY UTSA holding (Anzaldua) 1 yards to the UTSA0, NO PLAY, Team safety, clock 04:25. for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 42

3rd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the ColSt 36

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Stevens crossing pass incomplete to Matthews,I, PENALTY CS holding (Cartwright) 10 yards to the CS32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Nick Stevens pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+30 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Derrick Dick at the TEXASSAN 19 COLORADO ST Penalty, kick catching interference (Jake Schlager) to the TexSA 34

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Blake Bogenschutz run for 12 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kenny Bias run for 3 yds to the TexSA 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the ColSt 48

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Aaron Grubb run for 4 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Aaron Grubb for 16 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jarveon Williams run for 8 yds to the ColSt 20

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.71

Blake Bogenschutz run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 21

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the ColSt 19

4th & 1Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.69

Daniel Portillo 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Coleman Key pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 12 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Coleman Key pass incomplete to Rashard Higgins

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 8 yds to the ColSt 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the ColSt 31

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, delay of game (Hayden Hunt) to the ColSt 26

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt blocked by Justin Chavez blocked by Justin Chavez

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (Reed Darragh) to the ColSt 11

1st & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dalton Sturm run for no gain to the ColSt 11

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to David Morgan II for 11 yds for a TD, (Daniel Portillo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Nick Stevens pass complete to Jasen Oden Jr. for 12 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the ColSt 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Nick Stevens pass complete to Deionte Gaines for 5 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexSA 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Steven Walker run for 4 yds to the TexSA 43

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.76

Nick Stevens run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 8 yds to the TexSA 34

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jasen Oden Jr. run for no gain to the TexSA 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.05

Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 22 yds to the TexSA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty+6 yds

Stevens post pass intercepted by Gaines at the UTSA0, Gaines return to the UTSA0, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Okotcha) 6 yards to the UTSA2, 1ST DOWN CS, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Aron Taylor for 17 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Blake Bogenschutz run for 2 yds to the TexSA 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Aron Taylor

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.03

Blake Bogenschutz sacked by Martavius Foster and Joe Kawulok for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 51 yds , Joe Hansley returns for no gain to the ColSt 43 COLORADO ST Penalty, IB (3 Yards) to the ColSt 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 4

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the ColSt 6

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Matthews,I rush over left guard for 1 yard to the CS7 (Sanchez), PENALTY UTSA offside defense (Price) 5 yards to the CS11, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 10

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.84

Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 25 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Deionte Gaines

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 16 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the TexSA 13

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jasen Oden Jr. run for no gain to the TexSA 13

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.77

Nick Stevens pass complete to Deionte Gaines for 13 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr. TEXASSAN Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the ColSt 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jasen Oden Jr. run for no gain to the ColSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Kivon Cartwright, broken up by Marcos Curry

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Sammie Long IV

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Derrick Dick at the TexSA 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexSA 13

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexSA 17

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to David Morgan II for 11 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jarveon Williams run for 8 yds to the TexSA 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.21

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 40 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -4.32

Blake Bogenschutz pass intercepted DeAndre Elliott return for 19 yds to the ColSt 33

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Mauricio Sanchez) to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard Higgins

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Izzy Matthews run for 8 yds to the TexSA 44

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Izzy Matthews run for 6 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 38 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Jarveon Williams run for 22 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.25

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Aron Taylor for 22 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Blake Bogenschutz run for 6 yds to the ColSt 21

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Bogenschutz rush right for loss of 2 yards to the CS23, PENALTY UTSA illegal formation 5 yards to the CS26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Aaron Grubb, broken up by Trent Matthews

3rd & 9Penalty+13 yds

Bogenschutz sacked for loss of 13 yards to the CS39 (Foster,M), PENALTY CS face mask (Foster,M) 13 yards to the CS13, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jarveon Williams run for 13 yds for a TD, (Daniel Portillo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 8 yds to the ColSt 21

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Nick Stevens sacked by Michael Egwuagu for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 18

2nd & 16Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.06

Nick Stevens pass complete to Deionte Gaines for 18 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 4 yds to the ColSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Deionte Gaines

3rd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.46

Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 29 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 11 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Kivon Cartwright) to the TexSA 25

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard Higgins

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 14 yds to the TexSA 11

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 6 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 1

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.55

Team run for no gain to the TexSA 2 Team fumbled, recovered by ColSt Nick Stevens

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jasen Oden Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Wyatt Bryan 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to David Morgan II

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +7.06

Jarveon Williams run for 85 yds for a TD, (Daniel Portillo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Xavier Williams

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the ColSt 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 5 yds to the ColSt 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Derrick Dick at the TexSA 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.42

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Aron Taylor for 21 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Dalton Sturm run for 18 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Aron Taylor for 9 yds to the ColSt 38

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Bogenschutz run for 4 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (JaBryce Taylor) to the ColSt 39

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the ColSt 38

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to JaBryce Taylor

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Blake Bogenschutz run for no gain to the ColSt 38

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the ColSt 10

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 10 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXASSAN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the ColSt 25

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Kivon Cartwright, broken up by Darryl Godfrey

3rd & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.22

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 28 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 6 yds to the TexSA 39

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Nick Stevens run for 3 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSA 31

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.58

Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 35

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the TexSA 34

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
48%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
14%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
56%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play