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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 11.8

Home Win Probability

UCF 82%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida InternationalFlorida International
306615
UCFUCF
770014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-314-314-914-15
UCFFlorida International

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFFIUCFFIUCFFIUCFFIUCFFIUCFFIFIUCFFIUCFFIUCFFIUCFFIUCFFIPUNT31ydFG1676ydPUNT516ydTO224ydTD526ydPUNT39ydTD770ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydPUNT420ydMISS1357ydTD1282ydPUNT39ydPUNT47ydDOWNS1154ydTD680ydPUNT728ydPUNT415ydPUNT619ydPUNT39ydMISS1144ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida International and UCF
StatisticFlorida InternationalUCF
Passing28-3723-34
Pass Yards260249
Rush Yards13146
Total Yards391295
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-157-16
Penalties7-453-20
Possession29:5730:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida International
passing
Alex McGough
28/37, 260 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Alex Gardner
15 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Owens
10 REC, 78 YDS
UCF
passing
Justin Holman
23/34, 249 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dontravious Wilson
12 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Tre'Quan Smith
9 REC, 104 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for no gain to the UCF 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jordan Akins, broken up by Wilkenson Myrtil

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 8 yds to the FlaIn 22

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.61

Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Alex McGough pass complete to Anthon Samuel for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Anthon Samuel run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.09

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Alex McGough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the UCF 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.36

Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 27 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the UCF 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the UCF 11

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.63

Austin Taylor 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Dontravious Wilson run for 9 yds to the UCF 39

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 4 yds to the UCF 46

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlaIn 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 4 yds to the FlaIn 11

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Gardner run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 26 Alex Gardner fumbled, forced by Chequan Burkett, recovered by UCF Drico Johnson , return for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.02

Dontravious Wilson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 6 yds to the FlaIn 9

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.87

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for no gain to the FlaIn 20

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Chris Ayers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Akins at the UCF 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 30

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Dontravious Wilson run for 7 yds to the UCF 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.80

Justin Holman pass complete to Chris Johnson for 7 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 20 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 33

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.05

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 33 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OFF ( Yards) declined, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthon Samuel run for no gain to the FlaIn 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Alex McGough pass complete to Anthon Samuel for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Chris Ayers punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 2 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Deonte Wilson run for 6 yds to the UCF 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Alex McGough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 6

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 9 yds to the FlaIn 15

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

Stone Wilson punt for 52 yds , Jordan Akins returns for 9 yds to the UCF 42

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Justin Holman run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.46

Justin Holman sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line Justin Holman fumbled, , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Justin Holman pass complete to Chris Johnson for 12 yds to the FlaIn 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens

3rd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.44

Alex Gardner run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for no gain to the FlaIn 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 8 yds to the UCF 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.36

Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 1 yd to the UCF 32

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.01

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 33

3rd & 10Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Austin Taylor 50 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 21

2nd & 7Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.61

Anthony Jones run for 26 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 4 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the UCF 48

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 47

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.86

Alex McGough run for 10 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the UCF 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 15 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the UCF 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 5 yds to the UCF 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 17 yds to the UCF 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the UCF 2

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Alex Gardner run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

William Stanback run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 10 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

William Stanback run for no gain to the UCF 30

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 53 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 12 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Alex McGough pass incomplete to Anthony Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Alex McGough pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 28

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Stone Wilson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Akins at the UCF 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 15 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

William Stanback run for 7 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

William Stanback run for 1 yd to the UCF 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Justin Holman run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Patti run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jordan Akins, broken up by Wilkenson Myrtil

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 17 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jordan Akins

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Chris (LEONARD, R.), PENALTY FIU OFF 5 yards to the FIU24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

William Stanback run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

HOLMAN, Justin pass complete to SMITH, Tre'Quan for 13 yards to the FIU10, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UCF holding 10 yards to the FIU33, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 13 yds to the FlaIn 20

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -3.64

TEAM run for no gain to the FlaIn 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCF Justin Holman

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.69

Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 47 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.74

Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 23 yds to the UCF 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the UCF 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the UCF 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Ya'Keem Griner 3 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.13

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 13 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

William Stanback run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 12 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

William Stanback run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Holman pass complete to William Stanback for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 11 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 8 yds to the FlaIn 40

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex Gardner FLORIDA INTL Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chris Ayers punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jordan Akins at the UCF 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 14 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.83

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 21 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 48

1st & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Justin Holman run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 45

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Chris Johnson

3rd & 18Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.47

Justin Holman sacked by Denzell Perine for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 37 Justin Holman fumbled, , return for 0 yards

4th & 26Punt+10 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 47 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 10 yds to the FlaIn 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Alex McGough run for no gain to the FlaIn 26

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 35

4th & 1Punt+6 yds

Stone Wilson punt for 45 yds , Jordan Akins returns for 6 yds to the UCF 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Justin Holman pass complete to Chris Johnson for 13 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 8 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Chris Johnson

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.50

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 5 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Holman pass complete to Nick Patti for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.78

Justin Holman run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

William Stanback run for no gain to the FlaIn 23

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

William Stanback run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 27

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

William Stanback run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 30

4th & 17Blocked Field Goal+47 yds

Matthew Wright 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Imarjaye Albury TEAM return for no gain to the FlaIn 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 28

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

TEAM run for no gain to the FlaIn 28

Situational Analysis

Florida International

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
22%
27 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
56%
18 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play