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← Back to GamesNov 28, 2015Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 28, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
7213031
MinnesotaMinnesota
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-77-1414-1414-2814-3121-31
MinnesotaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINWISWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISPUNT38ydTD10ydTD1067ydPUNT30ydTD1473ydTD771ydPUNT617ydTO318ydTD434ydTO318ydTD648ydEND26ydPUNT36ydTO31ydFG921ydPUNT35ydMISS1036ydPUNT34ydPUNT515ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTO338ydPUNT36ydTD572ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1026ydPUNT3-5ydTO45ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Minnesota
StatisticWisconsinMinnesota
Passing9-1716-37
Pass Yards79223
Rush Yards25753
Total Yards336276
Turnovers15
3rd Down9-183-12
Penalties6-594-35
Possession40:3519:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Joel Stave
9/17, 79 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dare Ogunbowale
33 CAR, 155 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Alex Erickson
6 REC, 66 YDS
Minnesota
passing
Mitch Leidner
16/37, 223 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Rodney Smith
7 CAR, 35 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Shannon Brooks
3 REC, 53 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen, broken up by Michael Caputo

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 7 yds to the Minn 35

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 50 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 18

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-16 ydsPPA -7.51

Joel Stave pass intercepted for a TD Briean Boddy-Calhoun return for 16 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.53

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 11 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.18

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Theiren Cockran) to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Taiwan Deal run for 12 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Dare Ogunbowale run for 14 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Derek Watt run for 1 yd to the Minn 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 34 yds , Alex Erickson returns for no gain to the Wisc 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Taiwan Deal run for 11 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.51

Dare Ogunbowale run for 11 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Dare Ogunbowale run for 7 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the Minn 37

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Minn 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 13 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Minn 11

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.97

Derek Watt run for 7 yds to the Minn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Alec Ingold run for 1 yd to the Minn 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Minn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 8 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.80

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Miles Thomas for 24 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 17 yds to the Wisc 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Wisc 11

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass complete to Thomas, Miles for 1 yard to the WIS10, fumble forced by Caputo, Michael, fumble by Thomas, Miles recovered by MINN Thomas, Miles at WIS14, PENALTY WIS offside (Biegel, Vince) 5 yards to the WIS6, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Dare Ogunbowale run for 9 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Derek Watt run for 2 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Joel Stave pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 1 yd to the Wisc 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 42 yds , KiAnte Hardin returns for no gain to the Minn 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -1.39

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Minn 34 Mitch Leidner fumbled, forced by Joe Schobert, recovered by Wisc Darius Hillary

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Dare Ogunbowale run for 11 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Minn 13

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Taiwan Deal run for 13 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA +0.02

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 15 yds KJ Maye fumbled, forced by Michael Caputo, recovered by Wisc Darius Hillary

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Dare Ogunbowale run for 15 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Minn 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.68

Dare Ogunbowale run for 18 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 27

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Briean Boddy-Calhoun

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 28 yds, downed at the Minn 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen, broken up by Michael Caputo

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-29 ydsPPA -0.55

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Joe Schobert return for 14 yds to the MINNESOTA 44 WISCONSIN Penalty, personal foul (Jack Cichy) to the Minn 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 10 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 4 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Minn 25

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 28

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

4th & 13Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.28

Rafael Gaglianone 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Minn 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Shannon Brooks, broken up by Conor Sheehy

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the Wisc 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 4 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Beau Benzschawel) to the Wisc 31

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.45

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 26 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the Minn 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 8 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the Minn 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 2 yds to the Minn 22

4th & 5Penalty-10 yds

Gaglianone, R. field goal attempt from 40 GOOD, clock 01:58, PENALTY WIS holding (Neuville, Z.) 10 yards to the MINN32, NO PLAY.

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Rafael Gaglianone 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nick Hart for 10 yds to the Minn 41

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Wisc 20

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 53 yds, fair catch by KiAnte Hardin at the Minn 17

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson WISCONSIN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 8 yds to the Minn 25

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+9 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 44 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Joel Stave pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 38 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky, broken up by Tanner McEvoy

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-18 ydsPPA -2.80

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Tanner McEvoy return for 18 yds to the Wisc 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Taiwan Deal run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 8 yds to the Minn 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.17

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nick Hart for 30 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 7 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.55

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 27 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Minn 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 33 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 4 yds to the Minn 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 8 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 4 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nick Hart for 5 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.56

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still, broken up by Darius Hillary

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

Smith, Rodney rush for 1 yard to the WIS43 (Watt, TJ), PENALTY MINN holding (Moore, Tyler) 10 yards to the MINN46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rodney Smith

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ogunbowale, D. rush for 4 yards to the MINN42 (Campbell, D.), PENALTY WIS holding (Deiter, Michael) 10 yards to the WIS44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 43

2nd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Wisc 49

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 43 yds , KiAnte Hardin returns for no gain to the Minn 8

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Hart, Nick, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Orr, Chris) 14 yards to the MINN22, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete, broken up by T.J. Watt

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.21

Mitch Leidner sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 13

4th & 19Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.39

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Tanner McEvoy return for no gain to the Minn 42

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 44

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
54%
13 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
22 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays