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← Back to GamesNov 28, 2015Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 14.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 86%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 28, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
0100616
Michigan StateMichigan State
614142155

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842566-06-320-327-1034-1034-1641-1655-16
Michigan StatePenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSPSMSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSTO434ydTD980ydPUNT734ydPUNT616ydFG1163ydPUNT519ydPUNT3-7ydTD649ydTD952ydTD1067ydEND531ydTD875ydPUNT35ydTD1269ydTD978ydTD744ydTD3-4ydTD19ydDOWNS1044ydTO634ydEND416yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Michigan State
StatisticPenn StateMichigan State
Passing27-4719-27
Pass Yards296248
Rush Yards122188
Total Yards418436
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-158-11
Penalties6-454-19
Possession30:1229:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Christian Hackenberg
22/39, 257 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Saquon Barkley
17 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Chris Godwin
11 REC, 109 YDS, 2 TD
Michigan State
passing
Connor Cook
19/26, 248 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Gerald Holmes
12 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aaron Burbridge
6 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Christian Hackenberg run for 5 yds to the PnSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.17

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 21 yds to the MchSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Christian Hackenberg pass intercepted, touchback. Arjen Colquhoun return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the MchSt 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 13 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Gerald Holmes run for 10 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 8 yds to the PnSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Connor Cook pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 4 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the PnSt 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 9 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 29 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.97

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 15 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 8 yds to the PnSt 39

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.05

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Christian Hackenberg run for 3 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 45 yds, downed at the MchSt 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 4 yds to the MchSt 13

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 5 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 44 yds , Gregg Garrity returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 36

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.01

Brandon Polk run for 25 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saquon Barkley for no gain to the MchSt 39

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Christian Hackenberg run for 7 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall

4th & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 8 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 6 yds to the MchSt 18

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Saquon Barkley run for 14 yds to the MchSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the MchSt 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Adam Breneman

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.21

Tyler Davis 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Delton Williams run for 5 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Aaron Burbridge run for 13 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Connor Cook run for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 43 Connor Cook fumbled, recovered by MchSt Connor Cook

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 6 yds to the MchSt 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gregg Garrity at the PnSt 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.21

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Malik McDowell for a loss of 10 yards to the PnSt 5

4th & 17Punt+9 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 53 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 9 yds to the PnSt 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Aaron Burbridge run for 2 yds to the PnSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.71

Connor Cook pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 24 yds to the PnSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds to the PnSt 17

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the PnSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the PnSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Saquon Barkley run for 9 yds to the PnSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 6 yds to the PnSt 43

2nd & 4Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.60

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Lawrence Thomas for a loss of 14 yards to the PnSt 29

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 24

3rd & 23Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.16

Saquon Barkley run for 22 yds to the PnSt 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.17

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 19 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Brent Wilkerson

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+77 ydsPPA -3.46

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 10 yds to MchSt 23. Kyle Carter fumbled, recovered by MchSt Demetrious Cox, return 77 yds for TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 5 yds to the PnSt 38

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Hackenberg, Christian pass sacked for loss of 2 yards to the PENNST36 (McDowell, Malik), PENALTY PENNST face mask 15 yards to the PENNST23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 8 yds to the PnSt 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.79

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 14 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Brent Wilkerson for 9 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.34

Saquon Barkley run for 21 yds to the MchSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 11 yds to the MchSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 11 yds to the MchSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Brian Gaia) to the MchSt 8

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno Lewis

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Connor Cook pass complete to Delton Williams for 8 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Delton Williams run for 6 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 11 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyler O'Connor run for 6 yds to the PnSt 45 Tyler O'Connor fumbled, recovered by MchSt Jack Allen

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 13 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Aaron Burbridge run for 1 yd to the MchSt 47

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.35

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.05

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 21 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 29 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Andrew Nelson) to the PnSt 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 10 yds to the PnSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 42 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 3 yds to the MchSt 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.15

Connor Cook pass complete to Jamal Lyles for 18 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Delton Williams run for 5 yds to the PnSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

LJ Scott run for no gain to the PnSt 26

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the PnSt 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.21

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 16 yds to the PnSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the PnSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saquon Barkley for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 21

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+77 ydsPPA +6.00

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 77 yds Saeed Blacknall fumbled, forced by Montae Nicholson, recovered by PnSt Saeed Blacknall for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.32

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

3rd & 6Penalty+4 yds

Hackenberg, Christian pass incomplete to Lewis, Geno, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Bullough, Riley) 4 yards to the MICHIGANST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 5

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 10

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Shilique Calhoun) to the MchSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saquon Barkley for no gain to the MchSt 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 5 yds for a TD

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Chris Godwin 5 Yd pass from Christian Hackenberg (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 16 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the PnSt 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Connor Cook pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 8 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the PnSt 12

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

LJ Scott run for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PnSt 15

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Christian Hackenberg run for 6 yds to the PnSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Brandon Bell

3rd & 14Interception Return Touchdown-13 ydsPPA -6.73

Christian Hackenberg pass intercepted for a TD Malik McDowell return for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jack Allen run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 12 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Trace McSorley pass complete to Geno Lewis for 6 yds to the PnSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Saquon Barkley run for 13 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the MchSt 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Trace McSorley run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 36

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 5 yds to the MchSt 31

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.02

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Geno Lewis

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 26

1st & 15Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.36

Madre London run for 20 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Phillip-Michael Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Phillip-Michael Williams run for 10 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to DeAnthony Arnett

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Phillip-Michael Williams run for 4 yds to the PnSt 36

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.82

Phillip-Michael Williams run for 1 yd to the PnSt 35 Phillip-Michael Williams fumbled, forced by Manny Bowen, recovered by PnSt Tarow Barney

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

4th & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.84

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 9 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
64%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
89%
9 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
5 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th