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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2015Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 8.3

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 74%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 21, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
730313
WisconsinWisconsin
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-107-107-13
WisconsinNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORNORWISNORWISNORNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORPUNT3-9ydPUNT32ydTO36ydTD319ydTO728ydMISS843ydPUNT417ydPUNT69ydPUNT5-13ydPUNT611ydPUNT626ydFG863ydDOWNS1029ydTD564ydPUNT63ydPUNT511ydPUNT37ydMISS47ydPUNT32ydPUNT36ydTO44ydPUNT33ydTO38ydFG70ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1163ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Wisconsin
StatisticNorthwesternWisconsin
Passing9-2020-36
Pass Yards60229
Rush Yards149-26
Total Yards209203
Turnovers05
3rd Down7-202-13
Penalties7-462-25
Possession32:0327:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
9/20, 60 YDS
rushing
Justin Jackson
35 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Garrett Dickerson
2 REC, 24 YDS
Wisconsin
passing
Joel Stave
20/34, 229 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Corey Clement
10 CAR, 24 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jazz Peavy
5 REC, 88 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Joel Stave run for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 6 yds to the Wisc 23

3rd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.17

Joel Stave sacked by Deonte Gibson for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 30 yds, downed at the Wisc 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the Wisc 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Wisc 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 11

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Stave, Joel pass incomplete to Erickson, Alex (Harris, Matthew), PENALTY NU DO (Chapman, Max) 5 yards to the WIS16, NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.05

Joel Stave pass intercepted Nick VanHoose return for no gain to the Wisc 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Wisc 12

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Justin Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 12 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Joel Stave pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.45

Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 23 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Dare Ogunbowale

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -1.91

Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for a loss of 3 yards Tanner McEvoy fumbled, forced by Matthew Harris, recovered by Nwest Dean Lowry , return for 10 yds to the Wisc 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Warren Long run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.23

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 20 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Warren Long run for 7 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Warren Long run for 4 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Solomon Vault run for 2 yds to the Wisc 8

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 11

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Jack Mitchell 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 12 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the Wisc 33

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Wisc 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Matthew Harris

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Miles Shuler at the Nwest 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 4 yds to the Nwest 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 4 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian Jones

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Warren Long) to the Nwest 33

4th & 13Punt+4 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 33 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 4 yds to the Wisc 38

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Corey Clement run for 9 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the Wisc 49

2nd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.23

Joel Stave sacked by Dean Lowry and Ifeadi Odenigbo for a loss of 11 yards to the Wisc 38

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.24

Joel Stave sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 25 Joel Stave fumbled, recovered by Wisc Joel Stave , return for 0 yards

4th & 33Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 50 yds, downed at the Nwest 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Miles Shuler for 6 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 5Penalty-11 yds

Long, Warren rush for 7 yards to the NU49 (Caputo, Michael;Hillary, Darius), PENALTY NU holding (Hance, Blake) 11 yards to the NU31, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Clayton Thorson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete, broken up by T.J. Watt

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 47 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 11 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 4 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Corey Clement run for 10 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 42

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.32

Joel Stave sacked by Deonte Gibson for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 35

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.26

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 9 yds to the Wisc 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.70

Justin Jackson run for 32 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.04

Clayton Thorson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, personal foul (Jack Cichy) to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 27

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 24

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 43

4th & 5Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.47

Jack Mitchell 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Mike McHugh for 6 yds to the Nwest 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Mike McHugh for 4 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 37

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 35

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.53

Warren Long run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 16 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.63

Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 42 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Corey Clement run for 9 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for 4 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale, broken up by Darius Hillary

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.87

Clayton Thorson sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 29

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the Wisc 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Joel Stave run for 3 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Joel Stave pass complete to George Rushing for 10 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Corey Clement run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 28 Corey Clement fumbled, forced by Nick VanHoose,

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Tanner McEvoy, broken up by Nick VanHoose

3rd & 17Penalty+5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, DO (Dean Lowry) to the Wisc 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Miles Shuler at the Nwest 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 37

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Clayton Thorson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 34 yds , Alex Erickson returns for no gain to the Wisc 30 Alex Erickson fumbled, recovered by Nwest Matthew Harris

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale, broken up by Tanner McEvoy

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Jack Mitchell 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

4th & 8Punt+53 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Miles Shuler at the WISCONSIN 32 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Nwest 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 25

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Miles Shuler, broken up by Jack Cichy

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the Wisc 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 7 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Joel Stave run for 2 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.33

Joel Stave sacked by Tyler Lancaster for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 37 Joel Stave fumbled, recovered by Nwest C.J. Robbins , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 31 yds, downed at the Wisc 3

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 2

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 9 yds to the Wisc 11

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA +0.01

Joel Stave pass intercepted Anthony Walker return for 3 yds to the Wisc 20

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 23

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Wisc 23

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 14 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 8

2nd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.87

Austin Carr run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 15

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Matt Frazier) to the Wisc 20

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian Jones

4th & 0Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jack Mitchell 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Stave, Joel pass complete to Fumagalli, Troy for 38 yards to the NU27 (VanHoose, Nick), PENALTY WIS holding (Marz, Tyler) 10 yards to the WIS25, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Dean Lowry

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 47 yds, downed at the Nwest 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 21

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 25

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Clayton Thorson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 45 yds, downed at the Wisc 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Anthony Walker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 18 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.01

Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 15 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Nate Hall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 12 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 22 yds to the Nwest 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

2nd & 1Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.25

Joel Stave sacked by Warren Long for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Team pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.36

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Tanner McEvoy

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 10

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
26 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play