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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2015Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Penn State 47%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 21, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
777728
Penn StatePenn State
370616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-1410-2113-2116-2116-28
Penn StateMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICFG673ydTD789ydPUNT3-3ydTO3-7ydPUNT32ydPUNT620ydPUNT731ydPUNT619ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydTD643ydTD770ydEND14ydPUNT941ydPUNT35ydTO424ydTD39ydPUNT321ydTO620ydFG836ydPUNT3-5ydFG1062ydTD540ydDOWNS40ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Penn State
StatisticMichiganPenn State
Passing25-3813-32
Pass Yards256137
Rush Yards8770
Total Yards343207
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-143-14
Penalties13-1173-30
Possession33:2226:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Jake Rudock
25/38, 256 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
De'Veon Smith
13 CAR, 39 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jehu Chesson
4 REC, 69 YDS
Penn State
passing
Christian Hackenberg
13/31, 137 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Saquon Barkley
15 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Chris Godwin
3 REC, 51 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 9 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Maurice Hurst) to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +2.82

Saquon Barkley run for 56 yds to the Mich 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Mich 8

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 9

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Mich 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Davis 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 7 yds to the Mich 18

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara Darboh MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Touching (Amara Darboh) to the Mich 18

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.62

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 16 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 35

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.08

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 39 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 26 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Willie Henry) to the PnSt 18

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 15

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Andrew Nelson) to the PnSt 10

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle Carter

4th & 13Punt+9 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 42 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 9 yds to the PnSt 43

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 47

2nd & 14Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Jake Rudock sacked by Torrence Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 17Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -0.42

Jake Rudock pass intercepted Brandon Bell return for 25 yds to the Mich 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Brandon Polk

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Brent Wilkerson for 6 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.89

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 29 yds, downed at the Mich 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mich 17

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (A.J. Williams) to the Mich 12

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Graham Glasgow) to the Mich 7

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 11 yds to the Mich 18

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.53

Jake Rudock pass complete to Sione Houma for 4 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 23

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jabrill Peppers run for 6 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jake Rudock pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 35

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Saquon Barkley run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Brent Wilkerson for 6 yds to the Mich 44

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Matthew Godin) to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Willie Henry) to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.04

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 10 yards to the Mich 35

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Mich 34

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 34 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 6 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 3 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Sione Houma run for 2 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Rudock run for 4 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 39

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 42 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the PnSt 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 5 yds to the PnSt 24

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 22

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 41

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Rudock run for 3 yds to the Mich 44 Jake Rudock fumbled, recovered by Mich Jake Rudock

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jabrill Peppers

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

4th & 7Blocked Punt+1 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Von Walker blocked by Von Walker Von Walker return for 1 yd to the Mich 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 5 yds to the Mich 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 9 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 4 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.41

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.60

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 26 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 4 yds to the PnSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 11 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.27

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 18 yds to the PnSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 11 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 7 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jake Rudock pass complete to Maurice Ways for 9 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Sione Houma run for 4 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 7 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for 6 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 35 yds, downed at the PnSt 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Brent Wilkerson for 5 yds to the PnSt 12

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 45 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for no gain to the Mich 12 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Mich 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 1 yd to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Anthony Zettel) to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jabrill Peppers run for 3 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Rudock run for 3 yds to the PnSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jake Rudock pass complete to Da'Mario Jones for 2 yds to the PnSt 43

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 35 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 9 DeAndre Thompkins fumbled, recovered by Mich Jehu Chesson

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jabrill Peppers run for 6 yds to the PnSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the PnSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Sione Houma run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Barkley, Saquon rush for no gain to the PENNST20, PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul (Wormley, Chris) 15 yards to the PENNST35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jabrill Peppers) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 47

2nd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.41

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 41

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 6 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 7 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 8 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Sione Houma run for 2 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.93

Jake Rudock sacked by Brandon Bell for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 42 Jake Rudock fumbled, forced by Brandon Bell, recovered by PnSt Brandon Bell , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Mich 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

4th & 9Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.55

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 38 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno Lewis

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle Carter

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Davis 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (Jehu Chesson) to the Mich 13

1st & 23Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for 8 yds to the Mich 21

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Grant Perry

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

4th & 15Punt+8 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 50 yds , Gregg Garrity returns for 8 yds to the PnSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 5 yds to the PnSt 42

2nd & 5Penalty+4 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Willie Henry) to the PnSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Christian Hackenberg run for 6 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jourdan Lewis) to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saquon Barkley

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 37

3rd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.63

Christian Hackenberg run for 17 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 14 yds to the Mich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Brandon Polk

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brandon Polk run for 5 yds to the Mich 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

4th & 1Field Goal Good+18 ydsPPA -1.21

Tyler Davis 18 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.57

Jehu Chesson run for 20 yds to the PnSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jabrill Peppers run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 5 yds to the PnSt 16

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Brandon Polk) to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Jabrill Peppers run for 5 yds to the PnSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 7 yds to the PnSt 32

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Chris Wormley and Willie Henry for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 25

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the PnSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the PnSt 16

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.12

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the PnSt 5

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.88

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the PnSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 3

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
56%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays