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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2015Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 7.7

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 73%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 21, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
0701017
Ohio StateOhio State
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-714-1414-17
Ohio StateMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSMSOSMSOSOSMSOSMSOSMSPUNT39ydPUNT611ydPUNT627ydTO716ydTD1032ydTD975ydPUNT3-7ydMISS4-2ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydEND1-2ydPUNT520ydPUNT36ydPUNT624ydTO418ydTD16ydTD1375ydPUNT623ydPUNT638ydPUNT34ydEND925yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Ohio State
StatisticMichigan StateOhio State
Passing8-169-16
Pass Yards9146
Rush Yards20386
Total Yards294132
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-154-14
Penalties4-304-20
Possession38:1021:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Tyler O'Connor
7/12, 89 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Gerald Holmes
14 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aaron Burbridge
4 REC, 62 YDS
Ohio State
passing
J.T. Barrett
9/16, 46 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
J.T. Barrett
15 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Jalin Marshall
2 REC, 22 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyler O'Connor run for 2 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Joey Bosa) to the MchSt 41

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.83

R.J. Shelton run for 2 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

O'Connor, Tyler pass complete to Holmes, Gerald for no gain to the MICHIGANST43, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding 10 yards to the MICHIGANST33, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Damion Terry run for 3 yds to the MchSt 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 37 yds, downed at the OhSt 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Michael Thomas

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.68

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 16 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braxton Miller run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the MchSt 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the MchSt 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 16

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Joey Bosa) to the MchSt 21

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Damion Terry run for 3 yds to the MchSt 24

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 6 yds to the MchSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

LJ Scott run for 8 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Damion Terry pass complete to LJ Scott for 2 yds to the MchSt 44

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.07

Damion Terry sacked by Sam Hubbard for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 32 Damion Terry fumbled, forced by Sam Hubbard, recovered by OhSt Adolphus Washington , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 25

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ezekiel Elliott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 13

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 9

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Nick Vannett for 3 yds to the MchSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the MchSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the MchSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 14 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Brandon Clemons) to the MchSt 35

1st & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Adolphus Washington for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 34

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler O'Connor run for 2 yds to the MchSt 36

3rd & 14Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +4.24

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 36 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Gerald Holmes run for 9 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.44

Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Trevon Pendleton for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 26

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.66

J.T. Barrett sacked by Jon Reschke for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jalin Marshall

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 5 yds, downed at the OhSt 23

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.87

LJ Scott run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 27

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 32

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to LJ Scott

3rd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Delton Williams for 7 yds to the OhSt 25

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Michael Geiger 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Michael Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Nick Vannett for 1 yd to the OhSt 26

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Damion Terry run for 6 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Kings Jr., Macgarrett rush for 6 yards to the MICHIGANST41, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding (Allen, Brian) 10 yards to the MICHIGANST25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 8 yds to the MchSt 33

4th & 6Punt+13 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 45 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 13 yds to the OhSt 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Braxton Miller

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 5 yds to the OhSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 4 yds to the OhSt 44

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 53 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 4 yds to the MchSt 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Gerald Holmes run for 9 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Delton Williams run for 5 yds to the MchSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the MchSt 44

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler O'Connor run for 1 yd to the MchSt 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 43 yds, downed at the OhSt 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 14

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jalin Marshall

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 49 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 2 yds to the MchSt 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Madre London run for 3 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Damion Terry run for 2 yds to the MchSt 40

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.51

Damion Terry run for 12 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Damion Terry run for 6 yds to the OhSt 42

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for no gain to the OhSt 42

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Madre London run for 1 yd to the OhSt 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 33

4th & 2Punt-21 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 40 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for a loss of 21 yards to the MchSt 6 Macgarrett Kings Jr. fumbled, recovered by OhSt Terry McLaurin

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 6 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.39

R.J. Shelton run for 19 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.39

Gerald Holmes run for 14 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler O'Connor run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Joey Bosa) to the OhSt 30

4th & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.67

Tyler O'Connor run for 11 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the OhSt 17

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Damion Terry run for 5 yds to the OhSt 12

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Tyler O'Connor run for 5 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the OhSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braxton Miller run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 3 yds to the OhSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.74

J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Nick Vannett for 5 yds to the OhSt 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 48 yds, downed at the MchSt 4

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.79

LJ Scott run for 20 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tyquan Lewis) to the MchSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 51 yds, downed at the OhSt 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Michael Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 8

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Braxton Miller run for 3 yds to the OhSt 11

4th & 6Punt0 yds

TEAM punt for 37 yds, downed at the OhSt 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 6 yds to the OhSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Tyler O'Connor run for 2 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 26

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 23

3rd & 8Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA -0.53

Michael Geiger 41 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
46%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
21%
14 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play