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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2015Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 3.4

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 61%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 21, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
767323
MinnesotaMinnesota
7143832

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1014-1014-1321-2024-2024-2332-23
MinnesotaIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINPUNT515ydTO342ydPUNT515ydTD1177ydTD673ydFG861ydTD659ydPUNT3-12ydTO25ydFG841ydTD1574ydUncategorized00ydTD1475ydFG46ydPUNT834ydPUNT32ydTO629ydPUNT616ydFG1040ydPUNT417ydPUNT816ydTD277ydTO747ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Minnesota
StatisticIllinoisMinnesota
Passing34-4815-26
Pass Yards27988
Rush Yards154255
Total Yards433343
Turnovers31
3rd Down8-177-13
Penalties3-305-30
Possession35:4024:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Wes Lunt
34/47, 279 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Ferguson
20 CAR, 105 YDS
receiving
Malik Turner
11 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
Minnesota
passing
Mitch Leidner
15/25, 88 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shannon Brooks
17 CAR, 174 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
K.J. Maye
4 REC, 31 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass complete to Maye, KJ for 5 yards to the MINN36 (Fejedelem,C.), PENALTY ILL offside (Phillips,C.) 5 yards to the MINN36, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

KJ Maye run for 7 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Minn 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by V'Angelo Bentley at the Illin 14

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Josh Ferguson run for 16 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 11 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -2.34

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 15 yds Geronimo Allison fumbled, forced by De'Vondre Campbell, recovered by Minn Briean Boddy-Calhoun

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Rodney Smith run for 11 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Illin 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 4 yds to the Illin 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 18 yds, downed at the Illin 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Wes Lunt pass complete to Henry Enyenihi for 5 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Henry Enyenihi run for 2 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.56

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 18 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 3 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.57

Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 14 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Kendrick Foster run for 7 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.01

Kendrick Foster run for 10 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 2 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 3 yds to the Minn 13

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.90

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 13 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.74

Mitch Leidner run for 33 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Shannon Brooks run for 15 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Mitch Leidner run for 7 yds to the Illin 18

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Shannon Brooks run for 11 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Illin 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 13 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 15 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.26

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 28 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Wes Lunt pass complete to Nathan Echard for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 7 yds to the Minn 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Josh Ferguson, broken up by KiAnte Hardin

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.02

Taylor Zalewski 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Shannon Brooks

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.76

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 11 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Illin 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 5 yds to the Illin 38

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.80

Shannon Brooks run for 38 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Josh Ferguson run for no gain to the Illin 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Desmond Cain

3rd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.24

Wes Lunt sacked by Julian Huff and Gaelin Elmore for a loss of 12 yards to the Illin 11

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.82

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Illin 35 Shannon Brooks fumbled, forced by Chunky Clements, recovered by Illin Dawuane Smoot , return for 2 yds to the Illin 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 8 yds to the Illin 43

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.66

Josh Ferguson run for 11 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 5 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 12 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Josh Ferguson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Wes Lunt pass incomplete, broken up by Gaelin Elmore

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 6 yds to the Minn 26

4th & 7Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.39

Taylor Zalewski 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 4 yds to the Minn 35

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Brooks, Shannon rush for 5 yards to the MINN40 (Barton,Taylor), PENALTY MINN holding (Moore, Tyler) 10 yards to the MINN25, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.11

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 12 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 6 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.37

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 12 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 14 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 4 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 4Penalty+13 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Wozniak, Nate, PENALTY ILL pass interference (Fejedelem,C.) 13 yards to the ILL12, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 4 yds to the Illin 8

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Illin 4

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.63

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mitch Leidner run for no gain to the Illin 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Josh Ferguson run for 1 yd to the Illin 26

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Josh Ferguson run for 19 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 1 yd to the Minn 48

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.63

Josh Ferguson run for 7 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Josh Ferguson run for 6 yds to the Minn 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Josh Ferguson run for 2 yds to the Minn 21

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Zalewski,T. field goal attempt from 39 GOOD, clock 09:07, PENALTY MINN offside (Boddy-Calhoun,B) 5 yards to the MINN16, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Josh Ferguson run for 10 yds to the Minn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Josh Ferguson run for no gain to the Minn 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Wes Lunt pass complete to Andrew Davis for 6 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Lingen, Brandon, PENALTY ILL pass interference (Barton,Taylor) 12 yards to the ILL22, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Illin 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

3rd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 23

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Santoso, Ryan field goal attempt from 41 GOOD, clock 06:31, PENALTY MINN false start (Moore, Tyler) 5 yards to the ILL28, NO PLAY.

4th & 16Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.61

Ryan Santoso 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Josh Ferguson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 18

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 9 yds to the Illin 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 4 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.79

Josh Ferguson run for 12 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Kendrick Foster run for 8 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.51

Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 49 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 7 yds to the Illin 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Desmond Cain pass incomplete, broken up by Duke McGhee

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.14

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 27 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Desmond Cain

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Josh Ferguson run for 2 yds to the Minn 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Desmond Cain

4th & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.63

Wes Lunt pass intercepted Antonio Johnson return for no gain to the Minn 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 22

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.39

Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

KJ Maye run for no gain to the Minn 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 4 yds to the Illin 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.55

Wes Lunt pass complete to Andrew Davis for 4 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 11 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Kendrick Foster run for 7 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Minn 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Minn 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.57

Taylor Zalewski 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 12 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 3 yds to the Minn 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen, broken up by Clayton Fejedelem

4th & 5Punt-4 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 37 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Dionte Taylor, broken up by Duke McGhee

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.19

Josh Ferguson run for 12 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 3 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 5 yds to the Illin 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo Allison

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.48

Wes Lunt sacked by Julian Huff for a loss of 11 yards to the Illin 30

3rd & 21Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 2 yds to the Illin 32

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 45 yds, fair catch by KiAnte Hardin at the Minn 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.63

Shannon Brooks run for 75 yds for a TD, (M. Leidner Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 11 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 7 yds to the Illin 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Dionte Taylor

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.91

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 9 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Wes Lunt run for 14 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Lunt,Wes pass incomplete to Turner,Malik, PENALTY MINN substitution infraction 5 yards to the MINN33, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.24

Josh Ferguson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 29 Josh Ferguson fumbled, recovered by Minn Julian Huff

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 28

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
36 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play