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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2015Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 86%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 14, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PurduePurdue
707014
NorthwesternNorthwestern
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-714-1421-14
NorthwesternPurdue

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORTD775ydTD168ydPUNT613ydPUNT948ydPUNT34ydPUNT615ydPUNT637ydTO824ydTD641ydPUNT714ydTO18ydDOWNS615ydPUNT39ydDOWNS1036ydTD771ydDOWNS846ydMISS1045ydTO415ydPUNT30ydTO654ydPUNT37ydPUNT310ydPUNT35ydTD1258ydPUNT32ydEND723yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Purdue and Northwestern
StatisticPurdueNorthwestern
Passing26-4511-24
Pass Yards287132
Rush Yards73250
Total Yards360382
Turnovers13
3rd Down8-198-17
Penalties6-604-23
Possession28:2331:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Purdue
passing
David Blough
26/45, 287 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Markell Jones
13 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Domonique Young
5 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
9/19, 82 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Jackson
24 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Solomon Vault
2 REC, 53 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for 5 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Clayton Thorson run for 15 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Justin Jackson run for 12 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Mike McHugh for 4 yds to the Prdue 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Warren Long run for 5 yds to the Prdue 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Warren Long run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Warren Long run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 68 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.34

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 10 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 47

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale, broken up by Andy James Garcia

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian Jones

4th & 12Punt+40 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 34 yds, downed at the Prdue 13 PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (6 Yards) to the Prdue 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 6 yds to the Prdue 13

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Nick VanHoose

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 9 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.18

David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 5 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 12 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

David Blough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Nwest 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Miles Shuler at the Nwest 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Solomon Vault run for no gain to the Nwest 9

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Solomon Vault run for 4 yds to the Nwest 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 34 yds , Frankie Williams returns for 3 yds to the Prdue 16 PURDUE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Prdue 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 48

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

David Blough run for 5 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.93

David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 16 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

Blough, David pass incomplete to Yancey, De. (Harris, Matthew), PENALTY PUR personal foul (King, Jason) 13 yards to the NU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 23Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

D.J. Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 46

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Nwest 39

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 34 yds, downed at the Nwest 5

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.14

Justin Jackson run for 24 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Shane Mertz) to the Nwest 25

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

Thorson, C. pass incomplete to McHugh, Mike (Hunte, Da'Wan), PENALTY PUR personal foul (Hunte, Da'Wan) 15 yards to the NU40, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 39

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 55 yds, downed at the Prdue 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 4

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 3 yds to the Prdue 7

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 7 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 12 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.30

David Blough pass intercepted Traveon Henry return for no gain to the Prdue 41

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.68

Miles Shuler run for 26 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 8

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Prdue 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Warren Long run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 9 yds to the Prdue 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.96

Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 42 Markell Jones fumbled, forced by Anthony Walker, recovered by Prdue Markell Jones

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.06

David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

David Blough pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 3 yds to the Prdue 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Traveon Henry

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 30

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.31

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 38 Justin Jackson fumbled, forced by Danny Ezechukwu, recovered by Prdue Robert Gregory , return for no gain to the Nwest 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 9 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 3 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Dean Lowry

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for no gain to the Nwest 23

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.87

David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Solomon Vault run for 4 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Solomon Vault run for 1 yd to the Nwest 28

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Clayton Thorson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 39 yds, downed at the Prdue 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey, broken up by Matthew Harris

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

David Blough run for 6 yds to the Prdue 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.13

David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 10 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron Posey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.01

David Blough pass complete to Shane Mikesky for 7 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.46

Bilal Marshall run for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.97

David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 15 yds to the Nwest 35

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.39

David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Traveon Henry

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 32

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.36

Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.66

David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 22 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

David Blough run for no gain to the Nwest 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.80

David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 29 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, roughing passer (Keith Watkins II) to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Markell Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.52

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 16 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 15 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 3 yds to the Prdue 34

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 29

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.06

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault, broken up by Leroy Clark

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

David Blough run for 6 yds to the Prdue 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 11 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Markell Jones run for 17 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Nwest 35

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.82

D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

David Blough pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Paul Griggs 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Solomon Vault for 16 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Mike McHugh

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -0.34

Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Frankie Williams return for 4 yds to the Nwest 41

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.53

David Blough sacked by Drew Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 44

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Nwest 41

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

David Blough pass incomplete to Danny Anthrop, broken up by Keith Watkins II

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Miles Shuler at the Nwest 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.26

Zack Oliver pass complete to Mike McHugh for 13 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.41

Zack Oliver pass complete to Solomon Vault for 37 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Miles Shuler run for 4 yds to the Prdue 23

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Jackson, Justin rush for 2 yards to the PUR21 (Hudson, Garrett), PENALTY NU illegal shift 5 yards to the PUR28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Prdue 28

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return-17 ydsPPA -2.92

Zack Oliver pass intercepted Brandon Roberts return for 17 yds to the Prdue 33

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.34

David Blough sacked by Drew Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 7 yds to the Prdue 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 3 yds to the Prdue 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Miles Shuler at the Nwest 33

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

Oliver, Zack pass incomplete to Jones, C. (Brown, Anthony), PENALTY PUR pass interference (Brown, Anthony) 11 yards to the NU44, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zack Oliver sacked by Da'Wan Hunte for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 52 yds , Frankie Williams returns for no gain to the Prdue 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

David Yancey run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Prdue 13

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.33

David Blough run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 10

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

PURDUE Penalty, offside defense (Shayne Henley) to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Clayton Thorson run for no gain to the Prdue 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 8 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Jackson, Justin rush for 1 yard to the PUR26 (Garcia, Andy), PENALTY NU holding (Olson, Eric) 10 yards to the PUR37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Solomon Vault run for no gain to the Prdue 37

3rd & 14Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.62

Clayton Thorson run for 16 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Clayton Thorson run for 16 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

David Blough pass incomplete to Cole Herdman, broken up by Drew Smith

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 2 yds to the Prdue 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Miles Shuler at the Nwest 49

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.08

Justin Jackson run for 20 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Prdue 31

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Warren Long run for 7 yds to the Prdue 24

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Warren Long run for 5 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.97

Clayton Thorson sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 25

2nd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.17

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 27

3rd & 18Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 28

Situational Analysis

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
8 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
43%
30 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
7 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play