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← Back to GamesOct 31, 2015Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 2.3

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 43%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 31, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
777829
MinnesotaMinnesota
3137326

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-76-1413-1416-2123-2126-2126-29
MinnesotaMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINPUNT926ydTO830ydFG844ydTD857ydPUNT34ydTD529ydFG1162ydPUNT519ydTD376ydTO731ydEND441ydTD775ydPUNT538ydPUNT33ydTD333ydPUNT534ydPUNT427ydPUNT3-7ydFG645ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-9ydTD740ydEND1374yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Minnesota
StatisticMichiganMinnesota
Passing16-2716-33
Pass Yards169317
Rush Yards127144
Total Yards296461
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-125-14
Penalties5-477-53
Possession28:5531:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Jake Rudock
13/21, 140 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Drake Johnson
10 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Amara Darboh
6 REC, 73 YDS
Minnesota
passing
Mitch Leidner
16/33, 317 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rodney Smith
12 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Brandon Lingen
5 REC, 111 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 17 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 7 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Mich 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Winston DeLattiboudere) to the Mich 49

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Maurice Ways, broken up by Jack Lynn

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 9 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 15 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Da'Mario Jones

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -1.06

Jake Rudock pass intercepted Briean Boddy-Calhoun return for 5 yds to the Mich 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Mich 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.04

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 31 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 11 yds to the Mich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Miles Thomas

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Mich 4

3rd & 4Penalty+2 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MICHIGAN7 (Morgan, Desmond), PENALTY MICHIGAN offside (Peppers, Jabrill) 2 yards to the MICHIGAN2, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.95

Ryan Santoso 23 Yd Field Goal

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Ryan Santoso kickoff for 65 yds, Jabrill Peppers return 0 yards to the 0, fumble by J. Peppers, recovered by J. Peppers MICH, return for 43 yds to the Mich 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 18 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Derrick Green run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.48

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 15 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Joe Kerridge run for 4 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Joe Kerridge run for 2 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

Rudock, Jake pass incomplete to Butt, Jake, PENALTY MINNESOTA roughing holder (Johnson, Antonio) 1 yards to the MINNESOTA1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Joe Kerridge 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass sacked for loss of 0 yards to the MINNESOTA25 (Glasgow, Ryan;Wormley, Chris), PENALTY MINNESOTA illegal formation 5 yards to the MINNESOTA20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

4th & 6Punt+41 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 41 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 41 yds to the Minn 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.16

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 13 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 13

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Jehu Chesson 13 Yd pass from Jake Rudock (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 15 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Maurice Hurst) to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Shannon Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Mich 37

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Mitch Leidner run for 12 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Shannon Brooks run for 11 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Mich 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky, broken up by Jabrill Peppers

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye, broken up by Jarrod Wilson

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.39

Ryan Santoso 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 2 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jabrill Peppers run for 9 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Derrick Green run for 3 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson, broken up by Jack Lynn

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Theiren Cockran) to the Mich 44

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 24

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Rodney Smith run for 23 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 48

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.01

Rashad Still 52 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 7 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Rudock, Jake pass pass intended for Peppers, Jabrill intercepted by Poock, Cody at the MINNESOTA46, Poock, Cody return 0 yards to the MINNESOTA46, PENALTY MINNESOTA pass interference (Poock, Cody) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drake Johnson run for 5 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Drake Johnson run for 7 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Rudock run for 3 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Drake Johnson

4th & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.68

Jake Rudock sacked by Eric Murray for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 44 Jake Rudock fumbled, forced by Eric Murray, recovered by Minn Eric Murray , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.79

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 39 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye, broken up by Jourdan Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Mich 15

3rd & 8Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.87

Ryan Santoso 32 Yd Field Goal

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 14 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 8 yds to the Mich 47

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.85

Derrick Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 45

3rd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.78

Jehu Chesson run for 22 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Drake Johnson run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

Rudock, Jake pass incomplete to Darboh, Amara, PENALTY MINNESOTA holding (Myrick, Jalen) 10 yards to the MINNESOTA19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Drake Johnson run for 13 yds to the Minn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jabrill Peppers 6 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.57

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 40 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky, broken up by Jarrod Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.27

Mitch Leidner sacked by Jarrod Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 41

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Drake Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mich 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara Darboh, broken up by Jalen Myrick

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Jake Rudock pass complete to Sione Houma for 2 yds to the Mich 11

4th & 7Punt+22 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 37 yds, fair catch by KiAnte Hardin at the Mich 48 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Dymonte Thomas) to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 7 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 24

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.88

Mitch Leidner 24 Yd Run (Ryan Santoso Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 16 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Drake Johnson run for 13 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jake Rudock run for 6 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Drake Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN face mask (Lewis, Jourdan) 15 yards to the MINNESOTA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye, broken up by Jabrill Peppers

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the Minn 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Wilton Speight run for 6 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Johnson, Drake rush for 14 yards to the MICHIGAN40, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Glasgow, Graham) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Drake Johnson, broken up by Theiren Cockran

3rd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.07

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 61 yds , KJ Maye returns for no gain to the Minn 26

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Rodney Smith run for 17 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.53

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 23 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 30

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 29

4th & 5Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.43

Ryan Santoso 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jabrill Peppers run for 4 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Drake Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mich 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 49 yds, downed at the Minn 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 3 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.33

Mitch Leidner sacked by James Ross for a loss of 12 yards to the Minn 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 9 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Wilton Speight pass complete to Khalid Hill for 8 yds to the Minn 20

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.26

Drake Johnson run for 8 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Drake Johnson run for 3 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Jabrill Peppers sacked by Theiren Cockran for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 12

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 12 yds for a TD, (Wilton Speight pass to Amara Darboh for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Smith, Rodney rush for 1 yard to the MINNESOTA26, PENALTY MINNESOTA illegal block (Pirsig, Jonah) 12 yards to the MINNESOTA13, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Nate Wozniak

3rd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.09

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 17 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 14 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Mich 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen

4th & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.65

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 12 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Mich 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.84

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 22 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
46%
26 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
16 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play